ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
size factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services DolVol Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FDOFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−64%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
111
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.14
Ann. Return (LS)
-2.3%
Ann. Volatility
16.5%
Max Drawdown
-80.7%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.38
Test FF5 α (ann.)
4.1%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.90
not significant
Monthly turnover
33%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-64%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.48
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
6.7%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.14
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.1%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

111 of 111 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1HGTY
HAGERTY INCFinancial Services$4.13B
12.46%
2XZO
EXZEO GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.46B
4.42%
3ASIC
ATEGRITY SPECIALTY INSURANCE CO HOLDINGSFinancial Services$1.09B
3.31%
4DGICA
DONEGAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$693M
2.09%
5VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
2.07%
6NPB
NORTHPOINTE BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$650M
1.96%
7CBNK
CAPITAL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$584M
1.76%
8GCBC
GREENE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$559M
1.69%
9CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
1.62%
10WTBA
WEST BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$460M
1.39%
11GBFH
GBANK FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$445M
1.34%
12PBFS
PIONEER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$431M
1.30%
13PCB
PCB BANCORPFinancial Services$424M
1.28%
14FMAO
FARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$421M
1.27%
15AVBC
AVIDIA BANCORP INCFinancial Services$408M
1.23%
16GBLI
GLOBAL INDEMNITY GROUP LLCFinancial Services$400M
1.21%
17FNLC
FIRST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$389M
1.18%
18FCBM
FIRST CAROLINA FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$389M
1.17%
19PKBK
PARKE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$388M
1.17%
20VALU
VALUE LINE INCFinancial Services$385M
1.16%
21RM
REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$384M
1.16%
22MVBF
MVB FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$377M
1.14%
23USCB
USCB FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$374M
1.13%
24BCML
BAYCOM CORPFinancial Services$371M
1.12%
25NECB
NORTHEAST COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$366M
1.11%
26AII
AMERICAN INTEGRITY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$366M
1.10%
27WSBF
WATERSTONE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$356M
1.07%
28CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
1.07%
29ONIT
ONITY GROUP INCFinancial Services$344M
1.04%
30NWFL
NORWOOD FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$341M
1.03%
31MBI
MBIA INCFinancial Services$333M
1.01%
32NODK
NI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$326M
0.98%
33MYFW
FIRST WESTERN FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$323M
0.97%
34JMSB
JOHN MARSHALL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$313M
0.95%
35FCCO
FIRST COMMUNITY CORPFinancial Services$307M
0.93%
36PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.92%
37FDBC
FIDELITY D & D BANCORP INCFinancial Services$305M
0.92%
38WNEB
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$294M
0.89%
39FUNC
FIRST UNITED CORPFinancial Services$292M
0.88%
40OVLY
OAK VALLEY BANCORPFinancial Services$282M
0.85%
41CBNA
CHAIN BRIDGE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.83%
42LCNB
LCNB CORPFinancial Services$273M
0.82%
43CIA
CITIZENS INCFinancial Services$272M
0.82%
44HWBK
HAWTHORN BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$270M
0.82%
45FXNC
FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$267M
0.81%
46BPRN
PRINCETON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$263M
0.79%
47ATLO
AMES NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$262M
0.79%
48CFFI
C & F FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$260M
0.79%
49SNFCA
SECURITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$255M
0.77%
50VABK
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPFinancial Services$250M
0.76%
51FBLA
FB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$247M
0.75%
52FSBW
FS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$238M
0.72%
53MFIN
MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$237M
0.72%
54NKSH
NATIONAL BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$233M
0.70%
55INBK
FIRST INTERNET BANCORPFinancial Services$233M
0.70%
56CZWI
CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$224M
0.68%
57OPBK
OP BANCORPFinancial Services$223M
0.67%
58CMTV
COMMUNITY BANCORPFinancial Services$221M
0.67%
59PMTS
CPI CARD GROUP INCFinancial Services$216M
0.65%
60FOA
FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$216M
0.65%
61FCAP
FIRST CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$205M
0.62%
62CPSS
CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES INCFinancial Services$197M
0.60%
63RBKB
RHINEBECK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.57%
64LARK
LANDMARK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.57%
65FINW
FINWISE BANCORPFinancial Services$189M
0.57%
66WHG
WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INCFinancial Services$188M
0.57%
67BVFL
BV FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$186M
0.56%
68EBMT
EAGLE BANCORP MONTANA INCFinancial Services$185M
0.56%
69CBFV
CB FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$184M
0.56%
70HNVR
HANOVER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.54%
71BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.54%
72ECBK
ECB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$176M
0.53%
73MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.52%
74SBFG
SB FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$170M
0.51%
75RMBI
RICHMOND MUTUAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$165M
0.50%
76FGBI
FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$164M
0.50%
77SRBK
SR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$159M
0.48%
78FNWD
FINWARD BANCORPFinancial Services$157M
0.47%
79WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.42%
80AFBI
AFFINITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$139M
0.42%
81HYNE
HOYNE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$135M
0.41%
82LSBK
LAKE SHORE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$135M
0.41%
83GHI
GREYSTONE HOUSING IMPACT INVESTORS LPFinancial Services$123M
0.37%
84BOTJ
BANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.37%
85WSBK
WINCHESTER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.37%
86SFBC
SOUND FINANCIAL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$120M
0.36%
87SAMG
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP INCFinancial Services$118M
0.36%
88UNB
UNION BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$117M
0.35%
89BSBK
BOGOTA FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$116M
0.35%
90FNWB
FIRST NORTHWEST BANCORPFinancial Services$116M
0.35%
91MGYR
MAGYAR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$113M
0.34%
92PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.32%
93RVSB
RIVERVIEW BANCORP INCFinancial Services$107M
0.32%
94PBHC
PATHFINDER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$103M
0.31%
95FDSB
FIFTH DISTRICT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$94M
0.28%
96AUBN
AUBURN NATIONAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$93M
0.28%
97FUSB
FIRST US BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$92M
0.28%
98BCIC
BCP INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$91M
0.27%
99BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.27%
100PFX
PHENIXFIN CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.27%
101UBCP
UNITED BANCORP INCFinancial Services$89M
0.27%
102IOR
INCOME OPPORTUNITY REALTY INVESTORS INCFinancial Services$84M
0.25%
103FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.24%
104HNNA
HENNESSY ADVISORS INCFinancial Services$79M
0.24%
105GECC
GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$74M
0.22%
106OPHC
OPTIMUMBANK HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$74M
0.22%
107NSTS
NSTS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$73M
0.22%
108KG
KESTREL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$72M
0.22%
109HFBL
HOME FEDERAL BANCORP INC OF LOUISIANAFinancial Services$70M
0.21%
110CLST
CATALYST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$70M
0.21%
111TCBS
TEXAS COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$50M
0.15%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $33.11B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

111 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
·
·
·
·
3%1
17%2
44%59
27%40
6%7

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 10% toward Large, 39% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (2 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt10% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt39% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 111 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    265.0 days
    Margin
    -258.0 days
  • No more than 15% of net assets may be held in illiquid investments.

    Required
    <= 15.0%
    Actual
    49.6%
    Margin
    -34.6%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 111 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
0.9 (95% CI 0.8-1.0)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
8.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
0.91x
within
parametric
0.89x
within
cornish fisher
1.07x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1998
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1998 paper.
Sharpe -0.14-2.3% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
35%
9 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.83
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.18
Dispersion
0.68
Best window
1.93

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.39.7%28.3%
3 yearsp.a.17.0%-2.7%
5 yearsp.a.7.7%-4.3%
10 yearsp.a.9.8%-5.5%
Since inceptionp.a.5.9%-3.7%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo13.4%9.8%
202523.1%4.9%
20249.6%-17.4%
2023-0.0%-15.7%
2022-4.7%5.0%
202124.4%-2.9%
2020-8.6%-14.9%
201914.6%-15.3%
2018-10.1%-2.1%
201718.7%-5.2%
201637.2%13.8%
201510.7%10.3%
201414.2%1.2%
201331.8%-8.7%
201227.3%-3.4%
2011-5.4%9.1%
20104.0%-6.1%
2009-34.8%-51.5%
2008-41.1%8.7%
2007-18.0%-6.4%
20067.1%-10.4%
20057.2%-0.7%
200415.1%3.3%
200347.8%11.0%
200226.7%42.9%
200126.6%40.2%
2000-5.0%-29.5%
1999-10.2%-19.8%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FDOF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-10-24 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$33.11B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services DolVol Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a DolVol signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.