ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
profitability factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials Return on Equity Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FROIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−13%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
102
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.05
Ann. Return (LS)
0.8%
Ann. Volatility
16.5%
Max Drawdown
-73.9%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.35
Test FF5 α (ann.)
6.2%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.86
not significant
Monthly turnover
7%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-13%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.64
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
11.8%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.05
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
11.0%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

102 of 102 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1CAT
CATERPILLAR INCIndustrials$405.49B
12.28%
2GE
GE AEROSPACEIndustrials$361.93B
10.96%
3UNP
UNION PACIFIC CORPIndustrials$179.15B
5.42%
4PH
PARKER-HANNIFIN CORPIndustrials$120.19B
3.64%
5LMT
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPIndustrials$117.30B
3.55%
6VRT
VERTIV HOLDINGS COIndustrials$111.22B
3.37%
7HWM
HOWMET AEROSPACE INCIndustrials$109.00B
3.30%
8ADP
AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INCIndustrials$102.04B
3.09%
9UPS
UNITED PARCEL SERVICE INCIndustrials$100.06B
3.03%
10WM
WASTE MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$96.10B
2.91%
11CSX
CSX CORPIndustrials$94.30B
2.85%
12ABNB
AIRBNB INCIndustrials$87.98B
2.66%
13MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
2.52%
14CTAS
CINTAS CORPIndustrials$81.80B
2.48%
15ITW
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INCIndustrials$79.42B
2.40%
16RCL
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTDIndustrials$76.96B
2.33%
17NOC
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORPIndustrials$74.08B
2.24%
18HON
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$71.29B
2.16%
19GWW
WW GRAINGER INCIndustrials$65.86B
1.99%
20URI
UNITED RENTALS INCIndustrials$65.48B
1.98%
21FIX
COMFORT SYSTEMS USA INCIndustrials$58.93B
1.78%
22FAST
FASTENAL COIndustrials$52.20B
1.58%
23ROK
ROCKWELL AUTOMATION INCIndustrials$51.39B
1.56%
24ODFL
OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INCIndustrials$48.63B
1.47%
25PAYX
PAYCHEX INCIndustrials$40.98B
1.24%
26UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
1.13%
27CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
1.10%
28EME
EMCOR GROUP INCIndustrials$33.07B
1.00%
29EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
0.98%
30CRS
CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORPIndustrials$27.71B
0.84%
31HUBB
HUBBELL INCIndustrials$25.82B
0.78%
32ATI
ATI INCIndustrials$25.41B
0.77%
33CHRW
C H ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INCIndustrials$24.58B
0.74%
34EXPD
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INCIndustrials$23.91B
0.72%
35VLTO
VERALTO CORPIndustrials$23.04B
0.70%
36FTAI
FTAI AVIATION LTDIndustrials$21.28B
0.64%
37STRL
STERLING INFRASTRUCTURE INCIndustrials$19.59B
0.59%
38ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
0.54%
39BWXT
BWX TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$15.68B
0.47%
40LECO
LINCOLN ELECTRIC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$13.85B
0.42%
41MLI
MUELLER INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$13.08B
0.40%
42IESC
IES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$12.21B
0.37%
43ALLE
ALLEGION PLCIndustrials$11.79B
0.36%
44DCI
DONALDSON CO INCIndustrials$10.48B
0.32%
45VMI
VALMONT INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.32B
0.31%
46TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.27%
47NCLH
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTDIndustrials$8.93B
0.27%
48CNM
CORE & MAIN INCIndustrials$8.75B
0.27%
49POWL
POWELL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$8.48B
0.26%
50TTEK
TETRA TECH INCIndustrials$8.20B
0.25%
51AOS
SMITH A O CORPIndustrials$8.11B
0.25%
52BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.24%
53AGX
ARGAN INCIndustrials$7.73B
0.23%
54POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.22%
55MYRG
MYR GROUP INCIndustrials$6.10B
0.18%
56CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.17%
57BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.15%
58KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.13%
59ATMU
ATMUS FILTRATION TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.13%
60EXPO
EXPONENT INCIndustrials$3.05B
0.09%
61LUNR
INTUITIVE MACHINES INCIndustrials$2.93B
0.09%
62TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.90B
0.09%
63TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.08%
64ATRO
ASTRONICS CORPIndustrials$2.41B
0.07%
65AMSC
AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPIndustrials$1.58B
0.05%
66ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.04%
67BW
BABCOCK & WILCOX ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.04%
68FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.04%
69GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.04%
70CRAI
CRA INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.11B
0.03%
71RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.03%
72KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.03%
73RJET
REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$806M
0.02%
74PSIX
POWER SOLUTIONS INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$697M
0.02%
75FAC
FACTORIAL ENERGY INCIndustrials$610M
0.02%
76CEPF
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS IV INCIndustrials$596M
0.02%
77AEXA
AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM ACQUISITION CORP AIndustrials$575M
0.02%
78SPIR
SPIRE GLOBAL INCIndustrials$488M
0.01%
79QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.01%
80BCAR
D BORAL ARC ACQUISITION I CORPIndustrials$420M
0.01%
81CEPT
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS II INCIndustrials$376M
0.01%
82CEPV
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS V INCIndustrials$332M
0.01%
83ISSC
INNOVATIVE SOLUTIONS & SUPPORT INCIndustrials$330M
0.01%
84ALDF
ALDEL FINANCIAL II INCIndustrials$320M
0.01%
85JACS
JACKSON ACQUISITION CO IIIndustrials$317M
0.01%
86CEPO
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS I INCIndustrials$271M
0.01%
87VNME
VENDOME ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$254M
0.01%
88UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.01%
89RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.01%
90EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.01%
91RANG
RANGE CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$171M
0.01%
92NMP
NMP ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$164M
0.00%
93VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.00%
94ORIQ
ORIGIN INVESTMENT CORP IIndustrials$89M
0.00%
95BSAA
BEST SPAC I ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$89M
0.00%
96FGMC
FG MERGER II CORPIndustrials$86M
0.00%
97FVN
FUTURE VISION II ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$83M
0.00%
98WTG
WINTERGREEN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$76M
0.00%
99TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.00%
100AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.00%
101UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.00%
102RIBB
RIBBON ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $3.30T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

102 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
23%22
37%24
39%14
<1%8
<1%4
<1%7
<1%2
<1%1
<1%9

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 100% toward Large, 58% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt100% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt58% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 102 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 102 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.5 (95% CI 1.1-1.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
14.3%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.49x
within
parametric
1.16x
within
cornish fisher
1.20x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 28%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1996
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1996 paper.
Sharpe 0.050.8% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
50%
13 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.94
Sharpe, January 2001 – December 2003
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.08
Dispersion
0.49
Best window
0.83

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.26.2%47.4%
3 yearsp.a.20.4%14.9%
5 yearsp.a.14.2%8.8%
10 yearsp.a.16.1%4.1%
Since inceptionp.a.10.6%-0.5%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo19.0%34.7%
202521.7%8.8%
202416.4%-10.2%
202318.2%-19.5%
2022-6.3%31.5%
202121.2%14.1%
202013.2%-11.6%
201931.2%4.6%
2018-6.7%8.3%
201728.2%-9.0%
201619.5%2.6%
2015-3.5%-13.2%
201411.9%-4.6%
201344.4%-7.9%
201212.5%-6.2%
20110.4%21.9%
201025.6%-3.4%
200926.7%-13.8%
2008-42.9%-13.4%
200713.2%9.0%
200617.9%-3.9%
20058.3%-4.2%
200419.9%-0.1%
200331.1%-13.2%
2002-20.3%-21.8%
2001-9.1%-21.0%
2000-1.9%34.3%
199929.6%28.9%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FROI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-10-02 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$3.30T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials Return on Equity Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a Return on Equity signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.