ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Gross Margin Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FGRIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−67%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
78
cap-weighted
Inception
Sep 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.22
Ann. Return (LS)
-3.1%
Ann. Volatility
13.6%
Max Drawdown
-72.1%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.22
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-5.8%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-1.10
not significant
Monthly turnover
3%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-67%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.45
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
8.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.22
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
11.5%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

78 of 78 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORPIndustrials$179.15B
11.28%
2BKNG
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$140.78B
8.86%
3CSX
CSX CORPIndustrials$94.30B
5.93%
4ABNB
AIRBNB INCIndustrials$87.98B
5.54%
5CTAS
CINTAS CORPIndustrials$81.80B
5.15%
6EMR
EMERSON ELECTRIC COIndustrials$78.14B
4.92%
7RCL
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDIndustrials$76.96B
4.84%
8NSC
NORFOLK SOUTHERN CORPIndustrials$76.40B
4.81%
9FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
4.70%
10TDG
TRANSDIGM GROUP INCIndustrials$67.93B
4.28%
11ROK
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INCIndustrials$51.39B
3.23%
12ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
3.06%
13AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE INCIndustrials$41.13B
2.59%
14PAYX
PAYCHEX INCIndustrials$40.98B
2.58%
15UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
2.36%
16EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
2.03%
17VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
1.65%
18XPO
XPO INCIndustrials$25.25B
1.59%
19LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
1.48%
20VLTO
VERALTO CORPIndustrials$23.04B
1.45%
21SNA
SNAP-ON INCIndustrials$21.29B
1.34%
22GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS INCIndustrials$21.29B
1.34%
23EFX
EQUIFAX INCIndustrials$21.09B
1.33%
24ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
1.11%
25NDSN
NORDSON CORPIndustrials$16.10B
1.01%
26TRU
TRANSUNIONIndustrials$15.40B
0.97%
27KNX
KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.46B
0.78%
28GGG
GRACO INCIndustrials$12.38B
0.78%
29SAIA
SAIA INCIndustrials$11.65B
0.73%
30WTS
WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$11.57B
0.73%
31AYI
ACUITY INC (DE)Industrials$9.99B
0.63%
32AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
0.62%
33PL
PLANET LABS PBCIndustrials$8.01B
0.50%
34MSA
MSA SAFETY INCIndustrials$6.60B
0.42%
35LOAR
LOAR HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$6.55B
0.41%
36GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
0.40%
37ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.35%
38ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.32%
39WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.31%
40DLB
DOLBY LABORATORIES INCIndustrials$4.64B
0.29%
41BRC
BRADY CORPIndustrials$4.41B
0.28%
42MIR
MIRION TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$4.00B
0.25%
43KFY
KORN FERRYIndustrials$4.00B
0.25%
44SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.24%
45HAYW
HAYWARD HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$3.12B
0.20%
46MGRC
MCGRATH RENTCORPIndustrials$2.90B
0.18%
47WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.17%
48PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.16%
49JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.13%
50EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.11%
51TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.11%
52HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.10%
53ENOV
ENOVIS CORPIndustrials$1.56B
0.10%
54MRTN
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTDIndustrials$1.44B
0.09%
55WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.08%
56FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.08%
57LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.08%
58NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.08%
59HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.08%
60UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.07%
61RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.07%
62EVLV
EVOLV TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.02B
0.06%
63CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.05%
64CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.04%
65ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.03%
66BWMN
BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTDIndustrials$443M
0.03%
67CEPT
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS II INCIndustrials$376M
0.02%
68ISSC
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INCIndustrials$330M
0.02%
69PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.02%
70OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.02%
71FC
FRANKLIN COVEY COIndustrials$229M
0.01%
72AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.01%
73FORR
FORRESTER RESEARCH INCIndustrials$200M
0.01%
74NUTR
NUSATRIP INCIndustrials$174M
0.01%
75HQI
HIREQUEST INCIndustrials$168M
0.01%
76CODA
CODA OCTOPUS GROUP INCIndustrials$113M
0.01%
77CHRN
CHRONOSCALE CORPIndustrials$94M
0.01%
78CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.59T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

78 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
42%23
41%11
13%10
1%10
1%7
<1%3
<1%6
<1%1
<1%1

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 35% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (6 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt35% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 78 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 78 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.6 (95% CI 1.1-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
15.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.63x
within
parametric
1.20x
within
cornish fisher
1.26x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 36%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

Publication date unknown. We don’t have a source year for this signal, so we can’t split its record into before and since publication. That’s a gap in our reference data — not a statement about how the factor performed.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
38%
10 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.78
Sharpe, January 2005 – December 2007
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.13
Dispersion
0.60
Best window
0.75

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.5.2%-13.3%
3 yearsp.a.10.2%-5.6%
5 yearsp.a.6.5%-5.8%
10 yearsp.a.9.5%-2.9%
Since inceptionp.a.6.9%-3.9%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo7.2%-4.7%
20254.4%-19.1%
202414.8%5.6%
202330.5%8.8%
2022-22.0%-21.7%
202112.1%0.2%
202013.5%16.7%
201923.1%-10.3%
2018-9.9%22.9%
201722.1%-14.2%
201617.7%-4.0%
2015-6.4%-7.1%
201420.3%14.3%
201348.0%-4.1%
201219.6%6.5%
20113.6%13.5%
201023.9%1.2%
200920.7%2.9%
2008-42.0%-15.0%
20072.4%-16.5%
20068.1%-16.1%
20056.7%-12.7%
200415.2%-6.2%
200333.8%5.7%
2002-13.4%-5.7%
2001-2.2%6.7%
2000-9.6%-19.1%
1999-6.3%-16.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FGRI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-09-02 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.59T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Gross Margin Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Gross Margin signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.