ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
accruals factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Earnings Quality (Accruals) Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FACIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−38%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
91
cap-weighted
Inception
Mar 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.07
Ann. Return (LS)
-0.9%
Ann. Volatility
12.8%
Max Drawdown
-54.8%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.01
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.0%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.26
not significant
Monthly turnover
16%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-38%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.57
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.1%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.07
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
12.1%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

91 of 91 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BA
BOEING COIndustrials$168.72B
16.03%
2VRT
VERTIV HOLDINGS COIndustrials$111.22B
10.57%
3UPS
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCIndustrials$100.06B
9.51%
4URI
UNITED RENTALS INCIndustrials$65.48B
6.22%
5BE
BLOOM ENERGY CORPIndustrials$61.14B
5.81%
6ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
4.62%
7AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE INCIndustrials$41.13B
3.91%
8CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
3.44%
9EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
3.06%
10JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
2.61%
11ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
2.53%
12VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
2.50%
13CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
2.43%
14SYM
SYMBOTIC INCIndustrials$24.86B
2.36%
15LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
2.23%
16EFX
EQUIFAX INCIndustrials$21.09B
2.00%
17ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
1.68%
18APG
API GROUP CORPIndustrials$17.38B
1.65%
19KNX
KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.46B
1.18%
20DRS
LEONARDO DRS INCIndustrials$11.77B
1.12%
21R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
1.00%
22AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
0.94%
23TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.85%
24HXL
HEXCEL CORPIndustrials$7.83B
0.74%
25LSTR
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INCIndustrials$7.18B
0.68%
26FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.65%
27SNDR
SCHNEIDER NATIONAL INCIndustrials$6.69B
0.64%
28MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.58%
29CWST
CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$6.09B
0.58%
30CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.54%
31ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.53%
32ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.48%
33HRI
HERC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$4.99B
0.47%
34BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.47%
35WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.47%
36TPC
TUTOR PERINI CORPIndustrials$4.14B
0.39%
37FA
FIRST ADVANTAGE CORPIndustrials$3.83B
0.36%
38WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.26%
39ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.24%
40CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.22%
41JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.19%
42ALGT
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COIndustrials$1.86B
0.18%
43LIND
LINDBLAD EXPEDITIONS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.81B
0.17%
44TH
TARGET HOSPITALITY CORPIndustrials$1.64B
0.16%
45TE
T1 ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.63B
0.15%
46ENOV
ENOVIS CORPIndustrials$1.56B
0.15%
47MRTN
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTDIndustrials$1.44B
0.14%
48BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.13%
49LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.13%
50NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.12%
51FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.25B
0.12%
52HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.11%
53CVLG
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.11%
54LNN
LINDSAY CORPIndustrials$1.17B
0.11%
55UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.11%
56KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.10%
57EVLV
EVOLV TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.02B
0.10%
58CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.08%
59CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.07%
60PKE
PARK AEROSPACE CORPIndustrials$677M
0.06%
61SWBI
SMITH & WESSON BRANDS INCIndustrials$665M
0.06%
62MEC
MAYVILLE ENGINEERING COMPANY INCIndustrials$634M
0.06%
63RGR
STURM RUGER & CO INCIndustrials$604M
0.06%
64HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.06%
65KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.05%
66WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.05%
67EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.05%
68ORN
ORION GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$518M
0.05%
69SPIR
SPIRE GLOBAL INCIndustrials$488M
0.05%
70SRTA
STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INCIndustrials$446M
0.04%
71FSTR
FOSTER L B COIndustrials$439M
0.04%
72CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.04%
73ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.04%
74MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.03%
75RTAC
RENATUS TACTICAL ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$329M
0.03%
76PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.03%
77ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.03%
78VNME
VENDOME ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$254M
0.02%
79FC
FRANKLIN COVEY COIndustrials$229M
0.02%
80ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.02%
81FORR
FORRESTER RESEARCH INCIndustrials$200M
0.02%
82PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.02%
83EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.02%
84HURC
HURCO COMPANIES INCIndustrials$142M
0.01%
85VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
86CHRN
CHRONOSCALE CORPIndustrials$94M
0.01%
87MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
88DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
89BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.01%
90LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.01%
91IBAC
IB ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.05T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

91 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
18%10
28%11
46%12
2%21
1%8
<1%3
<1%6
<1%1
<1%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 63% toward Growth. +5% unclassified (16 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt63% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 91 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 91 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.4 (95% CI 1.2-1.7)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
13.5%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.40x
within
parametric
1.24x
within
cornish fisher
1.34x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1996
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1996 paper.
Sharpe -0.07-0.9% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
54%
14 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.63
Sharpe, January 2015 – December 2017
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.05
Dispersion
0.41
Best window
0.78

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.12.5%5.7%
3 yearsp.a.12.8%-4.2%
5 yearsp.a.10.9%-0.5%
10 yearsp.a.14.7%0.2%
Since inceptionp.a.9.6%-1.7%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo9.2%3.1%
20257.4%-13.0%
202414.5%-1.8%
202336.2%-4.1%
2022-15.5%7.8%
202132.7%8.6%
202018.4%6.7%
201927.7%-10.0%
2018-6.6%7.4%
201727.4%3.9%
20169.2%-10.3%
2015-6.3%-11.7%
201417.4%10.9%
201345.8%-5.2%
201210.9%-4.6%
2011-6.2%-6.8%
201024.0%2.2%
200924.4%-14.8%
2008-40.1%-5.5%
20074.1%-6.7%
200613.4%-9.0%
200515.9%7.2%
200431.7%5.7%
200332.8%7.5%
2002-13.7%-4.0%
20016.7%0.6%
2000-0.1%11.0%
1999-8.5%-13.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FACI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-03-22 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.05T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Earnings Quality (Accruals) Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Earnings Quality (Accruals) signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.