ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Investment Discipline Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FINIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+58%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
75
cap-weighted
Inception
Mar 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.18
Ann. Return (LS)
3.0%
Ann. Volatility
16.6%
Max Drawdown
-55.0%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.18
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.6%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.30
not significant
Monthly turnover
15%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
58%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.54
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.9%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.18
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
8.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

75 of 75 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
15.66%
2JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
8.85%
3ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
8.58%
4CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
8.23%
5SNA
SNAP-ON INCIndustrials$21.29B
6.85%
6NDSN
NORDSON CORPIndustrials$16.10B
5.18%
7SAIA
SAIA INCIndustrials$11.65B
3.75%
8TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
2.89%
9FLS
FLOWSERVE CORPIndustrials$8.75B
2.82%
10POWL
POWELL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$8.48B
2.73%
11AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
2.61%
12KEX
KIRBY CORPIndustrials$7.71B
2.48%
13ENS
ENERSYSIndustrials$7.18B
2.31%
14SNDR
SCHNEIDER NATIONAL INCIndustrials$6.69B
2.15%
15GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
2.04%
16GXO
GXO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$6.22B
2.00%
17MIDD
MIDDLEBY CORPIndustrials$6.02B
1.94%
18AZZ
AZZ INCIndustrials$4.42B
1.42%
19GPGI
GPGI INCIndustrials$4.21B
1.35%
20ARCB
ARCBEST CORPIndustrials$3.56B
1.15%
21MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.99%
22CECO
CECO ENVIRONMENTAL CORPIndustrials$2.87B
0.92%
23DXPE
DXP ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.60B
0.84%
24ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.80%
25VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.70%
26EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.57%
27HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.51%
28GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.50%
29RYZ
RYERSON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$1.54B
0.49%
30TNC
TENNANT COIndustrials$1.47B
0.47%
31MRTN
MARTEN TRANSPORT LTDIndustrials$1.44B
0.46%
32ULCC
FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.46%
33ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.45%
34WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.43%
35NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.42%
36FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.25B
0.40%
37HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.38%
38CVLG
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.38%
39CRAI
CRA INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.11B
0.36%
40PCT
PURECYCLE TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.09B
0.35%
41NPK
NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$870M
0.28%
42LMB
LIMBACH HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$867M
0.28%
43CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.25%
44KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
0.24%
45CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.22%
46WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.18%
47ORN
ORION GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$518M
0.17%
48TRC
TEJON RANCH COIndustrials$491M
0.16%
49BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.15%
50PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.15%
51TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.14%
52SRTA
STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INCIndustrials$446M
0.14%
53BWMN
BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTDIndustrials$443M
0.14%
54FWRD
FORWARD AIR CORPIndustrials$435M
0.14%
55RLGT
RADIANT LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$431M
0.14%
56CMCO
COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPIndustrials$414M
0.13%
57CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.12%
58ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.12%
59PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.10%
60ESOA
ENERGY SERVICES OF AMERICA CORPIndustrials$299M
0.10%
61ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.09%
62TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.08%
63ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.07%
64PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.06%
65RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.06%
66AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.06%
67HQI
HIREQUEST INCIndustrials$168M
0.05%
68EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.05%
69RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.05%
70SIF
SIFCO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$141M
0.05%
71MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.03%
72CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.03%
73AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.02%
74BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.02%
75LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.02%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $310.60B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

75 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
27%7
48%12
1%1
6%19
4%12
<1%1
1%15
<1%1
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 93% toward Large, 31% toward Growth. +12% unclassified (7 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt93% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt31% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 75 names now. The faded start covers early months with a much thinner universe. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    48.3 days
    Margin
    -41.3 days
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 75 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.5 (95% CI 1.2-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
14.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.53x
within
parametric
1.41x
within
cornish fisher
1.35x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2012
Before publication (pre-2012)
0.47
Sharpe · 9.0% p.a.
January 1999December 2012 · 168 mo
Since publication
-0.24
Sharpe · -3.2% p.a.
January 2013July 2026 · 163 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.71the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
50%
13 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.12
Sharpe, January 2005 – December 2007
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.07
Dispersion
0.61
Best window
0.95

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.8.4%-10.8%
3 yearsp.a.8.3%-15.4%
5 yearsp.a.6.9%-8.6%
10 yearsp.a.9.2%-4.9%
Since inceptionp.a.9.9%1.7%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo1.6%-15.9%
202510.8%-9.9%
20245.7%-29.7%
202336.9%24.3%
2022-11.6%8.1%
202116.8%-4.6%
20204.4%5.3%
201933.3%2.7%
2018-6.2%6.1%
2017-3.2%-23.9%
201621.3%6.1%
2015-10.5%-10.8%
20140.3%1.4%
201339.6%1.2%
201215.0%-7.1%
20114.4%11.1%
201037.0%12.3%
200948.0%6.4%
2008-33.9%30.8%
2007-3.1%-18.5%
20064.4%-22.1%
200517.9%4.2%
200423.8%-7.4%
200347.9%1.0%
2002-18.6%35.8%
200115.8%18.9%
2000-5.4%-16.6%
199932.6%103.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FINI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-03-23 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$310.60B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Investment Discipline Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Investment Discipline signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.