ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
leverage factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Leverage Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FLEIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+219%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
142
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.31
Ann. Return (LS)
6.1%
Ann. Volatility
19.6%
Max Drawdown
-64.3%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.57
Test FF5 α (ann.)
6.8%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.76
not significant
Monthly turnover
9%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
219%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.46
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.31
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
5.3%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

142 of 142 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BA
BOEING COIndustrials$168.72B
18.62%
2FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
8.24%
3HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
7.87%
4DAL
DELTA AIR LINES INCIndustrials$55.35B
6.11%
5UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
4.13%
6CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
3.99%
7EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
3.56%
8ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
2.94%
9LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
2.59%
10GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS INCIndustrials$21.29B
2.35%
11WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$15.97B
1.76%
12TXT
TEXTRON INCIndustrials$15.91B
1.76%
13ARMK
ARAMARKIndustrials$14.92B
1.65%
14SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INCIndustrials$14.02B
1.55%
15UHAL
U-HAUL HOLDING COIndustrials$13.98B
1.54%
16CNH
CNH INDUSTRIAL NVIndustrials$13.19B
1.46%
17HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.17%
18R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
1.16%
19GTLS
CHART INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.05B
1.11%
20AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
1.09%
21NCLH
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTDIndustrials$8.93B
0.99%
22ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
0.97%
23AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
0.92%
24BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.86%
25TEX
TEREX CORPIndustrials$7.47B
0.82%
26FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.76%
27GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
0.70%
28GXO
GXO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$6.22B
0.69%
29CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.63%
30ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.61%
31REZI
RESIDEO TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$5.43B
0.60%
32ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.56%
33AMTM
AMENTUM HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$5.05B
0.56%
34HRI
HERC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$4.99B
0.55%
35BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.55%
36WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.54%
37TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.50%
38KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.49%
39MDU
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.49%
40SEB
SEABOARD CORPIndustrials$4.34B
0.48%
41EQPT
EQUIPMENTSHARECOM INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.46%
42TPC
TUTOR PERINI CORPIndustrials$4.14B
0.46%
43SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.43%
44FA
FIRST ADVANTAGE CORPIndustrials$3.83B
0.42%
45MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.34%
46CXW
CORECIVIC INCIndustrials$3.03B
0.33%
47HNI
HNI CORPIndustrials$3.00B
0.33%
48CXT
CRANE NXT COIndustrials$2.95B
0.33%
49TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.90B
0.32%
50ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.31%
51WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.30%
52TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.30%
53PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.28%
54ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.27%
55MAN
MANPOWERGROUP INCIndustrials$2.43B
0.27%
56VVX
V2X INCIndustrials$2.37B
0.26%
57CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.26%
58CBZ
CBIZ INCIndustrials$2.28B
0.25%
59VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.24%
60JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.22%
61NSP
INSPERITY INCIndustrials$1.89B
0.21%
62HURN
HURON CONSULTING GROUP INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.21%
63ALGT
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COIndustrials$1.86B
0.21%
64PRG
PROG HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.21%
65TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.19%
66DSGR
DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.59B
0.18%
67HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.18%
68ENOV
ENOVIS CORPIndustrials$1.56B
0.17%
69GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.17%
70RYZ
RYERSON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$1.54B
0.17%
71TIC
TIC SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$1.51B
0.17%
72ULCC
FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.16%
73ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.16%
74ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.15%
75BV
BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.15%
76WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.15%
77BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.15%
78AMRC
AMERESCO INCIndustrials$1.22B
0.14%
79RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.12%
80AEBI
AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AGIndustrials$989M
0.11%
81MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.09%
82RJET
REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$806M
0.09%
83SKYH
SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPIndustrials$797M
0.09%
84CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.09%
85ONT
ONTERRIS INCIndustrials$756M
0.08%
86KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
0.08%
87CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.08%
88NVRI
ENVIRI CORPIndustrials$643M
0.07%
89HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.07%
90KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.06%
91WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.06%
92PKOH
PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$544M
0.06%
93KELYA
KELLY SERVICES INCIndustrials$531M
0.06%
94BBCP
CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$531M
0.06%
95MG
MISTRAS GROUP INCIndustrials$500M
0.06%
96TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.05%
97BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.05%
98MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.05%
99PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.05%
100TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
101QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
102BWMN
BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTDIndustrials$443M
0.05%
103FWRD
FORWARD AIR CORPIndustrials$435M
0.05%
104CMCO
COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPIndustrials$414M
0.05%
105CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.04%
106ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.04%
107FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION COIndustrials$357M
0.04%
108BLZR
TRAILBLAZER ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$349M
0.04%
109MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.04%
110JACS
JACKSON ACQUISITION CO IIIndustrials$317M
0.03%
111PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.03%
112OTGA
OTG ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$300M
0.03%
113ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.03%
114TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.03%
115TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.03%
116VNME
VENDOME ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$254M
0.03%
117SCII
SC II ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$251M
0.03%
118FC
FRANKLIN COVEY COIndustrials$229M
0.03%
119UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.03%
120SMHI
SEACOR MARINE HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$214M
0.02%
121EVI
EVI INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$213M
0.02%
122ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.02%
123FORR
FORRESTER RESEARCH INCIndustrials$200M
0.02%
124PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.02%
125EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.02%
126CTAA
CLEARTHINK 1 ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$165M
0.02%
127NMP
NMP ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$164M
0.02%
128QRED
QUASAREDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$160M
0.02%
129GLED
GALAXYEDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$160M
0.02%
130AP
AMPCO PITTSBURGH CORPIndustrials$156M
0.02%
131RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
132BHAV
BHAV ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$140M
0.02%
133VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
134ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.01%
135BSAA
BEST SPAC I ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$89M
0.01%
136CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.01%
137DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
138SSEA
STARRY SEA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$79M
0.01%
139TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.01%
140AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.01%
141UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.01%
142LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $906.16B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

142 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
51%28
10%9
22%6
5%33
1%9
1%8
<1%10
<1%3
<1%12

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 32% toward Growth. +10% unclassified (24 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt96% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt32% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 142 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 142 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.1 (95% CI 1.3-2.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
20.4%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.12x
over
parametric
1.60x
within
cornish fisher
1.92x
within

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.12 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.60 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1988
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1988 paper.
Sharpe 0.316.1% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
73%
19 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.10
Sharpe, January 2016 – December 2018
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.38
Dispersion
0.59
Best window
1.23

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.24.5%52.2%
3 yearsp.a.17.8%20.7%
5 yearsp.a.16.2%23.6%
10 yearsp.a.10.2%5.8%
Since inceptionp.a.8.6%4.3%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo9.7%12.7%
202518.5%34.9%
202422.3%10.9%
202339.5%8.7%
2022-4.4%55.8%
202116.3%-4.3%
2020-3.8%-16.8%
201935.5%8.7%
2018-30.7%-22.1%
2017-2.3%-20.9%
201625.1%7.6%
20152.5%6.3%
20146.9%1.9%
201343.4%0.9%
201219.4%6.6%
2011-0.2%2.4%
201028.1%2.8%
200915.6%-4.5%
2008-51.3%-24.5%
20077.4%-3.1%
200616.1%13.5%
20054.3%2.4%
200422.7%8.7%
200337.5%3.5%
2002-11.0%-3.3%
200114.3%36.0%
20007.1%38.7%
19999.4%-4.6%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FLEI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-10-21 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$906.16B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Leverage Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Leverage signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.