ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Conservative Asset Growth Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FASFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+17%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
108
cap-weighted
Inception
Apr 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.11
Ann. Return (LS)
1.3%
Ann. Volatility
12.0%
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.13
Test FF5 α (ann.)
1.2%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.27
not significant
Monthly turnover
13%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
17%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.45
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
9.8%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.11
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
8.5%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

108 of 108 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1V
VISA INCFinancial Services$652.82B
50.49%
2MCO
MOODYS CORPFinancial Services$89.25B
6.90%
3MRSH
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$87.77B
6.79%
4AON
AON PLCFinancial Services$78.43B
6.07%
5AFL
AFLAC INCFinancial Services$63.48B
4.91%
6NDAQ
NASDAQ INCFinancial Services$51.83B
4.01%
7AIG
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$42.68B
3.30%
8KEY
KEYCORPFinancial Services$25.53B
1.97%
9UNM
UNUM GROUPFinancial Services$14.23B
1.10%
10RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
1.07%
11IVZ
INVESCO LTDFinancial Services$13.13B
1.02%
12ZION
ZIONS BANCORPORATION NATIONAL ASSOCIATIONFinancial Services$10.63B
0.82%
13FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.71%
14RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
0.53%
15CACC
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$6.69B
0.52%
16OZK
BANK OF THE OZARKS INCFinancial Services$6.32B
0.49%
17MTG
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$6.23B
0.48%
18FLG
FLAGSTAR BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATIONFinancial Services$6.21B
0.48%
19OBDC
BLUE OWL CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$5.45B
0.42%
20MC
MOELIS & COFinancial Services$5.30B
0.41%
21NNI
NELNET INCFinancial Services$4.83B
0.37%
22LAZ
LAZARD INCFinancial Services$4.82B
0.37%
23SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.37%
24SFBS
SERVISFIRST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$4.75B
0.37%
25FBP
FIRST BANCORPFinancial Services$4.24B
0.33%
26MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
0.32%
27GNW
GENWORTH FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$3.86B
0.30%
28FIBK
FIRST INTERSTATE BANCSYSTEM INCFinancial Services$3.81B
0.29%
29AB
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LPFinancial Services$3.54B
0.27%
30GBDC
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$3.40B
0.26%
31SFNC
SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$3.33B
0.26%
32FSK
FS KKR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$3.06B
0.24%
33WAFD
WAFD INCFinancial Services$2.82B
0.22%
34BUSE
FIRST BUSEY CORPFinancial Services$2.54B
0.20%
35GSHD
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INCFinancial Services$1.93B
0.15%
36CASH
PATHWARD FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.89B
0.15%
37GABC
GERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.82B
0.14%
38TSLX
SIXTH STREET SPECIALTY LENDING INCFinancial Services$1.66B
0.13%
39KMPR
KEMPER CORPFinancial Services$1.65B
0.13%
40WABC
WESTAMERICA BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$1.44B
0.11%
41DFIN
DONNELLEY FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INCFinancial Services$1.25B
0.10%
42NBN
NORTHEAST BANCORPFinancial Services$1.20B
0.09%
43UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.08%
44OCSL
OAKTREE SPECIALTY LENDING CORPFinancial Services$1.07B
0.08%
45HBNC
HORIZON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.04B
0.08%
46AMTB
AMERANT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.03B
0.08%
47GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.08%
48ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.08%
49EIG
EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$918M
0.07%
50CAC
CAMDEN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$917M
0.07%
51BBDC
BARINGS BDC INCFinancial Services$890M
0.07%
52GSBC
GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$852M
0.07%
53EGBN
EAGLE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$835M
0.06%
54HTB
HOMETRUST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$824M
0.06%
55BCSF
BAIN CAPITAL SPECIALTY FINANCE INCFinancial Services$823M
0.06%
56HRTG
HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$821M
0.06%
57NAVI
NAVIENT CORPFinancial Services$813M
0.06%
58ALRS
ALERUS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$808M
0.06%
59MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.06%
60FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.06%
61WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.05%
62NMFC
NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$672M
0.05%
63MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.05%
64AMSF
AMERISAFE INCFinancial Services$634M
0.05%
65NCDL
NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORPFinancial Services$627M
0.05%
66ACNB
ACNB CORPFinancial Services$617M
0.05%
67KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.05%
68CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
0.04%
69ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.04%
70WTBA
WEST BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$460M
0.04%
71CCAP
CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$407M
0.03%
72GBLI
GLOBAL INDEMNITY GROUP LLCFinancial Services$400M
0.03%
73CHMG
CHEMUNG FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$366M
0.03%
74MBI
MBIA INCFinancial Services$333M
0.03%
75NODK
NI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$326M
0.03%
76SAR
SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$320M
0.02%
77PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.02%
78CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.02%
79OSG
OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.02%
80OPRT
OPORTUN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$274M
0.02%
81LCNB
LCNB CORPFinancial Services$273M
0.02%
82HWBK
HAWTHORN BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$270M
0.02%
83BPRN
PRINCETON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$263M
0.02%
84ATLO
AMES NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$262M
0.02%
85RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.02%
86RWAY
RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$239M
0.02%
87NKSH
NATIONAL BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$233M
0.02%
88INBK
FIRST INTERNET BANCORPFinancial Services$233M
0.02%
89EFSI
EAGLE FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$229M
0.02%
90SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.02%
91BVFL
BV FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$186M
0.01%
92EBMT
EAGLE BANCORP MONTANA INCFinancial Services$185M
0.01%
93BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.01%
94MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.01%
95RMBI
RICHMOND MUTUAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$165M
0.01%
96FNWD
FINWARD BANCORPFinancial Services$157M
0.01%
97WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.01%
98GHI
GREYSTONE HOUSING IMPACT INVESTORS LPFinancial Services$123M
0.01%
99SAMG
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP INCFinancial Services$118M
0.01%
100BSBK
BOGOTA FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$116M
0.01%
101FNWB
FIRST NORTHWEST BANCORPFinancial Services$116M
0.01%
102PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.01%
103RVSB
RIVERVIEW BANCORP INCFinancial Services$107M
0.01%
104PBHC
PATHFINDER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$103M
0.01%
105FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%
106GECC
GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$74M
0.01%
107NSTS
NSTS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$73M
0.01%
108TCBS
TEXAS COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$50M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.29T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

108 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
4%7
6%3
83%13
2%13
3%15
1%8
<1%25
<1%18
<1%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 89% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (3 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt96% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt89% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 108 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    49.7%
    Margin
    -25.3%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    50.5%
    Margin
    -25.5%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied
  • At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.

    Required
    >= 50.0%
    Actual
    49.7%
    Margin
    -0.3%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

    Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 108 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.6 (95% CI 1.2-1.9)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
15.6%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.62x
within
parametric
1.38x
within
cornish fisher
1.57x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 17%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2008
Before publication (pre-2008)
0.20
Sharpe · 2.5% p.a.
January 1999December 2008 · 120 mo
Since publication
0.05
Sharpe · 0.6% p.a.
January 2009July 2026 · 211 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.15Sharpe weakened since publication

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
58%
15 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.88
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.09
Dispersion
0.54
Best window
0.93

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.-3.2%-6.5%
3 yearsp.a.14.9%2.0%
5 yearsp.a.10.1%3.9%
10 yearsp.a.12.3%0.5%
Since inceptionp.a.7.7%0.6%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo-2.6%-4.7%
202519.2%13.9%
202421.7%-15.5%
20239.5%4.8%
2022-0.3%34.3%
202135.9%0.5%
2020-1.7%-13.1%
201921.6%-5.4%
2018-14.2%-10.3%
201724.7%0.9%
201618.6%13.2%
2015-2.6%-3.1%
20148.0%4.9%
201339.8%-0.2%
201250.4%27.6%
2011-30.7%-22.7%
20106.3%-5.8%
200934.8%-5.0%
2008-49.3%-11.3%
2007-19.8%5.0%
200613.4%-9.8%
20059.7%4.5%
200412.0%-2.5%
200340.1%1.3%
2002-14.6%-3.3%
20013.2%29.8%
200048.0%20.8%
19996.2%-9.5%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FASF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-04-27 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.29T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Conservative Asset Growth Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Conservative Asset Growth signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.