Foundry Consumer Cyclical Cash Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1ROST | ROSS STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $74.89B | 14.63% |
2CVNA | CARVANA CO | Consumer Cyclical | $73.86B | 14.43% |
3NKE | NIKE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $64.92B | 12.68% |
4CPNG | COUPANG INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.83B | 5.83% |
5RL | RALPH LAUREN CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $22.64B | 4.42% |
6RIVN | RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $22.00B | 4.30% |
7NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $17.52B | 3.42% |
8DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $14.79B | 2.89% |
9LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.61B | 2.46% |
10DKNG | DRAFTKINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.37B | 2.42% |
11W | WAYFAIR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.79B | 2.30% |
12CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $10.77B | 2.10% |
13DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.72B | 2.09% |
14GME | GAMESTOP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $9.82B | 1.92% |
15DDS | DILLARD'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.61B | 1.68% |
16CAVA | CAVA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.02B | 1.57% |
17ETSY | ETSY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.98B | 1.56% |
18RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.56B | 1.48% |
19GAP | GAP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.33B | 1.43% |
20IBP | INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.16B | 1.20% |
21HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.33B | 1.04% |
22FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.32B | 1.04% |
23ANDG | ANDERSEN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.02B | 0.98% |
24PTRN | PATTERN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.97B | 0.97% |
25SKY | CHAMPION HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.54B | 0.89% |
26CVCO | CAVCO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.35B | 0.85% |
27ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $4.23B | 0.83% |
28WING | WINGSTOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.88B | 0.76% |
29AAP | ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 0.62% |
30VC | VISTEON CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.55% |
31HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.55% |
32PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.55B | 0.50% |
33BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.48% |
34BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.19B | 0.43% |
35MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.18B | 0.43% |
36SIND | SYNTHETIC INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.03B | 0.40% |
37RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.35% |
38TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.46B | 0.28% |
39CRI | CARTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.40B | 0.27% |
40WINA | WINMARK CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.39B | 0.27% |
41REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 0.26% |
42ACVA | ACV AUCTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.30B | 0.25% |
43LQDT | LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.23B | 0.24% |
44AEVA | AEVA TECHNOLOGIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.05B | 0.21% |
45ACEL | ACCEL ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $989M | 0.19% |
46BH | BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $882M | 0.17% |
47MOV | MOVADO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $859M | 0.17% |
48TDUP | THREDUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $852M | 0.17% |
49SG | SWEETGREEN INC | Consumer Cyclical | $841M | 0.16% |
50ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $547M | 0.11% |
51XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $541M | 0.11% |
52JOUT | JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $485M | 0.09% |
53HVT | HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $413M | 0.08% |
54MCFT | MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $407M | 0.08% |
55NATH | NATHANS FAMOUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $393M | 0.08% |
56FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $391M | 0.08% |
57WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $374M | 0.07% |
58BBBY | BED BATH & BEYOND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $372M | 0.07% |
59STRT | STRATTEC SECURITY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $344M | 0.07% |
60MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $114M | 0.02% |
61INTG | INTERGROUP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $84M | 0.02% |
62ROLR | HIGH ROLLER TECHNOLOGIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $76M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $511.99B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 92% toward Large, 71% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (6 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 62 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual72.4%Margin-2.6%
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 62 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | -9.7% | -9.8% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | -6.6% | -12.0% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | -6.2% | -10.4% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 12.7% | 1.8% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | -9.7% | -9.0% |
| 2025 | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| 2024 | -9.8% | -22.3% |
| 2023 | 50.7% | 26.4% |
| 2022 | -54.2% | -47.9% |
| 2021 | 20.9% | -12.3% |
| 2020 | 181.6% | 117.8% |
| 2019 | 33.8% | 4.6% |
| 2018 | -7.0% | 3.2% |
| 2017 | 35.7% | 29.4% |
| 2016 | 2.3% | -10.8% |
| 2015 | 27.4% | 35.8% |
| 2014 | -1.6% | -15.2% |
| 2013 | 32.2% | -12.2% |
| 2012 | 26.5% | -3.4% |
| 2011 | 13.7% | 12.2% |
| 2010 | 17.3% | -11.3% |
| 2009 | 79.2% | 34.2% |
| 2008 | -46.4% | -15.4% |
| 2007 | 3.8% | 38.3% |
| 2006 | 17.5% | 6.2% |
| 2005 | -0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2004 | 23.5% | 11.4% |
| 2003 | 52.6% | 22.2% |
| 2002 | -22.5% | -14.5% |
| 2001 | 34.4% | 8.6% |
| 2000 | -41.5% | -41.5% |
| 1999 | 11.3% | 23.6% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Cash Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Cash signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.