ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Return on Equity Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FROFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+209%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
109
cap-weighted
Inception
Apr 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.35
Ann. Return (LS)
5.1%
Ann. Volatility
14.6%
Max Drawdown
-48.1%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.26
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-2.2%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.48
not significant
Monthly turnover
6%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
209%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.58
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.9%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.35
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
5.8%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

109 of 109 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1V
VISA INCFinancial Services$652.82B
21.51%
2MA
MASTERCARD INCFinancial Services$480.32B
15.83%
3AXP
AMERICAN EXPRESS COFinancial Services$242.46B
7.99%
4SCHW
SCHWAB CHARLES CORPFinancial Services$176.63B
5.82%
5PGR
PROGRESSIVE CORPFinancial Services$121.51B
4.00%
6BX
BLACKSTONE INCFinancial Services$94.28B
3.11%
7HOOD
ROBINHOOD MARKETS INCFinancial Services$90.01B
2.97%
8MCO
MOODYS CORPFinancial Services$89.25B
2.94%
9MRSH
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$87.77B
2.89%
10AON
AON PLCFinancial Services$78.43B
2.58%
11TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
2.54%
12ALL
ALLSTATE CORPFinancial Services$64.33B
2.12%
13PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
1.64%
14AMP
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$47.45B
1.56%
15IBKR
INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$40.33B
1.33%
16HIG
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$38.45B
1.27%
17ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
1.17%
18RJF
RAYMOND JAMES FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$32.81B
1.08%
19CINF
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$27.97B
0.92%
20WTW
WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLCFinancial Services$27.71B
0.91%
21WRB
BERKLEY W R CORPFinancial Services$26.66B
0.88%
22LPLA
LPL FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$25.99B
0.86%
23TROW
PRICE T ROWE GROUP INCFinancial Services$25.14B
0.83%
24SYF
SYNCHRONY FINANCIALFinancial Services$24.81B
0.82%
25GL
GLOBE LIFE INCFinancial Services$14.35B
0.47%
26RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
0.45%
27AIZ
ASSURANT INCFinancial Services$13.72B
0.45%
28EVR
EVERCORE INCFinancial Services$13.21B
0.44%
29SEIC
SEI INVESTMENTS COFinancial Services$11.94B
0.39%
30AFG
AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$11.79B
0.39%
31RYAN
RYAN SPECIALTY HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$11.07B
0.36%
32ERIE
ERIE INDEMNITY COFinancial Services$10.50B
0.35%
33ORI
OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$10.26B
0.34%
34AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$9.77B
0.32%
35PRI
PRIMERICA INCFinancial Services$9.68B
0.32%
36HLI
HOULIHAN LOKEY INCFinancial Services$9.67B
0.32%
37FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.30%
38VIRT
VIRTU FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$8.64B
0.28%
39AXS
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$8.46B
0.28%
40SNEX
STONEX GROUP INCFinancial Services$8.16B
0.27%
41KNSL
KINSALE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$7.93B
0.26%
42THG
HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$7.46B
0.25%
43OMF
ONEMAIN HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.97B
0.23%
44CACC
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$6.69B
0.22%
45MORN
MORNINGSTAR INCFinancial Services$6.56B
0.22%
46FIGR
FIGURE TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS INCFinancial Services$6.39B
0.21%
47MCY
MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial Services$5.88B
0.19%
48SEZL
SEZZLE INCFinancial Services$5.87B
0.19%
49ENVA
ENOVA INTERNATIONAL INCFinancial Services$5.79B
0.19%
50AX
AXOS FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$5.66B
0.19%
51RLI
RLI CORPFinancial Services$5.66B
0.19%
52WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.18%
53PIPR
PIPER SANDLER COMPANIESFinancial Services$5.42B
0.18%
54BGC
BGC GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.41B
0.18%
55MC
MOELIS & COFinancial Services$5.30B
0.17%
56STEP
STEPSTONE GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.20B
0.17%
57LAZ
LAZARD INCFinancial Services$4.82B
0.16%
58SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.16%
59HLNE
HAMILTON LANE INCFinancial Services$4.77B
0.16%
60SFBS
SERVISFIRST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$4.75B
0.16%
61FHI
FEDERATED HERMES INCFinancial Services$4.46B
0.15%
62CNS
COHEN & STEERS INCFinancial Services$4.35B
0.14%
63PJT
PJT PARTNERS INCFinancial Services$4.30B
0.14%
64FBP
FIRST BANCORPFinancial Services$4.24B
0.14%
65MKTX
MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.04B
0.13%
66BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
0.13%
67PLMR
PALOMAR HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$3.59B
0.12%
68AB
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LPFinancial Services$3.54B
0.12%
69HG
HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$3.47B
0.11%
70CRVL
CORVEL CORPFinancial Services$3.13B
0.10%
71AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.95B
0.10%
72SPNT
SIRIUSPOINT LTDFinancial Services$2.93B
0.10%
73TBBK
BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.85B
0.09%
74WU
WESTERN UNION COFinancial Services$2.77B
0.09%
75APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.09%
76GCMG
GCM GROSVENOR INCFinancial Services$2.61B
0.09%
77SKWD
SKYWARD SPECIALTY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.40B
0.08%
78SLDE
SLIDE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.35B
0.08%
79HCI
HCI GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.07%
80ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.06%
81CHCO
CITY HOLDING COFinancial Services$1.92B
0.06%
82CASH
PATHWARD FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.89B
0.06%
83ATLC
ATLANTICUS HOLDINGS CORPFinancial Services$1.52B
0.05%
84TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.04%
85UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.04%
86JCAP
JEFFERSON CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.08B
0.04%
87ESQ
ESQUIRE FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.06B
0.04%
88ROOT
ROOT INCFinancial Services$944M
0.03%
89HRTG
HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$821M
0.03%
90OPFI
OPPFI INCFinancial Services$801M
0.03%
91HIPO
HIPPO HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$764M
0.03%
92CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.02%
93VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
0.02%
94GAIN
GLADSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATIONFinancial Services$659M
0.02%
95TREE
LENDINGTREE INCFinancial Services$645M
0.02%
96AMSF
AMERISAFE INCFinancial Services$634M
0.02%
97NRIM
NORTHRIM BANCORP INCFinancial Services$619M
0.02%
98UNTY
UNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$575M
0.02%
99OBT
ORANGE COUNTY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$504M
0.02%
100ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.02%
101BSVN
BANK7 CORPFinancial Services$485M
0.02%
102NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.01%
103VALU
VALUE LINE INCFinancial Services$385M
0.01%
104AII
AMERICAN INTEGRITY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$366M
0.01%
105ONIT
ONITY GROUP INCFinancial Services$344M
0.01%
106SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.01%
107KINS
KINGSTONE COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$291M
0.01%
108NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.01%
109KG
KESTREL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$72M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $3.04T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

109 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
3%6
15%14
79%41
1%9
1%8
1%12
<1%11
<1%5
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 88% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt88% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 109 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    68.9%
    Margin
    -6.1%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 109 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.4 (95% CI 1.0-1.7)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
13.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.43x
within
parametric
1.19x
within
cornish fisher
1.27x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 19%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1996
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1996 paper.
Sharpe 0.355.1% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
58%
15 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.01
Sharpe, January 2021 – December 2023
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.25
Dispersion
0.73
Best window
1.84

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.4.0%-1.2%
3 yearsp.a.17.2%-0.2%
5 yearsp.a.7.6%-3.9%
10 yearsp.a.14.2%-0.2%
Since inceptionp.a.9.5%4.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo1.6%7.3%
202513.9%-3.7%
202429.6%4.4%
202320.9%-9.4%
2022-17.9%-6.7%
202115.4%-17.5%
202013.7%-6.6%
201934.3%2.2%
2018-1.7%20.6%
201732.9%19.5%
201612.2%1.4%
2015-0.1%3.1%
20148.9%1.8%
201350.8%0.8%
201225.3%-18.7%
20116.3%63.2%
201012.5%-1.4%
200915.8%-2.5%
2008-32.9%111.2%
2007-10.1%-8.5%
200619.8%2.8%
20057.7%-1.7%
200413.1%-8.2%
200331.3%1.0%
2002-19.7%-4.3%
2001-9.7%-5.1%
200021.5%18.8%
199910.0%11.6%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FROF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-04-11 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$3.04T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Return on Equity Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Return on Equity signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.