ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials DelCOL Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FDEIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+65%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
95
cap-weighted
Inception
Jul 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.20
Ann. Return (LS)
2.7%
Ann. Volatility
13.6%
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.42
Test FF5 α (ann.)
5.9%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.06
not significant
Monthly turnover
19%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
65%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.65
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
13.5%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.20
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
10.8%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

95 of 95 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BKNG
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$140.78B
17.61%
2WM
WASTE MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$96.10B
12.02%
3CTAS
CINTAS CORPIndustrials$81.80B
10.23%
4NOC
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPIndustrials$74.08B
9.27%
5HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
8.92%
6URI
UNITED RENTALS INCIndustrials$65.48B
8.19%
7SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INCIndustrials$14.02B
1.75%
8LECO
LINCOLN ELECTRIC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$13.85B
1.73%
9KNX
KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.46B
1.56%
10HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.33%
11R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
1.32%
12DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
1.31%
13VMI
VALMONT INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.32B
1.29%
14PNR
PENTAIR PLCIndustrials$10.09B
1.26%
15ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
1.10%
16CNM
CORE & MAIN INCIndustrials$8.75B
1.10%
17FLS
FLOWSERVE CORPIndustrials$8.75B
1.09%
18TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
1.03%
19ZWS
ZURN ELKAY WATER SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$7.96B
1.00%
20BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.98%
21GTES
GATES INDUSTRIAL CORP PLCIndustrials$6.76B
0.85%
22MATX
MATSON INCIndustrials$6.72B
0.84%
23CWST
CASELLA WASTE SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$6.09B
0.76%
24MIDD
MIDDLEBY CORPIndustrials$6.02B
0.75%
25CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.71%
26ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.69%
27REZI
RESIDEO TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$5.43B
0.68%
28HRI
HERC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$4.99B
0.62%
29FCN
FTI CONSULTING INCIndustrials$4.90B
0.61%
30FELE
FRANKLIN ELECTRIC CO INCIndustrials$4.67B
0.58%
31PRIM
PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPIndustrials$4.66B
0.58%
32KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.56%
33AZZ
AZZ INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.55%
34GPGI
GPGI INCIndustrials$4.21B
0.53%
35FA
FIRST ADVANTAGE CORPIndustrials$3.83B
0.48%
36HUBG
HUB GROUP INCIndustrials$3.13B
0.39%
37MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.38%
38SMR
NUSCALE POWER CORPIndustrials$2.82B
0.35%
39TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.34%
40PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.31%
41CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.29%
42VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.27%
43HURN
HURON CONSULTING GROUP INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.23%
44HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.20%
45MRTN
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTDIndustrials$1.44B
0.18%
46ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.18%
47FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.17%
48GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.16%
49FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.25B
0.16%
50HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.15%
51CRAI
CRA INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.11B
0.14%
52GNK
GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTDIndustrials$1.05B
0.13%
53NPK
NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$870M
0.11%
54LMB
LIMBACH HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$867M
0.11%
55MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.11%
56CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.10%
57CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.10%
58ONT
ONTERRIS INCIndustrials$756M
0.09%
59PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.09%
60PKE
PARK AEROSPACE CORPIndustrials$677M
0.08%
61IIIN
INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$600M
0.08%
62HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.07%
63WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.07%
64EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.07%
65ORN
ORION GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$518M
0.06%
66MG
MISTRAS GROUP INCIndustrials$500M
0.06%
67TRC
TEJON RANCH COIndustrials$491M
0.06%
68MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.06%
69TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.06%
70ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.06%
71CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.05%
72ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.05%
73SDHI
SIDDHI ACQUISITION CORP (CAYMAN ISLANDS)Industrials$364M
0.05%
74RTAC
RENATUS TACTICAL ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$329M
0.04%
75OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.04%
76NL
NL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$288M
0.04%
77TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.03%
78GTERA
GLOBA TERRA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$246M
0.03%
79UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.03%
80SMHI
SEACOR MARINE HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$214M
0.03%
81ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.03%
82AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.03%
83RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.02%
84TAYD
TAYLOR DEVICES INCIndustrials$176M
0.02%
85AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.02%
86EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.02%
87RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
88RFIL
R F INDUSTRIES LTDIndustrials$143M
0.02%
89CHPG
CHAMPIONSGATE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$104M
0.01%
90NOEM
CO2 ENERGY TRANSITION CORPIndustrials$101M
0.01%
91OPXS
OPTEX SYSTEMS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
92MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
93DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
94TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.01%
95BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $799.33B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

95 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
48%17
32%13
13%4
2%17
1%11
<1%5
<1%13
·
<1%4

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 31% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (11 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt31% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 95 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    63.8%
    Margin
    -11.2%
  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 95 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.5 (95% CI 1.1-1.7)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
14.6%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.51x
within
parametric
1.31x
within
cornish fisher
1.27x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 16%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2005
Before publication (pre-2005)
0.27
Sharpe · 4.3% p.a.
January 1999December 2005 · 84 mo
Since publication
0.17
Sharpe · 2.2% p.a.
January 2006July 2026 · 247 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.10Sharpe weakened since publication50% of the prior annual return given up

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
69%
18 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.97
Sharpe, January 2005 – December 2007
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.20
Dispersion
0.51
Best window
0.92

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.16.0%-1.8%
3 yearsp.a.20.9%-1.1%
5 yearsp.a.15.5%0.3%
10 yearsp.a.18.1%3.8%
Since inceptionp.a.12.0%1.8%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo14.9%4.1%
202517.4%-12.4%
202429.7%6.6%
202322.3%-10.0%
2022-6.4%20.7%
202117.2%-7.5%
202027.0%28.1%
201941.5%18.4%
2018-10.7%-5.0%
201725.1%-3.4%
201632.6%20.4%
2015-12.6%-13.7%
20149.0%4.1%
201329.7%-16.7%
201217.8%1.4%
20111.0%2.5%
201029.4%-5.2%
200926.5%5.5%
2008-34.8%21.1%
20079.3%-10.2%
200619.4%-4.0%
20050.4%-9.0%
200415.3%-5.0%
200335.9%3.3%
2002-8.1%8.3%
20016.6%18.5%
20005.4%-7.2%
19998.8%16.8%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FDEI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-07-24 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$799.33B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials DelCOL Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a DelCOL signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.