ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
leverage factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials OPLev Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FOPIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+198%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
103
cap-weighted
Inception
Nov 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.34
Ann. Return (LS)
5.1%
Ann. Volatility
14.8%
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.70
Test FF5 α (ann.)
6.3%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.14
not significant
Monthly turnover
6%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
198%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.61
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
12.0%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.34
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
6.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

103 of 103 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1LMT
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPIndustrials$117.30B
13.55%
2PWR
QUANTA SERVICES INCIndustrials$94.32B
10.89%
3GWW
WW GRAINGER INCIndustrials$65.86B
7.61%
4FIX
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INCIndustrials$58.93B
6.81%
5FAST
FASTENAL COIndustrials$52.20B
6.03%
6EME
EMCOR GROUP INCIndustrials$33.07B
3.82%
7OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
3.26%
8JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
3.17%
9MTZ
MASTEC INCIndustrials$26.04B
3.01%
10CHRW
C H ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INCIndustrials$24.58B
2.84%
11EXPD
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INCIndustrials$23.91B
2.76%
12WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$15.97B
1.84%
13J
JACOBS SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$15.56B
1.80%
14WSO
WATSCO INCIndustrials$15.12B
1.75%
15ARMK
ARAMARKIndustrials$14.92B
1.72%
16AIT
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$12.43B
1.44%
17IESC
IES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.21B
1.41%
18HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.23%
19DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
1.21%
20VMI
VALMONT INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.32B
1.19%
21TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
1.04%
22OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
1.03%
23ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
1.01%
24CNM
CORE & MAIN INCIndustrials$8.75B
1.01%
25TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.95%
26BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.90%
27POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.85%
28LSTR
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INCIndustrials$7.18B
0.83%
29MSM
MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INCIndustrials$6.97B
0.80%
30FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.79%
31GXO
GXO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$6.22B
0.72%
32MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.70%
33GVA
GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCIndustrials$5.43B
0.63%
34AMTM
AMENTUM HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$5.05B
0.58%
35FCN
FTI CONSULTING INCIndustrials$4.90B
0.57%
36RXO
RXO INCIndustrials$4.83B
0.56%
37PRIM
PRIMORIS SERVICES CORPIndustrials$4.66B
0.54%
38SITE
SITEONE LANDSCAPE SUPPLY INCIndustrials$4.60B
0.53%
39KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.51%
40SEB
SEABOARD CORPIndustrials$4.34B
0.50%
41RHI
ROBERT HALF INCIndustrials$4.28B
0.49%
42TPC
TUTOR PERINI CORPIndustrials$4.14B
0.48%
43ARCB
ARCBEST CORPIndustrials$3.56B
0.41%
44HUBG
HUB GROUP INCIndustrials$3.13B
0.36%
45MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.35%
46ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.32%
47TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.32%
48DXPE
DXP ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.60B
0.30%
49MAN
MANPOWERGROUP INCIndustrials$2.43B
0.28%
50ATRO
ASTRONICS CORPIndustrials$2.41B
0.28%
51VVX
V2X INCIndustrials$2.37B
0.27%
52NSP
INSPERITY INCIndustrials$1.89B
0.22%
53HURN
HURON CONSULTING GROUP INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.21%
54PRG
PROG HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.21%
55DSGR
DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.59B
0.18%
56RYZ
RYERSON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$1.54B
0.18%
57LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.15%
58GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.15%
59ASTE
ASTEC INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$1.27B
0.15%
60CVLG
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.14%
61CRAI
CRA INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.11B
0.13%
62WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.13%
63KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.12%
64BBSI
BARRETT BUSINESS SERVICES INCIndustrials$984M
0.11%
65NPK
NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$870M
0.10%
66LMB
LIMBACH HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$867M
0.10%
67PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.08%
68RGR
STURM RUGER & CO INCIndustrials$604M
0.07%
69IIIN
INSTEEL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$600M
0.07%
70HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.07%
71KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.07%
72WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.06%
73PKOH
PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$544M
0.06%
74KELYA
KELLY SERVICES INCIndustrials$531M
0.06%
75ORN
ORION GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$518M
0.06%
76MG
MISTRAS GROUP INCIndustrials$500M
0.06%
77TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.06%
78BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.05%
79MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.05%
80TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
81QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.05%
82FSTR
FOSTER L B COIndustrials$439M
0.05%
83RLGT
RADIANT LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$431M
0.05%
84CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.04%
85MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.04%
86ESOA
ENERGY SERVICES OF AMERICA CORPIndustrials$299M
0.03%
87TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.03%
88TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.03%
89FC
FRANKLIN COVEY COIndustrials$229M
0.03%
90EVI
EVI INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$213M
0.02%
91ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.02%
92RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.02%
93EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.02%
94RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
95RFIL
R F INDUSTRIES LTDIndustrials$143M
0.02%
96SIF
SIFCO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$141M
0.02%
97VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
98CHRN
CHRONOSCALE CORPIndustrials$94M
0.01%
99OPXS
OPTEX SYSTEMS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
100MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
101DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
102TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.01%
103BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $865.70B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

103 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
26%15
44%26
24%4
2%22
2%13
1%4
<1%10
<1%1
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 97% toward Large, 48% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (6 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt97% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt48% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 103 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
6
Failed
0
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 103 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
13.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.44x
within
parametric
1.24x
within
cornish fisher
1.22x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 16%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2011
Before publication (pre-2011)
0.29
Sharpe · 4.9% p.a.
January 1999December 2011 · 156 mo
Since publication
0.42
Sharpe · 5.2% p.a.
January 2012July 2026 · 175 mo
Change in Sharpe+0.13Sharpe strengthened since publication5% stronger in annual return

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
73%
19 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.88
Sharpe, January 2013 – December 2015
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.38
Dispersion
0.51
Best window
1.21

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.27.8%33.6%
3 yearsp.a.20.4%16.8%
5 yearsp.a.16.7%12.1%
10 yearsp.a.16.4%8.9%
Since inceptionp.a.10.5%4.0%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo20.8%30.5%
202520.6%8.9%
202415.1%11.2%
202324.6%15.4%
2022-7.8%-9.8%
202132.8%23.4%
202022.1%4.7%
201925.4%-5.9%
2018-11.9%0.8%
201718.0%9.5%
201625.0%12.2%
2015-11.2%-14.8%
20141.8%-5.3%
201336.6%-1.6%
201215.2%-3.3%
2011-7.1%-6.7%
201031.3%2.1%
200913.3%-7.7%
2008-34.5%14.9%
200710.4%3.2%
200613.5%2.3%
200518.7%18.7%
200431.8%9.7%
200333.0%-4.7%
2002-9.2%34.2%
200115.0%22.9%
2000-12.0%-7.9%
1999-0.5%-22.0%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FOPI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-11-15 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$865.70B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials OPLev Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a OPLev signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.