ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
accruals factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Earnings Quality (Accruals) Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FACFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−93%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
11
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.18
Ann. Return (LS)
-5.4%
Ann. Volatility
29.3%
Max Drawdown
-95.4%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.51
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-14.3%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-1.34
not significant
Monthly turnover
18%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-93%
over 330 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.42
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.6%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.18
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
16.0%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

330 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

11 of 11 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1CRCL
CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INCFinancial Services$15.03B
25.48%
2FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
15.56%
3WULF
TERAWULF INCFinancial Services$9.00B
15.26%
4CIFR
CIPHER DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$7.18B
12.18%
5RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
11.71%
6MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
6.91%
7CLSK
CLEANSPARK INCFinancial Services$3.34B
5.67%
8CRVL
CORVEL CORPFinancial Services$3.13B
5.30%
9CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
0.91%
10ABTC
AMERICAN BITCOIN CORPFinancial Services$386M
0.65%
11PMTS
CPI CARD GROUP INCFinancial Services$216M
0.37%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $58.98B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

11 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
·
·
65%4
·
7%1
11%2
·
·
2%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 87% toward Large, 96% toward Growth. +15% unclassified (1 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt87% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt96% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1999July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 11 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
3
Failed
3
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    41.9%
    Margin
    -33.1%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    25.5%
    Margin
    -0.5%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    15.9 days
    Margin
    -8.9 days
Reported separately — arithmetically implied
  • At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.

    Required
    >= 50.0%
    Actual
    41.9%
    Margin
    -8.1%

    Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 11 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.3 (95% CI 1.4-2.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
21.9%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 330 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.27x
over
parametric
1.62x
within
cornish fisher
1.79x
within

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.27 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.62 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1996
Entirely since publication
All 330 months of our record post-date the 1996 paper.
Sharpe -0.18-5.4% p.a.February 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
42%
11 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.20
Sharpe, February 2023 – January 2026
February 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.07
Dispersion
0.51
Best window
0.83

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since February 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.20.1%40.3%
3 yearsp.a.8.7%-19.8%
5 yearsp.a.-4.0%-21.1%
10 yearsp.a.12.2%-10.2%
Since inceptionp.a.7.6%-9.4%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo13.5%10.5%
2025-6.4%-29.8%
202415.7%-38.0%
202312.4%-10.8%
2022-48.2%-32.5%
202154.9%27.7%
202034.0%-6.9%
20193.1%-28.6%
20184.0%10.3%
201760.6%3.0%
201623.3%18.4%
201517.3%3.9%
20148.8%-5.1%
201347.3%-7.8%
201229.9%7.3%
2011-4.9%10.7%
20101.1%-5.5%
200923.3%-34.8%
2008-58.6%22.8%
2007-4.0%-32.0%
200623.9%4.9%
200539.7%87.7%
200425.3%-22.1%
200326.4%-28.8%
2002-20.5%24.2%
2001-37.9%-19.7%
200030.7%-7.6%
199911 mo16.9%-63.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FACF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-12-02 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$58.98B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Earnings Quality (Accruals) Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Earnings Quality (Accruals) signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

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Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.