ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Price Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FPRIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−25%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
142
cap-weighted
Inception
Nov 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.05
Ann. Return (LS)
0.9%
Ann. Volatility
20.0%
Max Drawdown
-69.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.06
Test FF5 α (ann.)
2.1%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.33
not significant
Monthly turnover
17%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-25%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.40
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.3%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.05
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
10.4%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

142 of 142 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1JOBY
JOBY AVIATION INCIndustrials$7.11B
10.27%
2ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
8.00%
3XXI
TWENTY ONE CAPITAL INCIndustrials$3.48B
5.03%
4SMR
NUSCALE POWER CORPIndustrials$2.82B
4.07%
5AACO
ABONY ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$2.65B
3.83%
6JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
2.91%
7RDW
REDWIRE CORPIndustrials$1.68B
2.43%
8TE
T1 ENERGY INCIndustrials$1.63B
2.36%
9HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
2.29%
10TIC
TIC SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$1.51B
2.19%
11ULCC
FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.43B
2.07%
12BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
1.95%
13LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
1.91%
14UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
1.62%
15PCT
PURECYCLE TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.09B
1.58%
16EVLV
EVOLV TECHNOLOGIES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.02B
1.47%
17KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
1.08%
18FAC
FACTORIAL ENERGY INCIndustrials$610M
0.88%
19TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.71%
20AIAI
AIAI HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$492M
0.71%
21MLAA
MOUNTAIN LAKE ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$487M
0.70%
22ZKP
LAFAYETTE DIGITAL ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$466M
0.67%
23PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.66%
24SRTA
STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INCIndustrials$446M
0.64%
25QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.64%
26ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.64%
27IACO
IDEA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$435M
0.63%
28DBCA
D BORAL ACQUISITION I CORPIndustrials$432M
0.62%
29MESH
MESHFLOW ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$432M
0.62%
30RLGT
RADIANT LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$431M
0.62%
31KRAQ
KRAKACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$431M
0.62%
32MEVO
M EVO GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$398M
0.57%
33SERV
SERVE ROBOTICS INCIndustrials$394M
0.57%
34MZYX
MOZAYYX ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$376M
0.54%
35FDMMU
FREEDOM METALS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$374M
0.54%
36ALOV
ALDABRA 4 LIQUIDITY OPPORTUNITY VEHICLE INCIndustrials$373M
0.54%
37GIX
GIGCAPITAL9 CORPIndustrials$363M
0.52%
38ACAA
AVERIN CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$357M
0.52%
39HCIC
HENNESSY CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP VIIIIndustrials$354M
0.51%
40YICC
YORKVILLE INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL CORPIndustrials$348M
0.50%
41ARTC
ART TECHNOLOGY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$347M
0.50%
42BIXI
BITCOIN INFRASTRUCTURE ACQUISITION CORP LTDIndustrials$346M
0.50%
43SORN
SOREN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$345M
0.50%
44AACI
ARMADA ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$339M
0.49%
45PTOR
PRAETORIAN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$339M
0.49%
46AMACU
AMACUIndustrials$339M
0.49%
47KEYY
KEYSTONE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$329M
0.47%
48AEAQ
ACTIVATE ENERGY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$313M
0.45%
49ILLU
ILLUMINATION ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$312M
0.45%
50LEGO
LEGATO MERGER CORP IVIndustrials$312M
0.45%
51CGCFU
CARTESIAN GROWTH CORP IVIndustrials$312M
0.45%
52JONEU
JONES VENTURES INTL ACQUISITION1 CORPIndustrials$311M
0.45%
53GUAC
BERTO ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$311M
0.45%
54ITHA
ITHAX ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$307M
0.44%
55VHCP
VINE HILL CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP IIIndustrials$307M
0.44%
56MTNE
CH4 NATURAL SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$295M
0.43%
57ACGC
ACP HOLDINGS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$294M
0.43%
58NL
NL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$288M
0.42%
59ADAC
AMERICAN DRIVE ACQUISITION COIndustrials$288M
0.42%
60FGII
FG IMPERII ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$288M
0.42%
61LPCV
LAUNCHPAD CADENZA ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$287M
0.41%
62ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.41%
63IACQ
IRENIC ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$281M
0.41%
64XCBE
X3 ACQUISITION CORP LTDIndustrials$280M
0.40%
65QLEP
QUANTUM LEAP ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$278M
0.40%
66XSLL
XSOLLA SPAC 1Industrials$275M
0.40%
67MUZE
MUZERO ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$272M
0.39%
68DNMX
DYNAMIX CORP IIIIndustrials$269M
0.39%
69TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.38%
70PPHC
PUBLIC POLICY HOLDING COMPANY INCIndustrials$261M
0.38%
71TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.37%
72TRGS
TRG LATIN AMERICA ACQUISITIONS CORPIndustrials$258M
0.37%
73LTBR
LIGHTBRIDGE CORPIndustrials$256M
0.37%
74ISNRU
SNOW ROTHSCHILD ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$250M
0.36%
75CAQ
CAMBRIDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$249M
0.36%
76SAMO.U
SAMOS ENERGY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$249M
0.36%
77WLCOU
WILCO 63 CORPIndustrials$249M
0.36%
78SSAC
SPACSPHERE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$241M
0.35%
79TWLV
TWELVE SEAS INVESTMENT CO IIIIndustrials$234M
0.34%
80GSRV
GSR V ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$234M
0.34%
81SUMA
SUMA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$233M
0.34%
82UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.33%
83BIII
BLACK SPADE ACQUISITION III COIndustrials$229M
0.33%
84IRAB
IRIS ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$228M
0.33%
85IPVVU
INTERPRIVATE INVESTMENT PARTNERS V INCIndustrials$223M
0.32%
86PTAC
PATRIOT ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$219M
0.32%
87MIACU
MERIDIAN3 INDUSTRIALS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$218M
0.32%
88IDAC
IRON DOME ACQUISITION I CORPIndustrials$217M
0.31%
89SMHI
SEACOR MARINE HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$214M
0.31%
90PALO
PALOMA ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$211M
0.30%
91ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.30%
92AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.30%
93OHAC
OCEANHAWK ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$203M
0.29%
94LTGRU
LONG TABLE GROWTH CORPIndustrials$200M
0.29%
95BEBE
TGE VALUE CREATIVE SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$200M
0.29%
96KTWO
K2 CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$199M
0.29%
97TVIV
TEXAS VENTURES ACQUISITION IV CORPIndustrials$199M
0.29%
98ETSS
ENERGY TRANSITION SPECIAL OPPORTUNITIESIndustrials$198M
0.29%
99PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.29%
100BIDWU
TRIBECA STRATEGIC ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$192M
0.28%
101EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.26%
102PAAC
PROEM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$177M
0.25%
103BREZ
BREEZE ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$176M
0.25%
104APMCU
AMPERCAP ACQUISITION COIndustrials$175M
0.25%
105NUTR
NUSATRIP INCIndustrials$174M
0.25%
106PONO
PONO CAPITAL FOUR INCIndustrials$173M
0.25%
107CTAA
CLEARTHINK 1 ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$165M
0.24%
108SAGU
SHREYA ACQUISITION GROUPIndustrials$160M
0.23%
109QRED
QUASAREDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$160M
0.23%
110GLED
GALAXYEDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$160M
0.23%
111WENC
WEST ENCLAVE MERGER CORPIndustrials$159M
0.23%
112FMAC
FUTURE MONEY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$158M
0.23%
113WPAC
WHITE PEARL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$157M
0.23%
114AP
AMPCO PITTSBURGH CORPIndustrials$156M
0.22%
115APUR
APERTURE ACIndustrials$147M
0.21%
116TRAD
APEX TECH ACQUISITION INCIndustrials$146M
0.21%
117MYX
MAYWOOD ACQUISITION CORP 2Industrials$144M
0.21%
118RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.21%
119PLUN
PLUTONIAN ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$141M
0.20%
120BHAV
BHAV ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$140M
0.20%
121XFLH
XFLH CAPITAL CORPIndustrials$139M
0.20%
122RFAM
RF ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$138M
0.20%
123UAC
UNITED ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$138M
0.20%
124FTHA
FOREFRONT TECH HOLDINGS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$137M
0.20%
125OTAI
STARLINK AI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$137M
0.20%
126SCPQ
SOCIAL COMMERCE PARTNERS CORPIndustrials$137M
0.20%
127VECA
VERNAL CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$132M
0.19%
128ALPX
ALPEX ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$127M
0.18%
129VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.18%
130BRKH
BURTECH ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$119M
0.17%
131CODA
CODA OCTOPUS GROUP INCIndustrials$113M
0.16%
132FXAC
FORTUNEX ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$110M
0.16%
133ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.13%
134MCAH
MOUNTAIN CREST ACQUISITION 6 CORPIndustrials$90M
0.13%
135MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.13%
136FGMC
FG MERGER II CORPIndustrials$86M
0.12%
137AUC
ATIF HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$82M
0.12%
138DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.12%
139NBRG
NEWBRIDGE ACQUISITION LTDIndustrials$75M
0.11%
140BGSF
BGSF INCIndustrials$65M
0.09%
141PECE
PEACE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$59M
0.09%
142LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.08%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $69.24B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

2 sectors
Industrials
99.9%
Financial Services
0.1%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

142 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
27%4
·
·
12%10
4%3
7%6
3%14
1%3
4%16

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 66% toward Large, 24% toward Growth. +41% unclassified (86 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt66% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt24% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 142 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
  • No more than 15% of net assets may be held in illiquid investments.

    Required
    <= 15.0%
    Actual
    36.5%
    Margin
    -21.5%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 142 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.2 (95% CI 1.3-2.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
20.9%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.17x
over
parametric
1.82x
within
cornish fisher
1.72x
within

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.17 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.82 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1973
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1973 paper.
Sharpe 0.050.9% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
42%
11 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.66
Sharpe, January 2021 – December 2023
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.11
Dispersion
0.48
Best window
1.07

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.10.4%-3.0%
3 yearsp.a.8.2%-6.4%
5 yearsp.a.4.7%-6.2%
10 yearsp.a.6.7%-5.9%
Since inceptionp.a.7.6%-1.0%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo0.1%-9.3%
202513.9%-3.7%
202423.4%9.2%
20236.8%-10.8%
2022-13.0%-5.8%
20217.4%-13.0%
202010.6%2.9%
201938.2%10.9%
2018-41.3%-36.5%
201730.9%-0.6%
201632.2%12.4%
2015-23.0%-19.8%
20140.9%-8.4%
201353.6%8.4%
201223.4%10.3%
2011-32.3%-32.0%
201037.4%8.7%
200948.8%30.3%
2008-30.9%7.6%
2007-1.1%-17.3%
200621.0%6.4%
20055.5%-2.1%
200418.2%1.1%
200397.8%60.2%
2002-28.2%-5.0%
200136.3%54.8%
2000-23.8%-21.0%
199911.7%-9.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FPRI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-11-19 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$69.24B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Price Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Price signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.