ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials CBOperProf Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCBIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+453%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
78
cap-weighted
Inception
May 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.42
Ann. Return (LS)
7.9%
Ann. Volatility
18.7%
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.13
Test FF5 α (ann.)
3.1%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.42
not significant
Monthly turnover
8%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
453%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.70
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
12.1%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.42
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
4.2%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

78 of 78 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORPIndustrials$179.15B
8.34%
2BKNG
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$140.78B
6.55%
3HWM
HOWMET AEROSPACE INCIndustrials$109.00B
5.07%
4UPS
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCIndustrials$100.06B
4.66%
5WM
WASTE MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$96.10B
4.47%
6CMI
CUMMINS INCIndustrials$89.48B
4.16%
7ABNB
AIRBNB INCIndustrials$87.98B
4.09%
8MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
3.88%
9CTAS
CINTAS CORPIndustrials$81.80B
3.81%
10ITW
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCIndustrials$79.42B
3.70%
11RCL
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDIndustrials$76.96B
3.58%
12FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
3.47%
13TDG
TRANSDIGM GROUP INCIndustrials$67.93B
3.16%
14GWW
WW GRAINGER INCIndustrials$65.86B
3.06%
15FIX
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INCIndustrials$58.93B
2.74%
16FAST
FASTENAL COIndustrials$52.20B
2.43%
17ROK
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INCIndustrials$51.39B
2.39%
18ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
2.26%
19AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE INCIndustrials$41.13B
1.91%
20UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
1.74%
21EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
1.50%
22OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
1.31%
23CRS
CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPIndustrials$27.71B
1.29%
24JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
1.28%
25VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
1.22%
26CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
1.19%
27XPO
XPO INCIndustrials$25.25B
1.17%
28EXPD
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INCIndustrials$23.91B
1.11%
29LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
1.09%
30VLTO
VERALTO CORPIndustrials$23.04B
1.07%
31ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
0.82%
32WSO
WATSCO INCIndustrials$15.12B
0.70%
33LECO
LINCOLN ELECTRIC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$13.85B
0.64%
34MLI
MUELLER INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$13.08B
0.61%
35KNX
KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.46B
0.58%
36AIT
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$12.43B
0.58%
37GGG
GRACO INCIndustrials$12.38B
0.58%
38IESC
IES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.21B
0.57%
39SAIA
SAIA INCIndustrials$11.65B
0.54%
40AEIS
ADVANCED ENERGY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.80B
0.50%
41DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
0.49%
42AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
0.46%
43TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.42%
44POWL
POWELL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$8.48B
0.39%
45TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.38%
46AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
0.38%
47BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.36%
48POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.34%
49LSTR
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INCIndustrials$7.18B
0.33%
50SNDR
SCHNEIDER NATIONAL INCIndustrials$6.69B
0.31%
51MSA
MSA SAFETY INCIndustrials$6.60B
0.31%
52MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.28%
53ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.26%
54BRC
BRADY CORPIndustrials$4.41B
0.21%
55GFF
GRIFFON CORPIndustrials$4.20B
0.20%
56SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.18%
57ATRO
ASTRONICS CORPIndustrials$2.41B
0.11%
58EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.08%
59TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.08%
60MRTN
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTDIndustrials$1.44B
0.07%
61LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.06%
62NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.06%
63HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.06%
64UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.05%
65KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.05%
66CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.04%
67PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.03%
68SWBI
SMITH & WESSON BRANDS INCIndustrials$665M
0.03%
69ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.02%
70FWRD
FORWARD AIR CORPIndustrials$435M
0.02%
71RLGT
RADIANT LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$431M
0.02%
72CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.02%
73ISSC
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INCIndustrials$330M
0.02%
74OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.01%
75ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.01%
76TAYD
TAYLOR DEVICES INCIndustrials$176M
0.01%
77BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.00%
78LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $2.15T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

78 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
33%19
48%26
19%11
<1%7
<1%5
<1%3
<1%4
·
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 100% toward Large, 43% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt100% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt43% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 78 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 78 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.2 (95% CI 1.0-1.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
11.9%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.24x
within
parametric
1.08x
within
cornish fisher
1.01x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2016
Before publication (pre-2016)
0.48
Sharpe · 8.1% p.a.
January 1999December 2016 · 216 mo
Since publication
0.35
Sharpe · 7.6% p.a.
January 2017July 2026 · 115 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.13Sharpe weakened since publication6% of the prior annual return given up

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
77%
20 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.88
Sharpe, January 2023 – December 2025
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.39
Dispersion
0.63
Best window
1.47

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.15.1%20.5%
3 yearsp.a.10.8%0.4%
5 yearsp.a.8.2%-0.4%
10 yearsp.a.12.1%5.7%
Since inceptionp.a.11.2%6.4%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo13.3%23.5%
20257.7%-16.1%
20249.0%-7.7%
202325.7%-26.9%
2022-16.0%23.9%
202118.5%21.7%
202017.6%3.2%
201923.3%-6.0%
2018-10.5%29.7%
201729.4%24.4%
201620.4%14.0%
2015-9.9%-1.6%
201416.4%22.4%
201345.9%-6.3%
201214.6%2.5%
2011-0.2%12.4%
201025.5%-7.1%
200931.6%11.1%
2008-34.5%1.1%
20072.6%-9.6%
200611.6%-14.3%
200513.7%-5.2%
200413.4%-8.4%
200335.7%0.7%
2002-5.6%51.8%
20012.4%4.6%
200023.4%74.7%
199921.3%15.3%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCBI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-05-02 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$2.15T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials CBOperProf Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a CBOperProf signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.