ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Price Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FPRFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−48%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
111
cap-weighted
Inception
Sep 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.05
Ann. Return (LS)
-0.9%
Ann. Volatility
17.2%
Max Drawdown
-61.3%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.04
Test FF5 α (ann.)
3.2%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.67
not significant
Monthly turnover
11%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-48%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.29
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
7.8%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.05
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
8.7%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

111 of 111 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1RKT
ROCKET COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$41.14B
16.34%
2HBAN
HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$37.00B
14.69%
3SOFI
SOFI TECHNOLOGIES INCFinancial Services$22.17B
8.80%
4OWL
BLUE OWL CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$14.84B
5.89%
5BMNR
BITMINE IMMERSION TECHNOLOGIES INCFinancial Services$9.46B
3.76%
6WULF
TERAWULF INCFinancial Services$9.00B
3.57%
7VLY
VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORPFinancial Services$8.28B
3.29%
8CIFR
CIPHER DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$7.18B
2.85%
9RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
2.74%
10FLG
FLAGSTAR BANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATIONFinancial Services$6.21B
2.47%
11OBDC
BLUE OWL CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$5.45B
2.17%
12BGC
BGC GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.41B
2.15%
13HGTY
HAGERTY INCFinancial Services$4.13B
1.64%
14MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
1.62%
15GNW
GENWORTH FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$3.86B
1.53%
16MCHB
MECHANICS BANCORPFinancial Services$3.59B
1.42%
17GBDC
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$3.40B
1.35%
18CLSK
CLEANSPARK INCFinancial Services$3.34B
1.33%
19FSK
FS KKR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$3.06B
1.22%
20HTGC
HERCULES CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$3.03B
1.20%
21ARX
ACCELERANT HOLDINGSFinancial Services$2.95B
1.17%
22WU
WESTERN UNION COFinancial Services$2.77B
1.10%
23GCMG
GCM GROSVENOR INCFinancial Services$2.61B
1.03%
24NWBI
NORTHWEST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.90%
25HOPE
HOPE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.76B
0.70%
26TSLX
SIXTH STREET SPECIALTY LENDING INCFinancial Services$1.66B
0.66%
27TRIN
TRINITY CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.60B
0.63%
28PWP
PERELLA WEINBERG PARTNERSFinancial Services$1.48B
0.59%
29XZO
EXZEO GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.46B
0.58%
30CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.43%
31OCSL
OAKTREE SPECIALTY LENDING CORPFinancial Services$1.07B
0.42%
32GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.39%
33ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.39%
34RPC
RIDGEPOST CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$959M
0.38%
35PURR
HYPERLIQUID STRATEGIES INCFinancial Services$899M
0.36%
36BBDC
BARINGS BDC INCFinancial Services$890M
0.35%
37FMNB
FARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORPFinancial Services$867M
0.34%
38BCSF
BAIN CAPITAL SPECIALTY FINANCE INCFinancial Services$823M
0.33%
39NAVI
NAVIENT CORPFinancial Services$813M
0.32%
40MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.32%
41OPFI
OPPFI INCFinancial Services$801M
0.32%
42GDOT
GREEN DOT CORPFinancial Services$760M
0.30%
43CGBD
CARLYLE SECURED LENDING INCFinancial Services$726M
0.29%
44PFLT
PENNANTPARK FLOATING RATE CAPITAL LTDFinancial Services$719M
0.29%
45SLRC
SLR INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$716M
0.28%
46PRAA
PRA GROUP INCFinancial Services$691M
0.27%
47VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
0.27%
48NMFC
NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$672M
0.27%
49TIPT
TIPTREE INCFinancial Services$669M
0.27%
50GAIN
GLADSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATIONFinancial Services$659M
0.26%
51NCDL
NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORPFinancial Services$627M
0.25%
52NFBK
NORTHFIELD BANCORP INCFinancial Services$621M
0.25%
53KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.24%
54GLRE
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL RE LTDFinancial Services$566M
0.22%
55CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
0.21%
56ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.20%
57NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.17%
58PBFS
PIONEER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$431M
0.17%
59CCAP
CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$407M
0.16%
60FRST
PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$400M
0.16%
61FCBM
FIRST CAROLINA FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$389M
0.15%
62ABTC
AMERICAN BITCOIN CORPFinancial Services$386M
0.15%
63MBI
MBIA INCFinancial Services$333M
0.13%
64NODK
NI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$326M
0.13%
65FVCB
FVCBANKCORP INCFinancial Services$321M
0.13%
66SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.13%
67PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.12%
68CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.12%
69WNEB
WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$294M
0.12%
70OSG
OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.11%
71OPRT
OPORTUN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$274M
0.11%
72CIA
CITIZENS INCFinancial Services$272M
0.11%
73NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.11%
74SNFCA
SECURITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$255M
0.10%
75RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.10%
76FBLA
FB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$247M
0.10%
77RWAY
RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$239M
0.09%
78MFIN
MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$237M
0.09%
79OPBK
OP BANCORPFinancial Services$223M
0.09%
80SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.09%
81CPSS
CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES INCFinancial Services$197M
0.08%
82RBKB
RHINEBECK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.08%
83FINW
FINWISE BANCORPFinancial Services$189M
0.08%
84BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.07%
85RMBI
RICHMOND MUTUAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$165M
0.07%
86FGBI
FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$164M
0.07%
87WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.06%
88HYNE
HOYNE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$135M
0.05%
89LSBK
LAKE SHORE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$135M
0.05%
90GHI
GREYSTONE HOUSING IMPACT INVESTORS LPFinancial Services$123M
0.05%
91WSBK
WINCHESTER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.05%
92SAMG
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP INCFinancial Services$118M
0.05%
93BSBK
BOGOTA FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$116M
0.05%
94FNWB
FIRST NORTHWEST BANCORPFinancial Services$116M
0.05%
95MGYR
MAGYAR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$113M
0.05%
96PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.04%
97RVSB
RIVERVIEW BANCORP INCFinancial Services$107M
0.04%
98PBHC
PATHFINDER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$103M
0.04%
99FDSB
FIFTH DISTRICT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$94M
0.04%
100FUSB
FIRST US BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$92M
0.04%
101BCIC
BCP INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$91M
0.04%
102BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.04%
103UBCP
UNITED BANCORP INCFinancial Services$89M
0.04%
104FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.03%
105HNNA
HENNESSY ADVISORS INCFinancial Services$79M
0.03%
106GECC
GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$74M
0.03%
107OPHC
OPTIMUMBANK HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$74M
0.03%
108NSTS
NSTS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$73M
0.03%
109KG
KESTREL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$72M
0.03%
110CLST
CATALYST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$70M
0.03%
111TCBS
TEXAS COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$50M
0.02%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $251.83B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

111 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
12%4
·
53%7
8%12
6%8
9%10
5%41
2%22
<1%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 80% toward Large, 70% toward Growth. +4% unclassified (4 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt80% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt70% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 111 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    74.3%
    Margin
    -0.7%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    34.8 days
    Margin
    -27.8 days
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 111 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.4 (95% CI 1.5-3.0)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
22.9%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.38x
over
parametric
1.77x
within
cornish fisher
2.15x
over

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.38 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.77 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1973
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1973 paper.
Sharpe -0.05-0.9% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
42%
11 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.88
Sharpe, January 2017 – December 2019
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.11
Dispersion
0.45
Best window
0.90

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.22.5%14.5%
3 yearsp.a.21.7%4.0%
5 yearsp.a.9.7%0.2%
10 yearsp.a.12.1%-1.3%
Since inceptionp.a.4.1%-2.3%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo5.8%3.7%
202529.0%13.0%
202415.6%-10.7%
202342.7%23.8%
2022-27.9%-18.0%
202121.2%-2.3%
20201.0%-5.6%
201927.8%-3.4%
2018-15.3%-7.8%
20179.3%-11.6%
201625.9%9.5%
2015-7.2%-7.0%
20147.2%-4.3%
201349.8%5.5%
201264.9%38.2%
2011-32.7%-23.7%
201039.7%29.4%
2009-25.6%-29.4%
2008-58.9%-21.0%
2007-21.8%-11.8%
200621.6%1.1%
200511.9%3.8%
200414.4%4.3%
200349.5%17.1%
2002-32.8%-18.8%
200114.0%30.9%
2000-0.5%-22.4%
19993.3%-7.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FPRF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-09-21 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$251.83B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Price Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Price signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.