ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
momentum factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services 12-Month Momentum Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FMOFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+93%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
108
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.22
Ann. Return (LS)
4.5%
Ann. Volatility
20.1%
Max Drawdown
-75.2%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.01
Test FF5 α (ann.)
2.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.38
not significant
Monthly turnover
26%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
93%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.60
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.9%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.22
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
6.4%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

108 of 108 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1MS
MORGAN STANLEYFinancial Services$339.90B
25.91%
2GS
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCFinancial Services$314.25B
23.95%
3C
CITIGROUP INCFinancial Services$220.63B
16.82%
4BNY
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPFinancial Services$107.85B
8.22%
5STT
STATE STREET CORPFinancial Services$50.51B
3.85%
6CFG
CITIZENS FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$30.61B
2.33%
7PFG
PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$24.61B
1.88%
8BEN
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INCFinancial Services$16.96B
1.29%
9AIZ
ASSURANT INCFinancial Services$13.72B
1.05%
10BPOP
POPULAR INCFinancial Services$11.08B
0.84%
11HUT
HUT 8 CORPFinancial Services$10.30B
0.78%
12AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$9.77B
0.74%
13FCFS
FIRSTCASH HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$9.36B
0.71%
14WULF
TERAWULF INCFinancial Services$9.00B
0.69%
15VLY
VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORPFinancial Services$8.28B
0.63%
16SNEX
STONEX GROUP INCFinancial Services$8.16B
0.62%
17APLD
APPLIED DIGITAL CORPFinancial Services$7.37B
0.56%
18CIFR
CIPHER DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$7.18B
0.55%
19RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
0.53%
20MCY
MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial Services$5.88B
0.45%
21ENVA
ENOVA INTERNATIONAL INCFinancial Services$5.79B
0.44%
22EBC
EASTERN BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$5.32B
0.41%
23LMND
LEMONADE INCFinancial Services$5.16B
0.39%
24TFSL
TFS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$5.13B
0.39%
25BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
0.31%
26FFBC
FIRST FINANCIAL BANCORPFinancial Services$3.75B
0.29%
27HG
HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$3.47B
0.26%
28BANC
BANC OF CALIFORNIA INCFinancial Services$3.27B
0.25%
29AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.95B
0.22%
30CLBK
COLUMBIA FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$2.44B
0.19%
31MBIN
MERCHANTS BANCORPFinancial Services$2.28B
0.17%
32EZPW
EZCORP INCFinancial Services$1.97B
0.15%
33ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.15%
34DCOM
DIME COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$1.78B
0.14%
35HOPE
HOPE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.76B
0.13%
36BY
BYLINE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.73B
0.13%
37CNOB
CONNECTONE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.68B
0.13%
38OBK
ORIGIN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.62B
0.12%
39ATLC
ATLANTICUS HOLDINGS CORPFinancial Services$1.52B
0.12%
40AMAL
AMALGAMATED FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.42B
0.11%
41TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.10%
42UFCS
UNITED FIRE GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.31B
0.10%
43UVSP
UNIVEST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.24B
0.09%
44OPY
OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.17B
0.09%
45CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.08%
46GOLD
GOLDCOM INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.08%
47UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.08%
48FSBC
FIVE STAR BANCORPFinancial Services$1.04B
0.08%
49CPF
CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.02B
0.08%
50CCNE
CNB FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.02B
0.08%
51ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.08%
52HAFC
HANMI FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$971M
0.07%
53TRST
TRUSTCO BANK CORP N YFinancial Services$960M
0.07%
54CAC
CAMDEN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$917M
0.07%
55THFF
FIRST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$909M
0.07%
56WRLD
WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$891M
0.07%
57SMBC
SOUTHERN MISSOURI BANCORP INCFinancial Services$853M
0.07%
58EGBN
EAGLE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$835M
0.06%
59PGC
PEAPACK GLADSTONE FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$817M
0.06%
60ALRS
ALERUS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$808M
0.06%
61SHBI
SHORE BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$776M
0.06%
62FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.06%
63CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.06%
64CWBC
COMMUNITY WEST BANCSHARESFinancial Services$737M
0.06%
65WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.05%
66PFIS
PEOPLES FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$688M
0.05%
67AROW
ARROW FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$687M
0.05%
68MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.05%
69RRBI
RED RIVER BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$644M
0.05%
70NFBK
NORTHFIELD BANCORP INCFinancial Services$621M
0.05%
71ACNB
ACNB CORPFinancial Services$617M
0.05%
72KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.05%
73CIVB
CIVISTA BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$593M
0.05%
74SFST
SOUTHERN FIRST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$588M
0.04%
75GCBC
GREENE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$559M
0.04%
76BSRR
SIERRA BANCORPFinancial Services$551M
0.04%
77OBT
ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$504M
0.04%
78PDLB
PONCE FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$490M
0.04%
79BWFG
BANKWELL FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$479M
0.04%
80WTBA
WEST BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$460M
0.04%
81RBB
RBB BANCORPFinancial Services$458M
0.03%
82BETR
BETTER HOME & FINANCE HOLDING COFinancial Services$442M
0.03%
83PLBC
PLUMAS BANCORPFinancial Services$428M
0.03%
84PCB
PCB BANCORPFinancial Services$424M
0.03%
85FRST
PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$400M
0.03%
86FNLC
FIRST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$389M
0.03%
87PKBK
PARKE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$388M
0.03%
88CHMG
CHEMUNG FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$366M
0.03%
89WSBF
WATERSTONE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$356M
0.03%
90TSBK
TIMBERLAND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$343M
0.03%
91MYFW
FIRST WESTERN FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$323M
0.02%
92SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.02%
93FRAF
FRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$281M
0.02%
94CBNA
CHAIN BRIDGE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.02%
95CIA
CITIZENS INCFinancial Services$272M
0.02%
96FXNC
FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$267M
0.02%
97NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.02%
98ATLO
AMES NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$262M
0.02%
99RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.02%
100PEBK
PEOPLES BANCORP OF NORTH CAROLINA INCFinancial Services$232M
0.02%
101CZWI
CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$224M
0.02%
102FCAP
FIRST CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$205M
0.02%
103EBMT
EAGLE BANCORP MONTANA INCFinancial Services$185M
0.01%
104SRBK
SR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$159M
0.01%
105LSBK
LAKE SHORE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$135M
0.01%
106BOTJ
BANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.01%
107FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%
108HFBL
HOME FEDERAL BANCORP INC OF LOUISIANAFinancial Services$70M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.31T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

108 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
1%1
19%5
73%17
2%16
2%14
1%8
1%20
1%23
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 86% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (2 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt96% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt86% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 108 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    45.1%
    Margin
    -29.9%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    25.9%
    Margin
    -0.9%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied
  • At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.

    Required
    >= 50.0%
    Actual
    45.1%
    Margin
    -4.9%

    Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 108 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.2 (95% CI 1.0-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
11.1%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.16x
within
parametric
1.14x
within
cornish fisher
1.16x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1993
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1993 paper.
Sharpe 0.224.5% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
62%
16 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.74
Sharpe, January 2016 – December 2018
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.15
Dispersion
0.57
Best window
1.75

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.24.9%24.9%
3 yearsp.a.23.5%3.6%
5 yearsp.a.12.3%1.3%
10 yearsp.a.13.3%-3.8%
Since inceptionp.a.9.6%2.4%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo14.1%19.8%
202514.5%-9.5%
202438.1%10.1%
20234.8%-24.4%
2022-12.8%9.3%
202121.3%-12.8%
20207.7%-2.0%
201937.0%2.5%
2018-3.8%5.6%
201718.1%-5.8%
20160.7%-28.4%
20153.9%11.9%
20146.5%-1.3%
201337.8%-7.8%
201240.6%0.3%
2011-6.1%26.8%
20105.8%-16.9%
2009-5.7%-44.4%
2008-40.7%101.6%
20074.2%48.5%
200612.9%0.9%
200511.9%7.8%
200419.3%8.3%
200339.7%-2.3%
20025.0%25.4%
2001-6.8%6.9%
200025.3%-10.3%
199916.2%26.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FMOF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-10-16 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.31T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services 12-Month Momentum Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a 12-Month Momentum signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.