Foundry Consumer Cyclical CashProd Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1F | FORD MOTOR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $56.70B | 23.56% |
2SW | SMURFIT WESTROCK PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $23.23B | 9.65% |
3IP | INTERNATIONAL PAPER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $19.89B | 8.26% |
4PAG | PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.32B | 5.54% |
5MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $11.80B | 4.90% |
6SCI | SERVICE CORP INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $10.86B | 4.51% |
7KMX | CARMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.14B | 3.38% |
8LAD | LITHIA MOTORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.65B | 3.18% |
9AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.88B | 2.86% |
10LKQ | LKQ CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $6.47B | 2.69% |
11CZR | CAESARS ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.08B | 2.53% |
12SON | SONOCO PRODUCTS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $5.59B | 2.32% |
13ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.10B | 1.70% |
14HGV | HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.98B | 1.66% |
15GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.88B | 1.61% |
16PVH | PVH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.60B | 1.50% |
17RH | RH | Consumer Cyclical | $3.55B | 1.48% |
18KBH | KB HOME | Consumer Cyclical | $3.44B | 1.43% |
19GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.20B | 1.33% |
20SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 1.32% |
21PENN | PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.75B | 1.14% |
22WHR | WHIRLPOOL CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 1.03% |
23PRKS | UNITED PARKS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.13B | 0.88% |
24GT | GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.10B | 0.87% |
25KSS | KOHLS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.96B | 0.82% |
26CCS | CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.89B | 0.78% |
27FUN | SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $1.79B | 0.74% |
28MLKN | MILLERKNOLL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.49B | 0.62% |
29OI | O-I GLASS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.40B | 0.58% |
30LGIH | LGI HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.36B | 0.56% |
31CBRL | CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.20B | 0.50% |
32MBC | MASTERBRAND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.11B | 0.46% |
33LUCK | LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.01B | 0.42% |
34BZH | BEAZER HOMES USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $900M | 0.37% |
35WGO | WINNEBAGO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $868M | 0.36% |
36SMP | STANDARD MOTOR PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $859M | 0.36% |
37FOXF | FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $798M | 0.33% |
38FWRG | FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $768M | 0.32% |
39BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $731M | 0.30% |
40BALY | BALLY'S CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $688M | 0.29% |
41CWH | CAMPING WORLD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $637M | 0.26% |
42OXM | OXFORD INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $604M | 0.25% |
43CSV | CARRIAGE SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $598M | 0.25% |
44MNRO | MONRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $509M | 0.21% |
45LOCO | EL POLLO LOCO HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $505M | 0.21% |
46BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $437M | 0.18% |
47GCO | GENESCO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $411M | 0.17% |
48CAL | CALERES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $398M | 0.17% |
49LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $357M | 0.15% |
50RCKY | ROCKY BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $309M | 0.13% |
51DBI | DESIGNER BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $290M | 0.12% |
52JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $286M | 0.12% |
53MPAA | MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $265M | 0.11% |
54ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $224M | 0.09% |
55RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $200M | 0.08% |
56LCUT | LIFETIME BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $195M | 0.08% |
57COOK | TRAEGER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $193M | 0.08% |
58AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $119M | 0.05% |
59VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $97M | 0.04% |
60VNCE | VINCE HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $83M | 0.03% |
61RGS | REGIS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $74M | 0.03% |
62NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $66M | 0.03% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $240.68B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 84% toward Large, 39% toward Growth. +7% unclassified (12 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 62 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual73.0%Margin-2.0%
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 62 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 14.8% | 4.1% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 4.8% | -9.3% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 0.7% | -6.7% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 8.2% | -7.7% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 6.6% | -3.4% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| 2025 | -12.1% | -18.9% |
| 2024 | 8.5% | -20.4% |
| 2023 | 19.8% | -14.5% |
| 2022 | -31.3% | 10.4% |
| 2021 | 55.2% | 31.3% |
| 2020 | 31.2% | -21.8% |
| 2019 | 24.0% | -2.3% |
| 2018 | -25.2% | -34.4% |
| 2017 | 18.5% | -12.1% |
| 2016 | 12.8% | 11.5% |
| 2015 | -7.0% | -20.7% |
| 2014 | 4.4% | -9.7% |
| 2013 | 46.5% | 2.1% |
| 2012 | 41.5% | 19.4% |
| 2011 | -6.3% | -18.3% |
| 2010 | 45.1% | 11.6% |
| 2009 | 74.4% | 35.6% |
| 2008 | -52.9% | -21.8% |
| 2007 | -34.7% | -24.9% |
| 2006 | 15.6% | 7.3% |
| 2005 | -0.8% | 2.8% |
| 2004 | 17.8% | -0.2% |
| 2003 | 43.7% | 7.5% |
| 2002 | -10.6% | 7.3% |
| 2001 | 23.9% | 11.3% |
| 2000 | -7.1% | 30.5% |
| 1999 | -15.2% | -29.4% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical CashProd Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a CashProd signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.