ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
momentum factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Technology 6-Month Momentum Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FMOTHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+473%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
82
cap-weighted
Inception
Sep 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.36
Ann. Return (LS)
10.5%
Ann. Volatility
28.9%
Max Drawdown
-57.9%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.59
Test FF5 α (ann.)
25.0%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.90
not significant
Monthly turnover
33%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
473%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.55
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
18.1%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.36
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
7.6%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

82 of 82 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1MU
MICRON TECHNOLOGY INCTechnology$958.80B
18.96%
2AMD
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INCTechnology$808.39B
15.98%
3INTC
INTEL CORPTechnology$477.67B
9.44%
4AMAT
APPLIED MATERIALS INCTechnology$420.53B
8.31%
5LRCX
LAM RESEARCH CORPTechnology$391.80B
7.75%
6KLAC
KLA CORPTechnology$277.91B
5.49%
7DELL
DELL TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$256.87B
5.08%
8SNDK
SANDISK CORPTechnology$200.63B
3.97%
9STX
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS PLCTechnology$176.62B
3.49%
10MRVL
MARVELL TECHNOLOGY INCTechnology$165.06B
3.26%
11WDC
WESTERN DIGITAL CORPTechnology$164.49B
3.25%
12GLW
CORNING INCTechnology$133.06B
2.63%
13LITE
LUMENTUM HOLDINGS INCTechnology$57.01B
1.13%
14COHR
COHERENT CORPTechnology$54.31B
1.07%
15CIEN
CIENA CORPTechnology$53.00B
1.05%
16ALAB
ASTERA LABS INCTechnology$52.04B
1.03%
17TER
TERADYNE INCTechnology$50.46B
1.00%
18FLEX
FLEX LTDTechnology$43.69B
0.86%
19MKSI
MKS INCTechnology$21.93B
0.43%
20ENTG
ENTEGRIS INCTechnology$21.16B
0.42%
21MTSI
MACOM TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS HOLDINGS INCTechnology$20.40B
0.40%
22LSCC
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORPTechnology$17.16B
0.34%
23AMKR
AMKOR TECHNOLOGY INCTechnology$15.60B
0.31%
24SITM
SITIME CORPTechnology$14.65B
0.29%
25ONTO
ONTO INNOVATION INCTechnology$13.92B
0.28%
26TTMI
TTM TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$13.71B
0.27%
27DOCN
DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS INCTechnology$12.41B
0.25%
28SMTC
SEMTECH CORPTechnology$11.64B
0.23%
29VICR
VICOR CORPTechnology$10.83B
0.21%
30VSAT
VIASAT INCTechnology$9.76B
0.19%
31VIAV
VIAVI SOLUTIONS INCTechnology$8.93B
0.18%
32ALGM
ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS INCTechnology$8.66B
0.17%
33FORM
FORMFACTOR INCTechnology$8.23B
0.16%
34AAOI
APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INCTechnology$8.22B
0.16%
35PLXS
PLEXUS CORPTechnology$6.71B
0.13%
36MXL
MAXLINEAR INCTechnology$6.43B
0.13%
37ACMR
ACM RESEARCH INCTechnology$5.56B
0.11%
38VSH
VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INCTechnology$5.15B
0.10%
39KLIC
KULICKE & SOFFA INDUSTRIES INCTechnology$5.09B
0.10%
40ACLS
AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$4.19B
0.08%
41UCTT
ULTRA CLEAN HOLDINGS INCTechnology$4.14B
0.08%
42DIOD
DIODES INCTechnology$4.00B
0.08%
43POWI
POWER INTEGRATIONS INCTechnology$3.93B
0.08%
44SEDG
SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$3.25B
0.06%
45VECO
VEECO INSTRUMENTS INCTechnology$3.19B
0.06%
46PENG
PENGUIN SOLUTIONS INCTechnology$3.10B
0.06%
47AXTI
AXT INCTechnology$3.00B
0.06%
48ICHR
ICHOR HOLDINGS LTDTechnology$2.88B
0.06%
49BHE
BENCHMARK ELECTRONICS INCTechnology$2.81B
0.06%
50VISN
VISTANCE NETWORKS INCTechnology$2.74B
0.05%
51NVTS
NAVITAS SEMICONDUCTOR CORPTechnology$2.68B
0.05%
52ATEN
A10 NETWORKS INCTechnology$2.59B
0.05%
53AEHR
AEHR TEST SYSTEMSTechnology$2.55B
0.05%
54COHU
COHU INCTechnology$2.41B
0.05%
55OUST
OUSTER INCTechnology$2.36B
0.05%
56BAND
BANDWIDTH INCTechnology$2.30B
0.05%
57PDFS
PDF SOLUTIONS INCTechnology$2.04B
0.04%
58AMBQ
AMBIQ MICRO INCTechnology$1.55B
0.03%
59BRUN
BOOST RUN INCTechnology$1.50B
0.03%
60WOLF
WOLFSPEED INCTechnology$1.44B
0.03%
61AIP
ARTERIS INCTechnology$1.43B
0.03%
62VPG
VISHAY PRECISION GROUP INCTechnology$1.38B
0.03%
63CEVA
CEVA INCTechnology$1.06B
0.02%
64APPS
DIGITAL TURBINE INCTechnology$1.01B
0.02%
65WYFI
WHITEFIBER INCTechnology$971M
0.02%
66AOSL
ALPHA & OMEGA SEMICONDUCTOR LTDTechnology$936M
0.02%
67BLZE
BACKBLAZE INCTechnology$793M
0.02%
68MEI
METHODE ELECTRONICS INCTechnology$532M
0.01%
69MRAM
EVERSPIN TECHNOLOGIES INCTechnology$341M
0.01%
70OSS
ONE STOP SYSTEMS INCTechnology$313M
0.01%
71OPTX
SYNTEC OPTICS HOLDINGS INCTechnology$302M
0.01%
72SVCO
SILVACO GROUP INCTechnology$260M
0.01%
73QUIK
QUICKLOGIC CORPTechnology$237M
0.00%
74ALOT
ASTRONOVA INCTechnology$222M
0.00%
75ATOM
ATOMERA INCTechnology$218M
0.00%
76INTT
INTEST CORPTechnology$169M
0.00%
77AMPG
AMPLITECH GROUP INCTechnology$168M
0.00%
78OCC
OPTICAL CABLE CORPTechnology$130M
0.00%
79FIRY
FIRY INCTechnology$130M
0.00%
80WYY
WIDEPOINT CORPTechnology$115M
0.00%
81WATT
ENERGOUS CORPTechnology$83M
0.00%
82BNAI
BRAND ENGAGEMENT NETWORK INCTechnology$76M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $5.06T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Technology
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

82 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
10%2
25%5
62%23
<1%3
1%15
1%7
<1%12
<1%5
<1%5

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 421-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $8.9B, Small < $1.9B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.63, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 77% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt77% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 82 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    64.0%
    Margin
    -11.0%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 82 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.3 (95% CI 1.3-2.9)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
22.5%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.33x
over
parametric
2.07x
over
cornish fisher
1.98x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1993
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1993 paper.
Sharpe 0.3610.5% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
73%
19 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.34
Sharpe, January 2007 – December 2009
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.15
Dispersion
0.40
Best window
1.03

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.75.3%74.7%
3 yearsp.a.57.4%38.1%
5 yearsp.a.36.0%28.5%
10 yearsp.a.32.6%12.2%
Since inceptionp.a.13.7%6.5%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo67.1%54.5%
202526.3%4.6%
202465.1%57.9%
202369.5%18.3%
2022-32.8%5.9%
202116.3%-16.9%
202053.0%11.7%
201945.7%2.3%
2018-6.0%-11.5%
201744.7%5.5%
201628.5%14.2%
20150.2%0.5%
20149.2%-7.7%
201343.7%-2.0%
201225.4%13.5%
2011-20.6%-2.7%
201042.2%36.8%
200926.1%-38.5%
2008-50.3%1.7%
200725.5%17.3%
20060.8%-14.0%
200510.3%3.0%
20040.9%6.4%
200353.9%3.4%
2002-55.5%-32.4%
2001-36.1%-7.6%
2000-22.4%47.8%
1999186.4%95.0%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FMOT
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-09-15 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$5.06T

Methodology

The Foundry Technology 6-Month Momentum Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Technology common stocks each month by a 6-Month Momentum signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.