ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services CashProd Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCAFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−59%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
111
cap-weighted
Inception
Feb 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.20
Ann. Return (LS)
-2.5%
Ann. Volatility
12.6%
Max Drawdown
-80.7%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.04
Test FF5 α (ann.)
3.9%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.13
not significant
Monthly turnover
10%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-59%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.36
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
7.1%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.20
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.6%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

111 of 111 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1CB
CHUBB LTDFinancial Services$136.59B
13.83%
2CME
CME GROUP INCFinancial Services$88.80B
8.99%
3ICE
INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE INCFinancial Services$78.97B
7.99%
4TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
7.79%
5ALL
ALLSTATE CORPFinancial Services$64.33B
6.51%
6FITB
FIFTH THIRD BANCORPFinancial Services$52.58B
5.32%
7AIG
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$42.68B
4.32%
8PRU
PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$41.32B
4.18%
9HIG
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$38.45B
3.89%
10ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
3.58%
11KEY
KEYCORPFinancial Services$25.53B
2.58%
12PFG
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$24.61B
2.49%
13L
LOEWS CORPFinancial Services$23.55B
2.38%
14CRBG
COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$14.56B
1.47%
15GL
GLOBE LIFE INCFinancial Services$14.35B
1.45%
16UNM
UNUM GROUPFinancial Services$14.23B
1.44%
17CNA
CNA FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$14.14B
1.43%
18FNF
FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$13.97B
1.41%
19ORI
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$10.26B
1.04%
20VOYA
VOYA FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$9.04B
0.92%
21JXN
JACKSON FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$8.76B
0.89%
22VLY
VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORPFinancial Services$8.28B
0.84%
23LNC
LINCOLN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$8.08B
0.82%
24HWC
HANCOCK WHITNEY CORPFinancial Services$6.37B
0.64%
25AUB
ATLANTIC UNION BANKSHARES CORPFinancial Services$6.10B
0.62%
26SIGI
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.78B
0.58%
27WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.55%
28EBC
EASTERN BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$5.32B
0.54%
29RDN
RADIAN GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.24B
0.53%
30PFSI
PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$4.43B
0.45%
31UCB
UNITED COMMUNITY BANKS INCFinancial Services$4.36B
0.44%
32FG
F&G ANNUITIES & LIFE INCFinancial Services$4.25B
0.43%
33GNW
GENWORTH FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$3.86B
0.39%
34BHF
BRIGHTHOUSE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$3.77B
0.38%
35BKU
BANKUNITED INCFinancial Services$3.55B
0.36%
36GBDC
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$3.40B
0.34%
37BOH
BANK OF HAWAII CORPFinancial Services$3.40B
0.34%
38SFNC
SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$3.33B
0.34%
39PFS
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$3.14B
0.32%
40FSK
FS KKR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$3.06B
0.31%
41HTGC
HERCULES CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$3.03B
0.31%
42TBBK
BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.85B
0.29%
43FRME
FIRST MERCHANTS CORPFinancial Services$2.81B
0.28%
44NBTB
NBT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.28%
45BUSE
FIRST BUSEY CORPFinancial Services$2.54B
0.26%
46MBIN
MERCHANTS BANCORPFinancial Services$2.28B
0.23%
47NWBI
NORTHWEST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.23%
48AGM
FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORPFinancial Services$2.23B
0.23%
49HMN
HORACE MANN EDUCATORS CORPFinancial Services$2.12B
0.22%
50SRCE
1ST SOURCE CORPFinancial Services$2.01B
0.20%
51GABC
GERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.82B
0.18%
52BY
BYLINE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.73B
0.17%
53TSLX
SIXTH STREET SPECIALTY LENDING INCFinancial Services$1.66B
0.17%
54KMPR
KEMPER CORPFinancial Services$1.65B
0.17%
55QCRH
QCR HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.63B
0.16%
56TRIN
TRINITY CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.60B
0.16%
57ATLC
ATLANTICUS HOLDINGS CORPFinancial Services$1.52B
0.15%
58BHRB
BURKE & HERBERT FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$1.44B
0.15%
59AMAL
AMALGAMATED FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.42B
0.14%
60PEBO
PEOPLES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.42B
0.14%
61TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.14%
62OSBC
OLD SECOND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.22B
0.12%
63OPY
OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.17B
0.12%
64OCFC
OCEANFIRST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.15B
0.12%
65AMTB
AMERANT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.03B
0.10%
66GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.10%
67CAC
CAMDEN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$917M
0.09%
68THFF
FIRST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$909M
0.09%
69MPB
MID PENN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$898M
0.09%
70SMBC
SOUTHERN MISSOURI BANCORP INCFinancial Services$853M
0.09%
71BCSF
BAIN CAPITAL SPECIALTY FINANCE INCFinancial Services$823M
0.08%
72MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.08%
73FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.08%
74WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.07%
75DGICA
DONEGAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$693M
0.07%
76VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
0.07%
77TIPT
TIPTREE INCFinancial Services$669M
0.07%
78GAIN
GLADSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATIONFinancial Services$659M
0.07%
79MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.07%
80BHB
BAR HARBOR BANKSHARESFinancial Services$639M
0.06%
81KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.06%
82CIVB
CIVISTA BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$593M
0.06%
83COFS
CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$508M
0.05%
84GLAD
GLADSTONE CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$450M
0.05%
85CZNC
CITIZENS & NORTHERN CORPFinancial Services$418M
0.04%
86ISTR
INVESTAR HOLDING CORPFinancial Services$412M
0.04%
87CCAP
CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$407M
0.04%
88FNLC
FIRST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$389M
0.04%
89ABTC
AMERICAN BITCOIN CORPFinancial Services$386M
0.04%
90CHMG
CHEMUNG FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$366M
0.04%
91WSBF
WATERSTONE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$356M
0.04%
92CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
0.04%
93ONIT
ONITY GROUP INCFinancial Services$344M
0.03%
94PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.03%
95CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.03%
96WNEB
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$294M
0.03%
97ISBA
ISABELLA BANK CORPFinancial Services$288M
0.03%
98LCNB
LCNB CORPFinancial Services$273M
0.03%
99CIA
CITIZENS INCFinancial Services$272M
0.03%
100MRBK
MERIDIAN CORPFinancial Services$241M
0.02%
101RWAY
RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$239M
0.02%
102FSBW
FS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$238M
0.02%
103SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.02%
104FOA
FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$216M
0.02%
105LARK
LANDMARK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.02%
106GHI
GREYSTONE HOUSING IMPACT INVESTORS LPFinancial Services$123M
0.01%
107UNB
UNION BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$117M
0.01%
108BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.01%
109PFX
PHENIXFIN CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.01%
110IOR
INCOME OPPORTUNITY REALTY INVESTORS INCFinancial Services$84M
0.01%
111FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $987.88B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

111 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
13%9
47%13
30%9
4%19
3%18
1%5
1%24
1%11
<1%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 94% toward Large, 56% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt94% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt56% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 111 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 111 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.8 (95% CI 1.2-2.3)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
16.9%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.76x
within
parametric
1.29x
within
cornish fisher
1.57x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 36%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2009
Before publication (pre-2009)
-0.22
Sharpe · -3.4% p.a.
January 1999December 2009 · 132 mo
Since publication
-0.18
Sharpe · -1.9% p.a.
January 2010July 2026 · 199 mo
Change in Sharpe+0.03Sharpe strengthened since publication

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
35%
9 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.58
Sharpe, January 2017 – December 2019
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.29
Dispersion
0.71
Best window
0.71

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.21.5%26.0%
3 yearsp.a.19.5%6.1%
5 yearsp.a.11.4%5.5%
10 yearsp.a.9.9%-3.1%
Since inceptionp.a.5.2%-3.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo10.7%14.9%
202512.8%3.6%
202420.3%-5.6%
20236.2%-11.4%
2022-2.7%13.0%
202130.5%16.1%
2020-11.9%-20.8%
201926.5%-5.3%
2018-18.2%-17.2%
201712.1%-14.6%
201622.3%5.4%
20153.0%4.8%
20147.9%-4.3%
201345.0%-1.2%
201221.1%-5.4%
2011-13.9%-12.1%
201016.7%11.5%
2009-3.6%-25.6%
2008-52.1%-16.4%
2007-14.0%-23.3%
200613.5%-7.9%
20059.9%0.7%
200413.5%-0.5%
200327.4%1.4%
2002-15.7%3.2%
2001-9.5%1.8%
200048.4%36.1%
1999-0.3%-5.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCAF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-02-23 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$987.88B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services CashProd Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a CashProd signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.