ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
momentum factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services 6-Month Momentum Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FMOFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−28%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
110
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.04
Ann. Return (LS)
0.9%
Ann. Volatility
20.0%
Max Drawdown
-82.1%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.05
Test FF5 α (ann.)
1.9%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.27
not significant
Monthly turnover
34%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-28%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.43
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
8.2%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.04
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
7.3%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

110 of 110 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1STT
STATE STREET CORPFinancial Services$50.51B
13.18%
2IBKR
INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$40.33B
10.53%
3NTRS
NORTHERN TRUST CORPFinancial Services$34.17B
8.92%
4BEN
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INCFinancial Services$16.96B
4.43%
5GL
GLOBE LIFE INCFinancial Services$14.35B
3.74%
6BPOP
POPULAR INCFinancial Services$11.08B
2.89%
7HUT
HUT 8 CORPFinancial Services$10.30B
2.69%
8FCFS
FIRSTCASH HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$9.36B
2.44%
9WULF
TERAWULF INCFinancial Services$9.00B
2.35%
10VIRT
VIRTU FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$8.64B
2.25%
11VLY
VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORPFinancial Services$8.28B
2.16%
12SNEX
STONEX GROUP INCFinancial Services$8.16B
2.13%
13APLD
APPLIED DIGITAL CORPFinancial Services$7.37B
1.92%
14CIFR
CIPHER DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$7.18B
1.87%
15RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
1.80%
16CACC
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$6.69B
1.75%
17VCTR
VICTORY CAPITAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.16B
1.61%
18SEZL
SEZZLE INCFinancial Services$5.87B
1.53%
19ENVA
ENOVA INTERNATIONAL INCFinancial Services$5.79B
1.51%
20TFSL
TFS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$5.13B
1.34%
21FBP
FIRST BANCORPFinancial Services$4.24B
1.11%
22CATY
CATHAY GENERAL BANCORPFinancial Services$4.20B
1.10%
23WSFS
WSFS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$4.16B
1.08%
24MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
1.06%
25BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
1.05%
26FFBC
FIRST FINANCIAL BANCORPFinancial Services$3.75B
0.98%
27NIC
NICOLET BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$3.61B
0.94%
28HG
HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$3.47B
0.91%
29CLSK
CLEANSPARK INCFinancial Services$3.34B
0.87%
30WT
WISDOMTREE INCFinancial Services$3.07B
0.80%
31AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.95B
0.77%
32CLBK
COLUMBIA FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$2.44B
0.64%
33MBIN
MERCHANTS BANCORPFinancial Services$2.28B
0.60%
34NWBI
NORTHWEST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.59%
35SRCE
1ST SOURCE CORPFinancial Services$2.01B
0.52%
36EZPW
EZCORP INCFinancial Services$1.97B
0.52%
37ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.51%
38RBCAA
REPUBLIC BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.78B
0.47%
39DCOM
DIME COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$1.78B
0.46%
40HOPE
HOPE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.76B
0.46%
41BY
BYLINE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.73B
0.45%
42CNOB
CONNECTONE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.68B
0.44%
43OBK
ORIGIN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.62B
0.42%
44TRIN
TRINITY CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.60B
0.42%
45ATLC
ATLANTICUS HOLDINGS CORPFinancial Services$1.52B
0.40%
46AMAL
AMALGAMATED FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.42B
0.37%
47PEBO
PEOPLES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.42B
0.37%
48CTBI
COMMUNITY TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.36B
0.36%
49TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.35%
50UFCS
UNITED FIRE GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.31B
0.34%
51HFWA
HERITAGE FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.26B
0.33%
52UVSP
UNIVEST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.24B
0.32%
53MCB
METROPOLITAN BANK HOLDING CORPFinancial Services$1.22B
0.32%
54NBN
NORTHEAST BANCORPFinancial Services$1.20B
0.31%
55OPY
OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.17B
0.30%
56CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.29%
57FSBC
FIVE STAR BANCORPFinancial Services$1.04B
0.27%
58MCBS
METROCITY BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$1.04B
0.27%
59AMTB
AMERANT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.03B
0.27%
60CCNE
CNB FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.02B
0.27%
61TRST
TRUSTCO BANK CORP N YFinancial Services$960M
0.25%
62THFF
FIRST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$909M
0.24%
63PURR
HYPERLIQUID STRATEGIES INCFinancial Services$899M
0.23%
64WRLD
WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$891M
0.23%
65SMBC
SOUTHERN MISSOURI BANCORP INCFinancial Services$853M
0.22%
66GSBC
GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$852M
0.22%
67FCBC
FIRST COMMUNITY BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$848M
0.22%
68EGBN
EAGLE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$835M
0.22%
69SMBK
SMARTFINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$823M
0.21%
70PGC
PEAPACK GLADSTONE FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$817M
0.21%
71ALRS
ALERUS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$808M
0.21%
72SHBI
SHORE BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$776M
0.20%
73FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.20%
74CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.19%
75WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.18%
76PFIS
PEOPLES FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPFinancial Services$688M
0.18%
77AROW
ARROW FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$687M
0.18%
78MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.17%
79RRBI
RED RIVER BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$644M
0.17%
80NFBK
NORTHFIELD BANCORP INCFinancial Services$621M
0.16%
81KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.16%
82CIVB
CIVISTA BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$593M
0.15%
83GCBC
GREENE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$559M
0.15%
84OBT
ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$504M
0.13%
85BWFG
BANKWELL FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$479M
0.13%
86CBK
COMMERCIAL BANCGROUP INCFinancial Services$466M
0.12%
87RBB
RBB BANCORPFinancial Services$458M
0.12%
88NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.11%
89PLBC
PLUMAS BANCORPFinancial Services$428M
0.11%
90PCB
PCB BANCORPFinancial Services$424M
0.11%
91FNLC
FIRST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$389M
0.10%
92PKBK
PARKE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$388M
0.10%
93CHMG
CHEMUNG FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$366M
0.10%
94WSBF
WATERSTONE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$356M
0.09%
95CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
0.09%
96SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.08%
97NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.07%
98ATLO
AMES NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$262M
0.07%
99RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.07%
100INBK
FIRST INTERNET BANCORPFinancial Services$233M
0.06%
101CZWI
CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$224M
0.06%
102PMTS
CPI CARD GROUP INCFinancial Services$216M
0.06%
103CFBK
CF BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$215M
0.06%
104RBKB
RHINEBECK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.05%
105BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.05%
106FGBI
FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$164M
0.04%
107BOTJ
BANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.03%
108BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.02%
109FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.02%
110OPHC
OPTIMUMBANK HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$74M
0.02%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $383.16B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

110 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
2%1
7%2
60%16
7%17
11%22
7%14
2%21
2%14
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 83% toward Large, 79% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (1 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt83% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt79% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 110 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 110 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.6 (95% CI 1.1-2.3)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
15.4%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.60x
within
parametric
1.23x
within
cornish fisher
1.51x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 29%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1993
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1993 paper.
Sharpe 0.040.9% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
46%
12 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.01
Sharpe, January 2012 – December 2014
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.06
Dispersion
0.54
Best window
1.27

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.17.6%29.1%
3 yearsp.a.15.6%-1.2%
5 yearsp.a.4.7%-6.1%
10 yearsp.a.13.2%-1.1%
Since inceptionp.a.6.5%-1.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo8.0%11.5%
20251.0%-10.5%
202429.1%-1.4%
202311.1%-21.1%
2022-24.5%-13.2%
202140.0%14.7%
20206.6%6.4%
201929.5%-2.3%
2018-3.4%7.6%
201723.3%-5.0%
201626.1%3.6%
2015-4.2%-4.4%
20141.0%-12.8%
201345.3%-1.4%
201211.7%-26.8%
20113.3%28.9%
20105.8%-12.4%
2009-32.5%-60.1%
2008-40.1%57.2%
20073.7%41.1%
20069.9%-5.7%
20053.7%-5.0%
20048.4%-6.2%
200336.5%-5.6%
2002-8.9%5.2%
2001-2.8%8.1%
200035.7%40.2%
199912.4%11.1%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FMOF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-12-20 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$383.16B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services 6-Month Momentum Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a 6-Month Momentum signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.