ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Inventory Discipline Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCHIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+138%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
99
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.28
Ann. Return (LS)
4.3%
Ann. Volatility
15.0%
Max Drawdown
-47.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.04
Test FF5 α (ann.)
3.4%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.59
not significant
Monthly turnover
14%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
138%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.83
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
15.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.28
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
11.2%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

99 of 99 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BA
BOEING COIndustrials$168.72B
13.46%
2UPS
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCIndustrials$100.06B
7.98%
3GD
GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPIndustrials$99.68B
7.95%
4MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
6.65%
5NSC
NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPIndustrials$76.40B
6.09%
6NOC
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPIndustrials$74.08B
5.91%
7HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
5.69%
8PCAR
PACCAR INCIndustrials$66.42B
5.30%
9LHX
L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$52.54B
4.19%
10WCN
WASTE CONNECTIONS INCIndustrials$43.68B
3.48%
11XYL
XYLEM INCIndustrials$29.18B
2.33%
12ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
2.13%
13VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
2.10%
14XPO
XPO INCIndustrials$25.25B
2.01%
15RBA
RB GLOBAL INCIndustrials$20.80B
1.66%
16CLH
CLEAN HARBORS INCIndustrials$16.41B
1.31%
17NDSN
NORDSON CORPIndustrials$16.10B
1.28%
18BWXT
BWX TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$15.68B
1.25%
19WSO
WATSCO INCIndustrials$15.12B
1.21%
20SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INCIndustrials$14.02B
1.12%
21DRS
LEONARDO DRS INCIndustrials$11.77B
0.94%
22AYI
ACUITY INC (DE)Industrials$9.99B
0.80%
23TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.72%
24SARO
STANDARDAERO INCIndustrials$8.89B
0.71%
25FLS
FLOWSERVE CORPIndustrials$8.75B
0.70%
26POWL
POWELL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$8.48B
0.68%
27AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
0.67%
28AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
0.65%
29HXL
HEXCEL CORPIndustrials$7.83B
0.62%
30KEX
KIRBY CORPIndustrials$7.71B
0.62%
31ENS
ENERSYSIndustrials$7.18B
0.57%
32ACA
ARCOSA INCIndustrials$7.12B
0.57%
33GTES
GATES INDUSTRIAL CORP PLCIndustrials$6.76B
0.54%
34SNDR
SCHNEIDER NATIONAL INCIndustrials$6.69B
0.53%
35CWST
CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$6.09B
0.49%
36MIDD
MIDDLEBY CORPIndustrials$6.02B
0.48%
37UNF
UNIFIRST CORPIndustrials$5.27B
0.42%
38XMTR
XOMETRY INCIndustrials$5.18B
0.41%
39WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.39%
40DLB
DOLBY LABORATORIES INCIndustrials$4.64B
0.37%
41TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.36%
42GFF
GRIFFON CORPIndustrials$4.20B
0.33%
43XXI
TWENTY ONE CAPITAL INCIndustrials$3.48B
0.28%
44MGRC
MCGRATH RENTCORPIndustrials$2.90B
0.23%
45DCO
DUCOMMUN INCIndustrials$2.54B
0.20%
46PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.20%
47ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.20%
48VVX
V2X INCIndustrials$2.37B
0.19%
49CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.19%
50VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.17%
51GRC
GORMAN RUPP COIndustrials$2.11B
0.17%
52EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.14%
53TE
T1 ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.63B
0.13%
54GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.12%
55ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.11%
56WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.11%
57BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.11%
58NWPX
NWPX INFRASTRUCTURE INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.11%
59NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.10%
60FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.25B
0.10%
61LNN
LINDSAY CORPIndustrials$1.17B
0.09%
62UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.09%
63WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.09%
64GNK
GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTDIndustrials$1.05B
0.08%
65EVLV
EVOLV TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.02B
0.08%
66MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.07%
67CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.07%
68TRNS
TRANSCAT INCIndustrials$821M
0.07%
69CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.06%
70SWBI
SMITH & WESSON BRANDS INCIndustrials$665M
0.05%
71NVRI
ENVIRI CORPIndustrials$643M
0.05%
72RGR
STURM RUGER & CO INCIndustrials$604M
0.05%
73HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.05%
74KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.05%
75WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.04%
76TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.04%
77BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.04%
78TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.04%
79ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.04%
80FSTR
FOSTER L B COIndustrials$439M
0.03%
81WENN
WEN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$387M
0.03%
82MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.03%
83XRPN
ARMADA ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$330M
0.03%
84OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.02%
85ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.02%
86VNME
VENDOME ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$254M
0.02%
87GENC
GENCOR INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$235M
0.02%
88UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.02%
89ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.02%
90EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.01%
91TAYD
TAYLOR DEVICES INCIndustrials$176M
0.01%
92AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.01%
93AP
AMPCO PITTSBURGH CORPIndustrials$156M
0.01%
94EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.01%
95HURC
HURCO COMPANIES INCIndustrials$142M
0.01%
96VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
97CHRN
CHRONOSCALE CORPIndustrials$94M
0.01%
98WTG
WINTERGREEN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$76M
0.01%
99UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.25T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

99 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
40%15
33%19
19%6
2%21
1%9
<1%4
<1%7
<1%1
<1%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 38% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (14 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt38% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 99 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 99 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.3 (95% CI 1.0-1.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
12.3%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.28x
within
parametric
1.13x
within
cornish fisher
1.11x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2002
Before publication (pre-2002)
0.51
Sharpe · 12.0% p.a.
January 1999December 2002 · 48 mo
Since publication
0.23
Sharpe · 3.0% p.a.
January 2003July 2026 · 283 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.28Sharpe weakened since publication75% of the prior annual return given up

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
69%
18 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.85
Sharpe, January 2005 – December 2007
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.46
Dispersion
0.57
Best window
1.48

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.6.4%-22.4%
3 yearsp.a.16.9%-10.8%
5 yearsp.a.11.8%-9.0%
10 yearsp.a.16.8%0.2%
Since inceptionp.a.14.6%3.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo4.6%-18.1%
202523.0%-12.0%
202419.6%-0.7%
202323.0%-8.0%
2022-6.5%-0.1%
202129.3%9.1%
202025.0%13.5%
201938.2%17.7%
2018-18.9%-8.7%
201730.4%10.3%
201632.6%19.3%
2015-12.1%-10.8%
20148.6%9.0%
201334.4%-8.4%
201213.8%1.5%
20110.9%-4.4%
201042.5%18.9%
200941.8%12.8%
2008-23.9%53.6%
200711.0%-13.0%
200621.2%-3.0%
200510.9%-4.4%
200422.0%-3.6%
200335.0%3.2%
20020.2%27.6%
20012.8%-5.1%
200015.0%-9.9%
199917.2%32.5%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCHI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-12-25 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.25T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Inventory Discipline Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Inventory Discipline signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.