ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services ChTax Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCHFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+83%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
105
cap-weighted
Inception
Aug 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.25
Ann. Return (LS)
2.8%
Ann. Volatility
11.2%
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.28
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.37
not significant
Monthly turnover
12%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
83%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.53
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
9.7%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.25
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
6.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

105 of 105 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1MA
MASTERCARD INCFinancial Services$480.32B
25.31%
2CB
CHUBB LTDFinancial Services$136.59B
7.20%
3SPGI
S&P GLOBAL INCFinancial Services$133.45B
7.03%
4PGR
PROGRESSIVE CORPFinancial Services$121.51B
6.40%
5HOOD
ROBINHOOD MARKETS INCFinancial Services$90.01B
4.74%
6AON
AON PLCFinancial Services$78.43B
4.13%
7TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
4.06%
8APO
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$69.45B
3.66%
9ALL
ALLSTATE CORPFinancial Services$64.33B
3.39%
10NDAQ
NASDAQ INCFinancial Services$51.83B
2.73%
11RKT
ROCKET COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$41.14B
2.17%
12ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
1.87%
13CINF
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$27.97B
1.47%
14ARES
ARES MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$27.90B
1.47%
15WTW
WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLCFinancial Services$27.71B
1.46%
16KEY
KEYCORPFinancial Services$25.53B
1.35%
17TW
TRADEWEB MARKETS INCFinancial Services$23.58B
1.24%
18SOFI
SOFI TECHNOLOGIES INCFinancial Services$22.17B
1.17%
19BEN
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INCFinancial Services$16.96B
0.89%
20EG
EVEREST GROUP LTDFinancial Services$15.14B
0.80%
21FNF
FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$13.97B
0.74%
22RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
0.73%
23AIZ
ASSURANT INCFinancial Services$13.72B
0.72%
24EVR
EVERCORE INCFinancial Services$13.21B
0.70%
25SEIC
SEI INVESTMENTS COFinancial Services$11.94B
0.63%
26SF
STIFEL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$11.84B
0.62%
27AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$9.77B
0.51%
28PRI
PRIMERICA INCFinancial Services$9.68B
0.51%
29FCFS
FIRSTCASH HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$9.36B
0.49%
30FRHC
FREEDOM HOLDING CORPFinancial Services$9.36B
0.49%
31FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.48%
32VIRT
VIRTU FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$8.64B
0.46%
33AXS
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$8.46B
0.45%
34KNSL
KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$7.93B
0.42%
35THG
HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$7.46B
0.39%
36FAF
FIRST AMERICAN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$7.38B
0.39%
37MORN
MORNINGSTAR INCFinancial Services$6.56B
0.35%
38FLG
FLAGSTAR BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATIONFinancial Services$6.21B
0.33%
39VCTR
VICTORY CAPITAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.16B
0.32%
40MCY
MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial Services$5.88B
0.31%
41SEZL
SEZZLE INCFinancial Services$5.87B
0.31%
42ENVA
ENOVA INTERNATIONAL INCFinancial Services$5.79B
0.30%
43RLI
RLI CORPFinancial Services$5.66B
0.30%
44WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.29%
45PIPR
PIPER SANDLER COMPANIESFinancial Services$5.42B
0.29%
46BGC
BGC GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.41B
0.29%
47MC
MOELIS & COFinancial Services$5.30B
0.28%
48LMND
LEMONADE INCFinancial Services$5.16B
0.27%
49NNI
NELNET INCFinancial Services$4.83B
0.25%
50SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.25%
51HLNE
HAMILTON LANE INCFinancial Services$4.77B
0.25%
52FHI
FEDERATED HERMES INCFinancial Services$4.46B
0.23%
53CNS
COHEN & STEERS INCFinancial Services$4.35B
0.23%
54PJT
PJT PARTNERS INCFinancial Services$4.30B
0.23%
55PLMR
PALOMAR HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$3.59B
0.19%
56PFS
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$3.14B
0.17%
57CRVL
CORVEL CORPFinancial Services$3.13B
0.16%
58WT
WISDOMTREE INCFinancial Services$3.07B
0.16%
59SPNT
SIRIUSPOINT LTDFinancial Services$2.93B
0.15%
60WU
WESTERN UNION COFinancial Services$2.77B
0.15%
61TRMK
TRUSTMARK CORPFinancial Services$2.75B
0.14%
62APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.14%
63CUBI
CUSTOMERS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.65B
0.14%
64EFSC
ENTERPRISE FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$2.47B
0.13%
65SKWD
SKYWARD SPECIALTY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.40B
0.13%
66HCI
HCI GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.12%
67HAPN
HAPPEN INCFinancial Services$2.22B
0.12%
68STC
STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$2.19B
0.12%
69EZPW
EZCORP INCFinancial Services$1.97B
0.10%
70ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.10%
71GSHD
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INCFinancial Services$1.93B
0.10%
72ATLC
ATLANTICUS HOLDINGS CORPFinancial Services$1.52B
0.08%
73PWP
PERELLA WEINBERG PARTNERSFinancial Services$1.48B
0.08%
74TWFG
TWFG INCFinancial Services$1.43B
0.08%
75TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.07%
76UFCS
UNITED FIRE GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.31B
0.07%
77OPY
OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.17B
0.06%
78TRUP
TRUPANION INCFinancial Services$1.16B
0.06%
79GOLD
GOLDCOM INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.06%
80UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.06%
81ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.05%
82RPC
RIDGEPOST CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$959M
0.05%
83HRTG
HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$821M
0.04%
84ORRF
ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$812M
0.04%
85OPFI
OPPFI INCFinancial Services$801M
0.04%
86FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.04%
87CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.04%
88CWBC
COMMUNITY WEST BANCSHARESFinancial Services$737M
0.04%
89WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.04%
90PRAA
PRA GROUP INCFinancial Services$691M
0.04%
91BCAL
CALIFORNIA BANCORPFinancial Services$683M
0.04%
92ITIC
INVESTORS TITLE COFinancial Services$546M
0.03%
93COFS
CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$508M
0.03%
94ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.03%
95BWFG
BANKWELL FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$479M
0.03%
96FRST
PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$400M
0.02%
97VALU
VALUE LINE INCFinancial Services$385M
0.02%
98NWFL
NORWOOD FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$341M
0.02%
99KINS
KINGSTONE COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$291M
0.02%
100OPRT
OPORTUN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$274M
0.01%
101RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.01%
102PMTS
CPI CARD GROUP INCFinancial Services$216M
0.01%
103RBKB
RHINEBECK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.01%
104WHG
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INCFinancial Services$188M
0.01%
105MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.90T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

105 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
5%8
25%10
66%35
1%13
1%5
2%15
<1%9
<1%5
<1%5

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 81% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt81% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 105 names now. The faded start covers early months with a much thinner universe. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    74.1%
    Margin
    -0.9%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    25.3%
    Margin
    -0.3%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

2 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 105 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.1 (95% CI 1.0-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
10.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.11x
within
parametric
1.15x
within
cornish fisher
1.16x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2011
Before publication (pre-2011)
0.45
Sharpe · 6.0% p.a.
January 1999December 2011 · 156 mo
Since publication
-0.00
Sharpe · -0.0% p.a.
January 2012July 2026 · 175 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.46the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
54%
14 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.58
Sharpe, January 2019 – December 2021
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.12
Dispersion
0.68
Best window
1.74

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.-1.8%-2.5%
3 yearsp.a.12.3%-6.2%
5 yearsp.a.7.5%-1.0%
10 yearsp.a.12.7%-2.1%
Since inceptionp.a.8.4%2.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo-1.1%1.1%
20253.3%-16.9%
202434.5%12.6%
202316.6%-11.5%
2022-11.2%11.5%
202117.8%-8.0%
20206.4%-9.1%
201932.2%-3.0%
2018-5.7%1.8%
201731.2%2.6%
201615.4%4.4%
20150.9%4.8%
201411.8%6.3%
201342.4%-0.0%
201237.6%2.0%
2011-10.1%-3.1%
20108.7%-4.6%
200920.7%12.4%
2008-41.9%42.0%
20071.2%38.0%
200621.9%8.5%
20058.2%4.4%
200413.1%-0.5%
200328.1%-5.6%
2002-6.9%9.7%
2001-15.2%-10.5%
200018.6%-13.3%
1999-0.1%5.2%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCHF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-08-11 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.90T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services ChTax Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a ChTax signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.