ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
reversal factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Technology Long-Term Reversal Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FLRTHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−93%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
71
cap-weighted
Inception
Apr 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.41
Ann. Return (LS)
-9.1%
Ann. Volatility
22.2%
Max Drawdown
-95.0%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.36
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-9.7%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.88
not significant
Monthly turnover
18%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-93%
over 283 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.48
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
13.1%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.41
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
22.2%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

283 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

71 of 71 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1XYZ
BLOCK INCTechnology$47.58B
16.73%
2ZM
ZOOM COMMUNICATIONS INCTechnology$26.72B
9.40%
3OKTA
OKTA INCTechnology$25.96B
9.13%
4U
UNITY SOFTWARE INCTechnology$12.66B
4.45%
5VICR
VICOR CORPTechnology$10.83B
3.81%
6CGNX
COGNEX CORPTechnology$10.66B
3.75%
7QXO
QXO INCTechnology$10.44B
3.67%
8DOCU
DOCUSIGN INCTechnology$10.07B
3.54%
9VSAT
VIASAT INCTechnology$9.76B
3.43%
10S
SENTINELONE INCTechnology$6.71B
2.36%
11MXL
MAXLINEAR INCTechnology$6.43B
2.26%
12PATH
UIPATH INCTechnology$6.30B
2.21%
13LYFT
LYFT INCTechnology$5.89B
2.07%
14ENPH
ENPHASE ENERGY INCTechnology$5.48B
1.93%
15EPAM
EPAM SYSTEMS INCTechnology$4.63B
1.63%
16BILL
BILL HOLDINGS INCTechnology$4.45B
1.57%
17IPGP
IPG PHOTONICS CORPTechnology$4.43B
1.56%
18SYNA
SYNAPTICS INCTechnology$4.41B
1.55%
19UCTT
ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS INCTechnology$4.14B
1.46%
20RNG
RINGCENTRAL INCTechnology$3.46B
1.22%
21SEDG
SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$3.25B
1.14%
22FSLY
FASTLY INCTechnology$3.24B
1.14%
23ONDS
ONDAS INCTechnology$3.23B
1.14%
24AXTI
AXT INCTechnology$3.00B
1.06%
25ICHR
ICHOR HOLDINGS LTDTechnology$2.88B
1.01%
26RUN
SUNRUN INCTechnology$2.83B
0.99%
27VISN
VISTANCE NETWORKS INCTechnology$2.74B
0.96%
28ROG
ROGERS CORPTechnology$2.36B
0.83%
29OUST
OUSTER INCTechnology$2.36B
0.83%
30BAND
BANDWIDTH INCTechnology$2.30B
0.81%
31FLYW
FLYWIRE CORPTechnology$2.24B
0.79%
32FIVN
FIVE9 INCTechnology$1.96B
0.69%
33NCNO
NCINO INCTechnology$1.96B
0.69%
34APPN
APPIAN CORPTechnology$1.92B
0.67%
35MQ
MARQETA INCTechnology$1.85B
0.65%
36SONO
SONOS INCTechnology$1.80B
0.63%
37ASAN
ASANA INCTechnology$1.77B
0.62%
38DV
DOUBLEVERIFY HOLDINGS INCTechnology$1.75B
0.62%
39SHLS
SHOALS TECHNOLOGIES GROUP INCTechnology$1.73B
0.61%
40DXC
DXC TECHNOLOGY COTechnology$1.55B
0.54%
41CNXC
CONCENTRIX CORPTechnology$1.49B
0.52%
42CXM
SPRINKLR INCTechnology$1.37B
0.48%
43VYX
NCR VOYIX CORPTechnology$1.13B
0.40%
44CEVA
CEVA INCTechnology$1.06B
0.37%
45CRSR
CORSAIR GAMING INCTechnology$1.04B
0.37%
46APPS
DIGITAL TURBINE INCTechnology$1.01B
0.35%
47ADTN
ADTRAN HOLDINGS INCTechnology$944M
0.33%
48ARRY
ARRAY TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$940M
0.33%
49BKSY
BLACKSKY TECHNOLOGY INCTechnology$823M
0.29%
50RPD
RAPID7 INCTechnology$815M
0.29%
51PD
PAGERDUTY INCTechnology$794M
0.28%
52PUBM
PUBMATIC INCTechnology$591M
0.21%
53MLAB
MESA LABORATORIES INCTechnology$541M
0.19%
54MEI
METHODE ELECTRONICS INCTechnology$532M
0.19%
55SPT
SPROUT SOCIAL INCTechnology$518M
0.18%
56QMCO
QUANTUM CORPTechnology$419M
0.15%
57CRNC
CERENCE INCTechnology$390M
0.14%
58BKKT
BAKKT INCTechnology$323M
0.11%
59VELO
VELO3D INCTechnology$316M
0.11%
60MKTW
MARKETWISE INCTechnology$314M
0.11%
61ASYS
AMTECH SYSTEMS INCTechnology$242M
0.08%
62ATOM
ATOMERA INCTechnology$218M
0.08%
63FIRY
FIRY INCTechnology$130M
0.05%
64INSG
INSEEGO CORPTechnology$122M
0.04%
65TCX
TUCOWS INCTechnology$114M
0.04%
66SSTI
SOUNDTHINKING INCTechnology$111M
0.04%
67WATT
ENERGOUS CORPTechnology$83M
0.03%
68AIRG
AIRGAIN INCTechnology$76M
0.03%
69BNAI
BRAND ENGAGEMENT NETWORK INCTechnology$76M
0.03%
70STEM
STEM INCTechnology$56M
0.02%
71TACT
TRANSACT TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$54M
0.02%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $284.37B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Technology
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

71 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
9%1
24%3
20%4
9%7
13%10
9%6
3%15
3%7
3%8

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 421-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $8.9B, Small < $1.9B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.63, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 74% toward Large, 56% toward Growth. +7% unclassified (10 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt74% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt56% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 2002July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 71 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 71 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.8 (95% CI 1.3-2.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
16.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.3%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 283 monthly observations · about 2.8 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.81x
within
parametric
1.88x
within
cornish fisher
2.39x
over · unreliable

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1985
Entirely since publication
All 283 months of our record post-date the 1985 paper.
Sharpe -0.41-9.1% p.a.January 2003July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

22 windows
Positive windows
23%
5 of 22 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-2.04
Sharpe, January 2017 – December 2019
January 2003July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.46
Dispersion
0.61
Best window
0.45

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (22 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 2003
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.25.0%18.0%
3 yearsp.a.9.0%-19.2%
5 yearsp.a.9.6%-14.1%
10 yearsp.a.10.2%-17.5%
Since inceptionp.a.10.0%-10.8%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo20.5%22.2%
20257.4%-30.2%
2024-20.5%-47.1%
202351.9%-13.4%
2022-3.5%37.1%
202114.0%-21.5%
202032.4%-13.2%
201920.7%-19.0%
2018-17.9%-28.5%
20173.2%-33.2%
201623.0%7.8%
2015-6.8%-5.7%
201428.1%-3.3%
201360.3%31.8%
20127.1%-18.1%
2011-12.8%-18.7%
20107.4%-14.5%
200956.4%-14.4%
2008-41.1%14.9%
200713.2%-19.1%
20067.6%0.8%
20050.9%-4.1%
2004-1.6%-15.2%
200353.4%-1.6%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FLRT
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-04-13 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$284.37B

Methodology

The Foundry Technology Long-Term Reversal Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Technology common stocks each month by a Long-Term Reversal signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.