ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials AM Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FAMIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+155%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
142
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.28
Ann. Return (LS)
5.0%
Ann. Volatility
18.1%
Max Drawdown
-57.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.48
Test FF5 α (ann.)
6.7%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.95
not significant
Monthly turnover
10%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
155%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.48
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
12.6%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.28
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
7.6%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

142 of 142 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
10.38%
2HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
9.91%
3DAL
DELTA AIR LINES INCIndustrials$55.35B
7.69%
4UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
5.21%
5CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
5.03%
6ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
3.71%
7LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
3.27%
8GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS INCIndustrials$21.29B
2.96%
9WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$15.97B
2.22%
10TXT
TEXTRON INCIndustrials$15.91B
2.21%
11SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INCIndustrials$14.02B
1.95%
12UHAL
U-HAUL HOLDING COIndustrials$13.98B
1.94%
13RRX
REGAL REXNORD CORPIndustrials$13.77B
1.91%
14CNH
CNH INDUSTRIAL NVIndustrials$13.19B
1.83%
15HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.47%
16R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
1.46%
17AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
1.38%
18OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
1.24%
19NCLH
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTDIndustrials$8.93B
1.24%
20ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
1.22%
21AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
1.16%
22TEX
TEREX CORPIndustrials$7.47B
1.04%
23JBTM
JBT MAREL CORPIndustrials$6.98B
0.97%
24FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.95%
25GTES
GATES INDUSTRIAL CORP PLCIndustrials$6.76B
0.94%
26GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
0.88%
27GXO
GXO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$6.22B
0.86%
28CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.79%
29ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.77%
30ESAB
ESAB CORPIndustrials$5.47B
0.76%
31REZI
RESIDEO TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$5.43B
0.75%
32ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.70%
33AMTM
AMENTUM HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$5.05B
0.70%
34HRI
HERC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$4.99B
0.69%
35BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.69%
36WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.68%
37TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.64%
38KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.62%
39MDU
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.61%
40SEB
SEABOARD CORPIndustrials$4.34B
0.60%
41EQPT
EQUIPMENTSHARECOM INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.58%
42TPC
TUTOR PERINI CORPIndustrials$4.14B
0.57%
43KFY
KORN FERRYIndustrials$4.00B
0.56%
44SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.54%
45HAYW
HAYWARD HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$3.12B
0.43%
46MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.43%
47CXW
CORECIVIC INCIndustrials$3.03B
0.42%
48HNI
HNI CORPIndustrials$3.00B
0.42%
49CXT
CRANE NXT COIndustrials$2.95B
0.41%
50TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.90B
0.40%
51ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.39%
52WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.38%
53TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.38%
54KMT
KENNAMETAL INCIndustrials$2.57B
0.36%
55PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.35%
56ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.34%
57MAN
MANPOWERGROUP INCIndustrials$2.43B
0.34%
58VVX
V2X INCIndustrials$2.37B
0.33%
59CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.33%
60CBZ
CBIZ INCIndustrials$2.28B
0.32%
61VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.30%
62JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.28%
63NSP
INSPERITY INCIndustrials$1.89B
0.26%
64ALGT
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COIndustrials$1.86B
0.26%
65PRG
PROG HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.26%
66TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.24%
67DSGR
DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.59B
0.22%
68HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.22%
69ENOV
ENOVIS CORPIndustrials$1.56B
0.22%
70GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.22%
71RYZ
RYERSON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$1.54B
0.21%
72TIC
TIC SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$1.51B
0.21%
73ULCC
FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.20%
74ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.20%
75ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.19%
76BV
BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.19%
77WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.19%
78ASTE
ASTEC INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$1.27B
0.18%
79AMRC
AMERESCO INCIndustrials$1.22B
0.17%
80UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.16%
81RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.15%
82GNK
GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTDIndustrials$1.05B
0.15%
83AEBI
AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AGIndustrials$989M
0.14%
84MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.12%
85RJET
REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$806M
0.11%
86CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.11%
87ONT
ONTERRIS INCIndustrials$756M
0.11%
88KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
0.10%
89CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.10%
90NVRI
ENVIRI CORPIndustrials$643M
0.09%
91HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.08%
92KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.08%
93WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.08%
94PKOH
PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$544M
0.08%
95KELYA
KELLY SERVICES INCIndustrials$531M
0.07%
96BBCP
CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$531M
0.07%
97MG
MISTRAS GROUP INCIndustrials$500M
0.07%
98TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.07%
99TRC
TEJON RANCH COIndustrials$491M
0.07%
100BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.07%
101MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.07%
102PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.06%
103TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.06%
104QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.06%
105BWMN
BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTDIndustrials$443M
0.06%
106FWRD
FORWARD AIR CORPIndustrials$435M
0.06%
107RLGT
RADIANT LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$431M
0.06%
108CMCO
COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPIndustrials$414M
0.06%
109CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.05%
110ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.05%
111FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION COIndustrials$357M
0.05%
112MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.05%
113TWIN
TWIN DISC INCIndustrials$326M
0.05%
114PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.04%
115NL
NL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$288M
0.04%
116ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.04%
117TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.04%
118TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.04%
119GENC
GENCOR INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$235M
0.03%
120UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.03%
121SMHI
SEACOR MARINE HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$214M
0.03%
122EVI
EVI INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$213M
0.03%
123ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.03%
124AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.03%
125FORR
FORRESTER RESEARCH INCIndustrials$200M
0.03%
126PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.03%
127EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.03%
128AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.02%
129AP
AMPCO PITTSBURGH CORPIndustrials$156M
0.02%
130EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.02%
131RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
132HURC
HURCO COMPANIES INCIndustrials$142M
0.02%
133VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.02%
134ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.01%
135SIMA
SIM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$90M
0.01%
136MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
137CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.01%
138DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
139TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.01%
140AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.01%
141UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.01%
142LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $719.58B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

142 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
62%30
13%10
5%5
6%36
2%11
1%7
<1%18
<1%3
<1%1

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 94% toward Large, 15% toward Growth. +11% unclassified (21 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt94% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt15% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 142 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 142 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.1 (95% CI 1.3-2.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
20.5%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.12x
over
parametric
1.69x
within
cornish fisher
1.86x
within

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.12 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.69 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1992
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1992 paper.
Sharpe 0.285.0% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
77%
20 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.66
Sharpe, January 2016 – December 2018
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.33
Dispersion
0.46
Best window
1.07

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.37.3%29.7%
3 yearsp.a.19.1%6.4%
5 yearsp.a.16.5%8.4%
10 yearsp.a.11.5%2.6%
Since inceptionp.a.9.5%3.5%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo13.6%4.9%
202517.8%7.2%
202428.3%11.3%
202340.0%15.0%
2022-8.5%13.0%
202121.0%15.0%
20201.2%-11.1%
201939.3%14.3%
2018-35.6%-29.5%
20171.9%-16.2%
201638.7%19.1%
20157.1%12.8%
20144.1%-1.6%
201344.1%2.8%
201223.7%10.9%
2011-8.3%-6.2%
201025.0%0.2%
200916.7%5.5%
2008-51.6%-21.4%
20074.1%-5.4%
200615.9%7.1%
20052.3%-2.1%
200421.5%5.3%
200353.4%18.3%
2002-14.5%-5.3%
20018.6%21.7%
20003.9%20.4%
199925.9%13.1%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FAMI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-12-18 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$719.58B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials AM Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a AM signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.