ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Earnings Yield Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FEPIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+206%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
83
cap-weighted
Inception
Jul 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.33
Ann. Return (LS)
5.4%
Ann. Volatility
16.2%
Max Drawdown
-43.1%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.01
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-2.7%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.43
not significant
Monthly turnover
15%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
206%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.59
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
14.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.33
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.0%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

83 of 83 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1UPS
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCIndustrials$100.06B
11.88%
2RCL
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDIndustrials$76.96B
9.14%
3FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
8.87%
4NOC
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPIndustrials$74.08B
8.80%
5HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
8.46%
6DAL
DELTA AIR LINES INCIndustrials$55.35B
6.57%
7UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
4.45%
8CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
4.29%
9OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
3.35%
10CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
3.04%
11TXT
TEXTRON INCIndustrials$15.91B
1.89%
12MLI
MUELLER INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$13.08B
1.55%
13ALLE
ALLEGION PLCIndustrials$11.79B
1.40%
14HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.26%
15PNR
PENTAIR PLCIndustrials$10.09B
1.20%
16OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
1.06%
17NCLH
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTDIndustrials$8.93B
1.06%
18ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
1.04%
19CNM
CORE & MAIN INCIndustrials$8.75B
1.04%
20AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
0.99%
21TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.97%
22AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
0.96%
23BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.93%
24POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.87%
25FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.81%
26MATX
MATSON INCIndustrials$6.72B
0.80%
27GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
0.75%
28ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.66%
29FCN
FTI CONSULTING INCIndustrials$4.90B
0.58%
30PRIM
PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPIndustrials$4.66B
0.55%
31DLB
DOLBY LABORATORIES INCIndustrials$4.64B
0.55%
32TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.54%
33KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.53%
34SEB
SEABOARD CORPIndustrials$4.34B
0.52%
35ATMU
ATMUS FILTRATION TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.50%
36KFY
KORN FERRYIndustrials$4.00B
0.47%
37MWA
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS INCIndustrials$3.98B
0.47%
38GEO
GEO GROUP INCIndustrials$3.94B
0.47%
39SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.46%
40HAYW
HAYWARD HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$3.12B
0.37%
41MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.36%
42MGRC
MCGRATH RENTCORPIndustrials$2.90B
0.34%
43TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.90B
0.34%
44ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.33%
45TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.32%
46KMT
KENNAMETAL INCIndustrials$2.57B
0.31%
47PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.30%
48CBZ
CBIZ INCIndustrials$2.28B
0.27%
49ALG
ALAMO GROUP INCIndustrials$1.98B
0.23%
50HURN
HURON CONSULTING GROUP INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.22%
51PRG
PROG HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.22%
52EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.21%
53AMSC
AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPIndustrials$1.58B
0.19%
54GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.18%
55ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.17%
56ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.16%
57WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.16%
58GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.16%
59UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.13%
60RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.13%
61WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.13%
62CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.10%
63RJET
REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$806M
0.10%
64PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.08%
65CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.08%
66IIIN
INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$600M
0.07%
67EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.06%
68SPIR
SPIRE GLOBAL INCIndustrials$488M
0.06%
69PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.05%
70SRTA
STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
71QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
72ISSC
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INCIndustrials$330M
0.04%
73TWIN
TWIN DISC INCIndustrials$326M
0.04%
74CIX
COMPX INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$309M
0.04%
75TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.03%
76GENC
GENCOR INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$235M
0.03%
77RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.02%
78TAYD
TAYLOR DEVICES INCIndustrials$176M
0.02%
79ESP
ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORPIndustrials$172M
0.02%
80RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
81SIF
SIFCO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$141M
0.02%
82SIMA
SIM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$90M
0.01%
83AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $842.21B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

83 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
81%39
15%5
·
4%24
1%5
·
<1%10
·
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 8% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt8% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 83 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    54.2 days
    Margin
    -47.2 days
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 83 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.4 (95% CI 1.4-2.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
22.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.37x
over
parametric
1.54x
within
cornish fisher
2.04x
over

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.37 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.54 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1977
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1977 paper.
Sharpe 0.335.4% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
85%
22 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.63
Sharpe, January 2019 – December 2021
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.47
Dispersion
0.45
Best window
1.06

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.29.9%25.0%
3 yearsp.a.18.5%0.1%
5 yearsp.a.15.8%6.3%
10 yearsp.a.12.6%0.4%
Since inceptionp.a.11.9%4.1%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo14.6%13.4%
202514.0%-4.0%
202422.8%-0.9%
202333.0%1.2%
2022-3.8%27.2%
202121.1%-0.2%
2020-29.5%-40.5%
201935.5%8.7%
2018-6.4%10.5%
201725.7%-5.8%
201624.4%10.8%
2015-10.4%-1.0%
201420.8%22.6%
201340.7%0.4%
201220.0%-0.6%
20116.3%12.7%
201010.3%-13.4%
200939.9%31.6%
2008-44.0%-9.9%
200719.7%3.0%
200623.6%5.7%
200512.9%6.4%
200423.6%-1.8%
200346.3%8.7%
2002-1.1%41.0%
2001-2.8%18.0%
20004.3%3.5%
199925.5%-1.0%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FEPI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-07-08 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$842.21B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Earnings Yield Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Earnings Yield signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.