Foundry Consumer Cyclical CBOperProf Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1AMZN | AMAZON COM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66T | 73.46% |
2MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $190.21B | 5.25% |
3SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $120.23B | 3.32% |
4LOW | LOWES COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $117.04B | 3.23% |
5EBAY | EBAY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $49.75B | 1.37% |
6CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $44.18B | 1.22% |
7YUM | YUM BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $40.77B | 1.13% |
8LVS | LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $30.06B | 0.83% |
9TPR | TAPESTRY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $28.58B | 0.79% |
10WSM | WILLIAMS SONOMA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.89B | 0.74% |
11SN | SHARKNINJA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $21.87B | 0.60% |
12ROL | ROLLINS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $21.72B | 0.60% |
13ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $20.62B | 0.57% |
14NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $17.52B | 0.48% |
15DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $14.79B | 0.41% |
16TXRH | TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.95B | 0.36% |
17LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.61B | 0.35% |
18DKNG | DRAFTKINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.37B | 0.34% |
19NYT | NEW YORK TIMES CO | Consumer Cyclical | $12.29B | 0.34% |
20HAS | HASBRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.54B | 0.32% |
21MUSA | MURPHY USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.43B | 0.32% |
22CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $10.77B | 0.30% |
23DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.72B | 0.30% |
24ALV | AUTOLIV INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.81B | 0.24% |
25DDS | DILLARD'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.61B | 0.24% |
26EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.12B | 0.22% |
27ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.98B | 0.22% |
28MBLY | MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.76B | 0.21% |
29RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.56B | 0.21% |
30RRR | RED ROCK RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.76B | 0.19% |
31BYD | BOYD GAMING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $6.52B | 0.18% |
32HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.33B | 0.15% |
33FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.32B | 0.15% |
34GNTX | GENTEX CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.19B | 0.14% |
35CAKE | CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.26B | 0.12% |
36BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.21B | 0.12% |
37WING | WINGSTOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.88B | 0.11% |
38QS | QUANTUMSCAPE CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.60B | 0.10% |
39CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.16B | 0.09% |
40PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.55B | 0.07% |
41SHAK | SHAKE SHACK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.07% |
42BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.07% |
43BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.19B | 0.06% |
44MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.18B | 0.06% |
45WINA | WINMARK CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.39B | 0.04% |
46REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.04% |
47ACVA | ACV AUCTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.30B | 0.04% |
48LQDT | LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.23B | 0.03% |
49CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.20B | 0.03% |
50PZZA | PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.08B | 0.03% |
51AEVA | AEVA TECHNOLOGIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.05B | 0.03% |
52ARKO | ARKO CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $893M | 0.02% |
53TDUP | THREDUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $852M | 0.02% |
54CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $670M | 0.02% |
55ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $547M | 0.02% |
56BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $437M | 0.01% |
57NATH | NATHANS FAMOUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $393M | 0.01% |
58BBBY | BED BATH & BEYOND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $372M | 0.01% |
59SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $197M | 0.01% |
60INSE | INSPIRED ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $174M | 0.00% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $3.62T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 92% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 60 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual31.3%Margin-43.7%No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required<= 25.0%Actual73.5%Margin-48.5%
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Required>= 50.0%Actual31.3%Margin-18.7%Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 60 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 21%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 2.4% | -16.5% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 4.4% | 13.7% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 14.0% | 6.4% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 11.7% | 9.5% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | 3.5% | -5.8% |
| 2025 | 2.0% | -6.6% |
| 2024 | 28.3% | 21.2% |
| 2023 | 46.8% | 18.7% |
| 2022 | -41.5% | 32.5% |
| 2021 | 16.0% | -0.4% |
| 2020 | 47.1% | -17.6% |
| 2019 | 24.9% | -2.4% |
| 2018 | 11.3% | 35.3% |
| 2017 | 35.5% | 1.9% |
| 2016 | 7.5% | 8.4% |
| 2015 | 26.0% | 31.0% |
| 2014 | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2013 | 35.6% | 2.5% |
| 2012 | 14.3% | -27.9% |
| 2011 | 17.0% | 32.3% |
| 2010 | 33.2% | -12.2% |
| 2009 | 70.2% | -9.4% |
| 2008 | -36.7% | 51.9% |
| 2007 | -8.9% | 26.6% |
| 2006 | 3.3% | -6.2% |
| 2005 | 2.3% | 5.8% |
| 2004 | 15.2% | -0.1% |
| 2003 | 39.1% | -18.2% |
| 2002 | -14.3% | 0.3% |
| 2001 | 15.6% | 2.1% |
| 2000 | -8.3% | 120.7% |
| 1999 | 14.4% | 67.3% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical CBOperProf Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a CBOperProf signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.