Foundry Consumer Cyclical ChTax Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1AMZN | AMAZON COM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.66T | 84.32% |
2TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $170.63B | 5.41% |
3HLT | HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $73.15B | 2.32% |
4SN | SHARKNINJA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $21.87B | 0.69% |
5FLUT | FLUTTER ENTERTAINMENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.54B | 0.59% |
6DKNG | DRAFTKINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.37B | 0.39% |
7HAS | HASBRO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.54B | 0.37% |
8FIVE | FIVE BELOW INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.20B | 0.36% |
9CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $10.77B | 0.34% |
10WYNN | WYNN RESORTS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $10.03B | 0.32% |
11GME | GAMESTOP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $9.82B | 0.31% |
12LTH | LIFE TIME GROUP HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.38B | 0.30% |
13LEVI | LEVI STRAUSS & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $9.38B | 0.30% |
14CHWY | CHEWY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.57B | 0.27% |
15EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.12B | 0.26% |
16CAVA | CAVA GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.02B | 0.25% |
17RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.56B | 0.24% |
18CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.81B | 0.22% |
19ECG | EVERUS CONSTRUCTION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.80B | 0.22% |
20BYD | BOYD GAMING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $6.52B | 0.21% |
21GTX | GARRETT MOTION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.95B | 0.19% |
22SON | SONOCO PRODUCTS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $5.59B | 0.18% |
23KTB | KONTOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.73B | 0.15% |
24CVCO | CAVCO INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.35B | 0.14% |
25PVH | PVH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.60B | 0.11% |
26MSGE | MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.56B | 0.11% |
27CALY | CALLAWAY GOLF CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.48B | 0.11% |
28PPLI | PEOPLE INC | Communication Services | $3.31B | 0.11% |
29AAP | ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.19B | 0.10% |
30UAA | UNDER ARMOUR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 0.10% |
31CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.16B | 0.10% |
32VC | VISTEON CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.09% |
33SHAK | SHAKE SHACK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.08% |
34BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.08% |
35BKE | BUCKLE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.19B | 0.07% |
36MCRI | MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.18B | 0.07% |
37GT | GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.10B | 0.07% |
38RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.06% |
39LEG | LEGGETT & PLATT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.50B | 0.05% |
40MLKN | MILLERKNOLL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.49B | 0.05% |
41TDAY | USA TODAY CO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.25B | 0.04% |
42LQDT | LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.23B | 0.04% |
43SCHL | SCHOLASTIC CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.02B | 0.03% |
44LUCK | LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.01B | 0.03% |
45BH | BIGLARI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $882M | 0.03% |
46CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $657M | 0.02% |
47CWH | CAMPING WORLD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $637M | 0.02% |
48ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $547M | 0.02% |
49JOUT | JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $485M | 0.02% |
50MCFT | MASTERCRAFT BOAT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $407M | 0.01% |
51FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $391M | 0.01% |
52LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $357M | 0.01% |
53HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.01% |
54JACK | JACK IN THE BOX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $286M | 0.01% |
55SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $197M | 0.01% |
56BSET | BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $187M | 0.01% |
57INSE | INSPIRED ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $174M | 0.01% |
58MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $114M | 0.00% |
59LAKE | LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $113M | 0.00% |
60INTG | INTERGROUP CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $84M | 0.00% |
61VNCE | VINCE HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $83M | 0.00% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $3.15T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 98% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (7 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 61 names now. The faded start covers early months with a much thinner universe. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual20.3%Margin-54.7%No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required<= 25.0%Actual84.3%Margin-59.3%
At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.
Required>= 50.0%Actual20.3%Margin-29.7%Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 61 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 16%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 33.5% | 28.6% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 20.3% | -4.3% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 10.6% | 0.1% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 13.3% | 0.7% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 10.2% | 0.5% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| 2025 | 18.3% | 25.9% |
| 2024 | 36.5% | -28.5% |
| 2023 | 29.1% | -11.3% |
| 2022 | -25.5% | 22.1% |
| 2021 | 31.5% | 15.3% |
| 2020 | 3.7% | -18.0% |
| 2019 | 32.6% | 1.9% |
| 2018 | -9.5% | 4.8% |
| 2017 | 31.7% | 10.5% |
| 2016 | 28.3% | 21.7% |
| 2015 | 4.6% | 5.7% |
| 2014 | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| 2013 | 37.0% | 1.5% |
| 2012 | 25.6% | -3.5% |
| 2011 | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| 2010 | 44.0% | 5.3% |
| 2009 | 34.6% | -33.2% |
| 2008 | -59.4% | -26.9% |
| 2007 | -8.4% | 27.0% |
| 2006 | 1.0% | -13.2% |
| 2005 | -4.5% | -7.2% |
| 2004 | 24.3% | 4.4% |
| 2003 | 50.4% | 7.0% |
| 2002 | -10.6% | -6.1% |
| 2001 | 24.4% | 7.7% |
| 2000 | -33.5% | -19.6% |
| 1999 | 54.9% | 43.7% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical ChTax Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a ChTax signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.