ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Return on Assets Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FROIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−9%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
103
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.08
Ann. Return (LS)
1.6%
Ann. Volatility
19.9%
Max Drawdown
-66.0%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.01
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.0%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.11
not significant
Monthly turnover
7%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-9%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.65
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.08
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
9.8%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

103 of 103 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1CAT
CATERPILLAR INCIndustrials$405.49B
13.53%
2UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORPIndustrials$179.15B
5.98%
3BKNG
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$140.78B
4.70%
4PH
PARKER-HANNIFIN CORPIndustrials$120.19B
4.01%
5LMT
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPIndustrials$117.30B
3.92%
6VRT
VERTIV HOLDINGS COIndustrials$111.22B
3.71%
7HWM
HOWMET AEROSPACE INCIndustrials$109.00B
3.64%
8ABNB
AIRBNB INCIndustrials$87.98B
2.94%
9MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
2.78%
10CTAS
CINTAS CORPIndustrials$81.80B
2.73%
11ITW
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCIndustrials$79.42B
2.65%
12RCL
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDIndustrials$76.96B
2.57%
13NOC
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPIndustrials$74.08B
2.47%
14TDG
TRANSDIGM GROUP INCIndustrials$67.93B
2.27%
15GWW
WW GRAINGER INCIndustrials$65.86B
2.20%
16URI
UNITED RENTALS INCIndustrials$65.48B
2.19%
17FIX
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INCIndustrials$58.93B
1.97%
18AME
AMETEK INCIndustrials$54.32B
1.81%
19FAST
FASTENAL COIndustrials$52.20B
1.74%
20ROK
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INCIndustrials$51.39B
1.72%
21ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
1.62%
22HEI
HEICO CORPIndustrials$47.86B
1.60%
23PAYX
PAYCHEX INCIndustrials$40.98B
1.37%
24EME
EMCOR GROUP INCIndustrials$33.07B
1.10%
25DOV
DOVER CORPIndustrials$28.84B
0.96%
26OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
0.94%
27CRS
CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPIndustrials$27.71B
0.92%
28JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
0.92%
29VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
0.88%
30CW
CURTISS WRIGHT CORPIndustrials$26.15B
0.87%
31HUBB
HUBBELL INCIndustrials$25.82B
0.86%
32CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
0.85%
33ATI
ATI INCIndustrials$25.41B
0.85%
34CHRW
C H ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INCIndustrials$24.58B
0.82%
35EXPD
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INCIndustrials$23.91B
0.80%
36WWD
WOODWARD INCIndustrials$23.41B
0.78%
37VLTO
VERALTO CORPIndustrials$23.04B
0.77%
38SNA
SNAP-ON INCIndustrials$21.29B
0.71%
39FTAI
FTAI AVIATION LTDIndustrials$21.28B
0.71%
40STRL
STERLING INFRASTRUCTURE INCIndustrials$19.59B
0.65%
41ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
0.59%
42NDSN
NORDSON CORPIndustrials$16.10B
0.54%
43BWXT
BWX TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$15.68B
0.52%
44WSO
WATSCO INCIndustrials$15.12B
0.50%
45LECO
LINCOLN ELECTRIC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$13.85B
0.46%
46MLI
MUELLER INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$13.08B
0.44%
47CR
CRANE COIndustrials$12.56B
0.42%
48AIT
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$12.43B
0.41%
49GGG
GRACO INCIndustrials$12.38B
0.41%
50IESC
IES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.21B
0.41%
51ALLE
ALLEGION PLCIndustrials$11.79B
0.39%
52WTS
WATTS WATER TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$11.57B
0.39%
53DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
0.35%
54VMI
VALMONT INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.32B
0.34%
55PNR
PENTAIR PLCIndustrials$10.09B
0.34%
56AYI
ACUITY INC (DE)Industrials$9.99B
0.33%
57TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.30%
58POWL
POWELL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$8.48B
0.28%
59TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.27%
60AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
0.27%
61ZWS
ZURN ELKAY WATER SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$7.96B
0.27%
62BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.26%
63AGX
ARGAN INCIndustrials$7.73B
0.26%
64POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.24%
65FSS
FEDERAL SIGNAL CORPIndustrials$7.11B
0.24%
66MSM
MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO INCIndustrials$6.97B
0.23%
67MATX
MATSON INCIndustrials$6.72B
0.22%
68MSA
MSA SAFETY INCIndustrials$6.60B
0.22%
69MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.20%
70AZZ
AZZ INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.15%
71BRC
BRADY CORPIndustrials$4.41B
0.15%
72ATMU
ATMUS FILTRATION TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.14%
73MWA
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS INCIndustrials$3.98B
0.13%
74MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.10%
75EXPO
EXPONENT INCIndustrials$3.05B
0.10%
76EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.06%
77AMSC
AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPIndustrials$1.58B
0.05%
78FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.04%
79GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.04%
80NSSC
NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$1.29B
0.04%
81UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.04%
82WLDN
WILLDAN GROUP INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.04%
83KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.03%
84LMB
LIMBACH HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$867M
0.03%
85CYRX
CRYOPORT INCIndustrials$832M
0.03%
86PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.02%
87PKE
PARK AEROSPACE CORPIndustrials$677M
0.02%
88EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.02%
89SPIR
SPIRE GLOBAL INCIndustrials$488M
0.02%
90SRTA
STRATA CRITICAL MEDICAL INCIndustrials$446M
0.01%
91ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.01%
92ISSC
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INCIndustrials$330M
0.01%
93CIX
COMPX INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$309M
0.01%
94OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.01%
95RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.01%
96TAYD
TAYLOR DEVICES INCIndustrials$176M
0.01%
97ESP
ESPEY MFG & ELECTRONICS CORPIndustrials$172M
0.01%
98RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.00%
99SIF
SIFCO INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$141M
0.00%
100OPXS
OPTEX SYSTEMS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$89M
0.00%
101AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.00%
102KVAC
KEEN VISION ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$68M
0.00%
103IBAC
IB ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $3.00T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

103 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
29%25
37%34
34%16
<1%9
<1%7
<1%1
<1%9
·
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 100% toward Large, 52% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt100% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt52% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 103 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 103 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.3 (95% CI 1.0-1.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
12.2%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.27x
within
parametric
1.09x
within
cornish fisher
1.09x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 16%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

Publication date unknown. We don’t have a source year for this signal, so we can’t split its record into before and since publication. That’s a gap in our reference data — not a statement about how the factor performed.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
50%
13 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.89
Sharpe, January 2015 – December 2017
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.04
Dispersion
0.45
Best window
0.85

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.20.8%3.6%
3 yearsp.a.14.6%-4.6%
5 yearsp.a.11.5%-3.2%
10 yearsp.a.13.6%-1.3%
Since inceptionp.a.10.3%-0.3%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo18.3%10.0%
202510.5%-24.5%
202411.3%5.4%
202320.5%-25.6%
2022-8.9%10.6%
202121.8%24.1%
202014.5%-9.4%
201928.8%-6.8%
2018-8.6%35.9%
201724.8%-15.7%
201621.2%4.2%
2015-6.3%-13.4%
201412.5%-2.1%
201342.5%-3.9%
201215.5%-1.5%
2011-0.7%12.6%
201020.7%-12.0%
200930.1%-10.1%
2008-37.0%0.9%
200712.8%19.7%
200611.5%-13.6%
20054.6%-8.2%
200416.0%4.0%
200332.9%-13.9%
20021.0%-0.8%
2001-1.0%-6.4%
20005.9%69.9%
19993.6%4.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FROI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-10-16 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$3.00T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Return on Assets Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Return on Assets signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.