ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Earnings Yield Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FEPFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+239%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
99
cap-weighted
Inception
May 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.37
Ann. Return (LS)
5.5%
Ann. Volatility
14.8%
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.22
Test FF5 α (ann.)
3.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.78
not significant
Monthly turnover
15%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
239%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.66
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
14.7%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.37
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.2%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

99 of 99 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1PGR
PROGRESSIVE CORPFinancial Services$121.51B
18.77%
2TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
11.89%
3ALL
ALLSTATE CORPFinancial Services$64.33B
9.94%
4PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
7.71%
5HIG
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$38.45B
5.94%
6ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
5.47%
7CINF
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$27.97B
4.32%
8SYF
SYNCHRONY FINANCIALFinancial Services$24.81B
3.83%
9EG
EVEREST GROUP LTDFinancial Services$15.14B
2.34%
10RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
2.13%
11ORI
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$10.26B
1.58%
12WAL
WESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$8.99B
1.39%
13AXS
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$8.46B
1.31%
14LNC
LINCOLN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$8.08B
1.25%
15THG
HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$7.46B
1.15%
16OMF
ONEMAIN HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.97B
1.08%
17ACT
ENACT HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.49B
1.00%
18MTG
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$6.23B
0.96%
19ESNT
ESSENT GROUP LTDFinancial Services$6.15B
0.95%
20MCY
MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial Services$5.88B
0.91%
21WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.85%
22RDN
RADIAN GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.24B
0.81%
23ASB
ASSOCIATED BANC-CORPFinancial Services$5.20B
0.80%
24SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.74%
25PFSI
PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$4.43B
0.68%
26FG
F&G ANNUITIES & LIFE INCFinancial Services$4.25B
0.66%
27BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
0.62%
28AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTDFinancial Services$3.76B
0.58%
29HG
HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$3.47B
0.54%
30NMIH
NMI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$3.27B
0.50%
31PFS
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$3.14B
0.48%
32HTGC
HERCULES CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$3.03B
0.47%
33SPNT
SIRIUSPOINT LTDFinancial Services$2.93B
0.45%
34WU
WESTERN UNION COFinancial Services$2.77B
0.43%
35APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.42%
36CUBI
CUSTOMERS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.65B
0.41%
37SLDE
SLIDE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.35B
0.36%
38MBIN
MERCHANTS BANCORPFinancial Services$2.28B
0.35%
39HCI
HCI GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.35%
40AGM
FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORPFinancial Services$2.23B
0.34%
41OFG
OFG BANCORPFinancial Services$2.12B
0.33%
42ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.30%
43CASH
PATHWARD FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.89B
0.29%
44TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.21%
45UFCS
UNITED FIRE GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.31B
0.20%
46VRTS
VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS INCFinancial Services$1.10B
0.17%
47UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.17%
48JCAP
JEFFERSON CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.08B
0.17%
49BBDC
BARINGS BDC INCFinancial Services$890M
0.14%
50HRTG
HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$821M
0.13%
51ORRF
ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$812M
0.13%
52FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.12%
53FDUS
FIDUS INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$773M
0.12%
54HIPO
HIPPO HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$764M
0.12%
55CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.11%
56SLRC
SLR INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$716M
0.11%
57DGICA
DONEGAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$693M
0.11%
58VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
0.11%
59TCBX
THIRD COAST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$674M
0.10%
60GAIN
GLADSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATIONFinancial Services$659M
0.10%
61NPB
NORTHPOINTE BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$650M
0.10%
62TREE
LENDINGTREE INCFinancial Services$645M
0.10%
63NCDL
NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORPFinancial Services$627M
0.10%
64NRIM
NORTHRIM BANCORP INCFinancial Services$619M
0.10%
65CBNK
CAPITAL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$584M
0.09%
66UNTY
UNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$575M
0.09%
67GLRE
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL RE LTDFinancial Services$566M
0.09%
68COFS
CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$508M
0.08%
69ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.08%
70NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.07%
71PCB
PCB BANCORPFinancial Services$424M
0.07%
72FRST
PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$400M
0.06%
73PKBK
PARKE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$388M
0.06%
74RM
REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$384M
0.06%
75NECB
NORTHEAST COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$366M
0.06%
76AII
AMERICAN INTEGRITY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$366M
0.06%
77CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
0.05%
78ONIT
ONITY GROUP INCFinancial Services$344M
0.05%
79SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.05%
80FDBC
FIDELITY D & D BANCORP INCFinancial Services$305M
0.05%
81KINS
KINGSTONE COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$291M
0.04%
82NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.04%
83CFFI
C & F FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$260M
0.04%
84SNFCA
SECURITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$255M
0.04%
85RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.04%
86FSBW
FS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$238M
0.04%
87MFIN
MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$237M
0.04%
88OPBK
OP BANCORPFinancial Services$223M
0.03%
89SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.03%
90FOA
FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$216M
0.03%
91CPSS
CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES INCFinancial Services$197M
0.03%
92LARK
LANDMARK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.03%
93MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.03%
94SBFG
SB FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$170M
0.03%
95UNB
UNION BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$117M
0.02%
96MGYR
MAGYAR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$113M
0.02%
97HNNA
HENNESSY ADVISORS INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%
98OPHC
OPTIMUMBANK HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$74M
0.01%
99KG
KESTREL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$72M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $647.38B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

99 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
25%15
63%10
·
8%23
2%6
·
2%41
<1%4
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 93% toward Large, 33% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt93% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt33% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 99 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    70.3%
    Margin
    -4.7%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 99 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.7 (95% CI 1.2-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
16.3%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.69x
within
parametric
1.40x
within
cornish fisher
1.41x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 20%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1977
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1977 paper.
Sharpe 0.375.5% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
69%
18 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.06
Sharpe, January 2018 – December 2020
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.42
Dispersion
0.80
Best window
1.93

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.29.7%40.2%
3 yearsp.a.28.7%14.4%
5 yearsp.a.17.0%10.9%
10 yearsp.a.16.6%0.3%
Since inceptionp.a.12.9%4.5%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo14.4%19.8%
202529.9%21.0%
202427.7%1.2%
202324.7%4.1%
2022-10.8%4.0%
202135.6%15.9%
2020-8.2%-29.4%
201927.2%-9.2%
2018-9.4%-16.3%
201720.1%-11.4%
201620.2%13.9%
20152.2%-5.1%
201413.6%7.4%
201340.7%-6.5%
201233.5%8.7%
2011-18.6%0.5%
201018.2%27.7%
200934.1%7.1%
2008-34.1%32.4%
2007-21.6%-27.5%
200621.5%3.6%
200513.3%2.9%
200421.9%16.3%
200342.0%7.9%
200211.5%32.3%
200121.4%43.3%
200056.6%29.7%
1999-10.4%-24.5%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FEPF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-05-18 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$647.38B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Earnings Yield Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Earnings Yield signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.