Foundry Consumer Cyclical Price Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1F | FORD MOTOR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $56.70B | 47.85% |
2MBLY | MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.76B | 6.55% |
3MAT | MATTEL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.15B | 3.50% |
4QS | QUANTUMSCAPE CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.60B | 3.04% |
5GPK | GRAPHIC PACKAGING HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.20B | 2.70% |
6UAA | UNDER ARMOUR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 2.67% |
7LCID | LUCID GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.87B | 2.42% |
8PTON | PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.55B | 2.15% |
9GT | GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO | Consumer Cyclical | $2.10B | 1.77% |
10SIND | SYNTHETIC INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.03B | 1.71% |
11FIGS | FIGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.72B | 1.45% |
12SVV | SAVERS VALUE VILLAGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.53B | 1.29% |
13LEG | LEGGETT & PLATT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.50B | 1.27% |
14WEN | WENDY'S CO | Consumer Cyclical | $1.48B | 1.25% |
15OI | O-I GLASS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.40B | 1.18% |
16REAL | THEREALREAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.35B | 1.14% |
17ACVA | ACV AUCTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.30B | 1.10% |
18DCH | DAUCH CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.29B | 1.09% |
19TDAY | USA TODAY CO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.25B | 1.05% |
20MBC | MASTERBRAND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.11B | 0.94% |
21ARHS | ARHAUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.09B | 0.92% |
22LUCK | LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.01B | 0.85% |
23ACEL | ACCEL ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $989M | 0.83% |
24ARKO | ARKO CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $893M | 0.75% |
25TDUP | THREDUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $852M | 0.72% |
26SG | SWEETGREEN INC | Consumer Cyclical | $841M | 0.71% |
27FWRG | FIRST WATCH RESTAURANT GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $768M | 0.65% |
28BLMN | BLOOMIN' BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $731M | 0.62% |
29BALY | BALLY'S CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $688M | 0.58% |
30CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $670M | 0.57% |
31CWH | CAMPING WORLD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $637M | 0.54% |
32PACK | RANPAK HOLDINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $583M | 0.49% |
33XMAX | XMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $541M | 0.46% |
34BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $437M | 0.37% |
35CAL | CALERES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $398M | 0.34% |
36BRCB | BLACK ROCK COFFEE BAR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $391M | 0.33% |
37BBBY | BED BATH & BEYOND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $372M | 0.31% |
38LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $357M | 0.30% |
39XPOF | XPONENTIAL FITNESS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $328M | 0.28% |
40FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $326M | 0.27% |
41DBI | DESIGNER BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $290M | 0.25% |
42KWY | KINGSWAY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $279M | 0.24% |
43MPAA | MOTORCAR PARTS OF AMERICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $265M | 0.22% |
44RDNW | RIDENOW GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $229M | 0.19% |
45ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $224M | 0.19% |
46SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $209M | 0.18% |
47SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $197M | 0.17% |
48LCUT | LIFETIME BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $195M | 0.16% |
49LEE | LEE ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $175M | 0.15% |
50INSE | INSPIRED ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $174M | 0.15% |
51HOFT | HOOKER FURNISHINGS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $152M | 0.13% |
52CHPT | CHARGEPOINT HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $146M | 0.12% |
53RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $130M | 0.11% |
54AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $119M | 0.10% |
55UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $118M | 0.10% |
56MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $114M | 0.10% |
57LAKE | LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $113M | 0.10% |
58VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $97M | 0.08% |
59VNCE | VINCE HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $83M | 0.07% |
60BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.07% |
61ROLR | HIGH ROLLER TECHNOLOGIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $76M | 0.06% |
62NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $66M | 0.06% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $118.50B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 74% toward Large, 26% toward Growth. +12% unclassified (20 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 62 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual55.6%Margin-19.4%No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required<= 25.0%Actual47.9%Margin-22.9%Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.
Required<= 7.0 daysActual12.3 daysMargin-5.3 days
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 62 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 30.4% | 21.0% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 8.7% | -5.6% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | -6.7% | -13.5% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 4.2% | -11.0% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 5.8% | -2.9% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| 2025 | 20.2% | 11.4% |
| 2024 | 0.7% | -26.8% |
| 2023 | 15.1% | -20.5% |
| 2022 | -50.8% | -19.1% |
| 2021 | 25.3% | 0.7% |
| 2020 | 39.7% | -13.1% |
| 2019 | 30.0% | 3.3% |
| 2018 | -26.6% | -34.2% |
| 2017 | 8.2% | -20.1% |
| 2016 | 15.0% | 10.9% |
| 2015 | -6.9% | -22.0% |
| 2014 | 5.2% | -0.3% |
| 2013 | 60.1% | 15.8% |
| 2012 | 45.9% | 27.5% |
| 2011 | -8.2% | -13.9% |
| 2010 | 35.6% | 5.9% |
| 2009 | 150.8% | 96.7% |
| 2008 | -59.9% | -25.7% |
| 2007 | -24.9% | -23.9% |
| 2006 | 9.7% | -2.0% |
| 2005 | -18.9% | -16.9% |
| 2004 | 31.4% | 11.6% |
| 2003 | 56.7% | 15.5% |
| 2002 | -20.7% | 5.4% |
| 2001 | 79.2% | 60.0% |
| 2000 | -49.2% | -28.2% |
| 1999 | 3.3% | -6.4% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical Price Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a Price signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.