ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials NetDebtFin Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FNEIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+2%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
101
cap-weighted
Inception
Feb 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.07
Ann. Return (LS)
0.9%
Ann. Volatility
12.6%
Max Drawdown
-64.2%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.02
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.7%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.44
not significant
Monthly turnover
14%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
2%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.55
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.7%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.07
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.8%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

101 of 101 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORPIndustrials$179.15B
10.50%
2BA
BOEING COIndustrials$168.72B
9.89%
3DE
DEERE & COIndustrials$161.22B
9.45%
4GD
GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPIndustrials$99.68B
5.84%
5WM
WASTE MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$96.10B
5.63%
6MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
4.89%
7EMR
EMERSON ELECTRIC COIndustrials$78.14B
4.58%
8HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
4.18%
9PCAR
PACCAR INCIndustrials$66.42B
3.89%
10AXON
AXON ENTERPRISE INCIndustrials$41.13B
2.41%
11RKLB
ROCKET LAB CORPIndustrials$39.14B
2.29%
12CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
2.12%
13EME
EMCOR GROUP INCIndustrials$33.07B
1.94%
14EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
1.89%
15OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
1.65%
16JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
1.61%
17ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
1.56%
18XPO
XPO INCIndustrials$25.25B
1.48%
19NVT
NVENT ELECTRIC PLCIndustrials$25.05B
1.47%
20LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
1.38%
21GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS INCIndustrials$21.29B
1.25%
22FTAI
FTAI AVIATION LTDIndustrials$21.28B
1.25%
23ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
1.04%
24NDSN
NORDSON CORPIndustrials$16.10B
0.94%
25ARMK
ARAMARKIndustrials$14.92B
0.87%
26RRX
REGAL REXNORD CORPIndustrials$13.77B
0.81%
27KNX
KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.46B
0.73%
28AIT
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$12.43B
0.73%
29DRS
LEONARDO DRS INCIndustrials$11.77B
0.69%
30SAIA
SAIA INCIndustrials$11.65B
0.68%
31HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
0.62%
32SPXC
SPX TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
0.62%
33DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
0.61%
34AYI
ACUITY INC (DE)Industrials$9.99B
0.59%
35AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
0.58%
36OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
0.53%
37KTOS
KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$8.63B
0.51%
38AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
0.49%
39TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.48%
40ACA
ARCOSA INCIndustrials$7.12B
0.42%
41SNDR
SCHNEIDER NATIONAL INCIndustrials$6.69B
0.39%
42MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.36%
43MIDD
MIDDLEBY CORPIndustrials$6.02B
0.35%
44VSEC
VSE CORPIndustrials$5.60B
0.33%
45AIR
AAR CORPIndustrials$5.38B
0.32%
46AMTM
AMENTUM HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$5.05B
0.30%
47WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.29%
48PRIM
PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPIndustrials$4.66B
0.27%
49KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.26%
50AZZ
AZZ INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.26%
51BRC
BRADY CORPIndustrials$4.41B
0.26%
52GFF
GRIFFON CORPIndustrials$4.20B
0.25%
53GEO
GEO GROUP INCIndustrials$3.94B
0.23%
54FA
FIRST ADVANTAGE CORPIndustrials$3.83B
0.22%
55SXI
STANDEX INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$3.67B
0.22%
56ARCB
ARCBEST CORPIndustrials$3.56B
0.21%
57FLY
FIREFLY AEROSPACE INCIndustrials$3.09B
0.18%
58CECO
CECO ENVIRONMENTAL CORPIndustrials$2.87B
0.17%
59TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.16%
60HLIO
HELIOS TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$2.68B
0.16%
61VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.13%
62GRC
GORMAN RUPP COIndustrials$2.11B
0.12%
63JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.12%
64ALGT
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COIndustrials$1.86B
0.11%
65TH
TARGET HOSPITALITY CORPIndustrials$1.64B
0.10%
66TE
T1 ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.63B
0.10%
67ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.08%
68BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.08%
69FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.08%
70NWPX
NWPX INFRASTRUCTURE INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.08%
71HTLD
HEARTLAND EXPRESS INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.07%
72RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.06%
73WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.06%
74MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.05%
75KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
0.04%
76PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.04%
77SWBI
SMITH & WESSON BRANDS INCIndustrials$665M
0.04%
78KELYA
KELLY SERVICES INCIndustrials$531M
0.03%
79SPIR
SPIRE GLOBAL INCIndustrials$488M
0.03%
80PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.03%
81TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.03%
82QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.03%
83FSTR
FOSTER L B COIndustrials$439M
0.03%
84CEPL
CAPSTONE ENERGY PLUS INCIndustrials$329M
0.02%
85PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.02%
86ESOA
ENERGY SERVICES OF AMERICA CORPIndustrials$299M
0.02%
87TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.02%
88UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.01%
89AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.01%
90PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.01%
91HQI
HIREQUEST INCIndustrials$168M
0.01%
92EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.01%
93RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.01%
94RFIL
R F INDUSTRIES LTDIndustrials$143M
0.01%
95SIF
SIFCO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$141M
0.01%
96VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
97CHRN
CHRONOSCALE CORPIndustrials$94M
0.01%
98ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.01%
99DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.00%
100TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.00%
101BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.71T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

101 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
24%15
48%25
23%14
1%16
<1%3
<1%5
<1%10
<1%1
<1%1

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 49% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (11 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt49% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 101 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 101 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.5 (95% CI 1.1-1.9)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
14.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.53x
within
parametric
1.25x
within
cornish fisher
1.25x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 23%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2006
Before publication (pre-2006)
0.51
Sharpe · 7.8% p.a.
January 1999December 2006 · 96 mo
Since publication
-0.18
Sharpe · -2.0% p.a.
January 2007July 2026 · 235 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.69the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
73%
19 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-2.96
Sharpe, January 2017 – December 2019
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.23
Dispersion
1.06
Best window
1.33

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.12.7%-4.4%
3 yearsp.a.17.5%-0.5%
5 yearsp.a.13.8%1.7%
10 yearsp.a.6.7%-7.1%
Since inceptionp.a.9.1%0.1%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo6.3%-12.0%
202516.3%8.9%
202421.5%-0.2%
202329.3%7.4%
2022-7.9%2.2%
202126.9%17.3%
20206.5%-16.1%
201925.7%-8.2%
2018-29.3%-23.8%
2017-14.6%-32.5%
20168.8%-7.4%
201510.0%14.2%
20142.1%-4.6%
201343.2%1.6%
201220.8%7.4%
2011-1.5%-6.3%
201034.8%7.3%
200925.2%-0.9%
2008-40.3%5.8%
200712.3%6.4%
200621.1%-2.6%
200510.1%6.0%
200423.2%-7.8%
200337.3%-0.9%
20020.8%28.0%
200123.8%35.3%
2000-14.4%16.6%
19997.3%-10.6%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FNEI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-02-19 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.71T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials NetDebtFin Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a NetDebtFin signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.