Foundry Consumer Cyclical ShareIss1Y Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1GM | GENERAL MOTORS CO | Consumer Cyclical | $68.59B | 14.19% |
2CMG | CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $44.18B | 9.14% |
3DHI | HORTON D R INC | Consumer Cyclical | $42.36B | 8.76% |
4ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $20.62B | 4.26% |
5LEN | LENNAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $20.21B | 4.18% |
6NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $17.52B | 3.62% |
7YUMC | YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.32B | 3.17% |
8DECK | DECKERS OUTDOOR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $14.79B | 3.06% |
9TOL | TOLL BROTHERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $14.09B | 2.91% |
10BWA | BORGWARNER INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.81B | 2.65% |
11LULU | LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.61B | 2.61% |
12MGM | MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $11.80B | 2.44% |
13CART | INSTACART (MAPLEBEAR INC) | Consumer Cyclical | $10.77B | 2.23% |
14ALV | AUTOLIV INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.81B | 1.82% |
15KMX | CARMAX INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.14B | 1.68% |
16LAD | LITHIA MOTORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.65B | 1.58% |
17LEA | LEAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $7.10B | 1.47% |
18AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.88B | 1.42% |
19CROX | CROCS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.81B | 1.41% |
20TMHC | TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $6.74B | 1.39% |
21BYD | BOYD GAMING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $6.52B | 1.35% |
22URBN | URBAN OUTFITTERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.25B | 1.29% |
23GTX | GARRETT MOTION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.95B | 1.23% |
24HRB | H&R BLOCK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.33B | 1.10% |
25FTDR | FRONTDOOR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.32B | 1.10% |
26GNTX | GENTEX CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $5.19B | 1.07% |
27MTH | MERITAGE HOMES CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $4.95B | 1.02% |
28ANF | ABERCROMBIE & FITCH CO | Consumer Cyclical | $4.23B | 0.88% |
29BBWI | BATH & BODY WORKS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.21B | 0.87% |
30PLNT | PLANET FITNESS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.16B | 0.86% |
31MAT | MATTEL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.15B | 0.86% |
32ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.10B | 0.85% |
33BFAM | BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.03B | 0.83% |
34HGV | HILTON GRAND VACATIONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.98B | 0.82% |
35GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.88B | 0.80% |
36YETI | YETI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.87B | 0.80% |
37SIG | SIGNET JEWELERS LTD | Consumer Cyclical | $3.60B | 0.75% |
38KBH | KB HOME | Consumer Cyclical | $3.44B | 0.71% |
39PPLI | PEOPLE INC | Communication Services | $3.31B | 0.69% |
40COLM | COLUMBIA SPORTSWEAR CO | Consumer Cyclical | $3.25B | 0.67% |
41SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 0.66% |
42CARG | CARGURUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.16B | 0.65% |
43ASO | ACADEMY SPORTS & OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.00B | 0.62% |
44PHIN | PHINIA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.97B | 0.61% |
45DAN | DANA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.87B | 0.59% |
46HOG | HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.80B | 0.58% |
47PENN | PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.75B | 0.57% |
48WLY | JOHN WILEY & SONS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.59B | 0.54% |
49PRKS | UNITED PARKS & RESORTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $2.13B | 0.44% |
50ADNT | ADIENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.55B | 0.32% |
51TRS | TRIMAS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.46B | 0.30% |
52SBH | SALLY BEAUTY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.42B | 0.29% |
53BJRI | BJS RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.42B | 0.29% |
54SCHL | SCHOLASTIC CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.02B | 0.21% |
55BZH | BEAZER HOMES USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $900M | 0.19% |
56CARS | CARSCOM INC | Consumer Cyclical | $670M | 0.14% |
57CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $657M | 0.14% |
58DIN | DINE BRANDS GLOBAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $456M | 0.09% |
59BBW | BUILD-A-BEAR WORKSHOP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $428M | 0.09% |
60ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $315M | 0.07% |
61RICK | RCI HOSPITALITY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $200M | 0.04% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $483.43B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 88% toward Large, 40% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (2 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 61 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 61 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 11.0% | -7.0% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 8.8% | -12.5% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 14.8% | -14.8% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 12.0% | -3.2% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| 2025 | 12.8% | 9.2% |
| 2024 | 12.6% | -31.8% |
| 2023 | 20.7% | -48.5% |
| 2022 | -18.2% | 64.2% |
| 2021 | 45.5% | 7.1% |
| 2020 | 15.1% | -63.3% |
| 2019 | 35.2% | 7.2% |
| 2018 | 0.3% | -17.8% |
| 2017 | 29.1% | -14.3% |
| 2016 | 7.5% | -1.9% |
| 2015 | 7.4% | 0.5% |
| 2014 | 19.0% | 9.0% |
| 2013 | 41.5% | 5.1% |
| 2012 | 22.8% | -5.6% |
| 2011 | 13.9% | 37.4% |
| 2010 | 25.9% | -16.4% |
| 2009 | 43.7% | -16.0% |
| 2008 | -38.9% | 38.2% |
| 2007 | -15.4% | -13.7% |
| 2006 | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| 2005 | -0.1% | 6.6% |
| 2004 | 18.4% | -9.8% |
| 2003 | 36.6% | -17.5% |
| 2002 | -16.8% | -7.7% |
| 2001 | 32.4% | 16.8% |
| 2000 | -2.2% | 47.8% |
| 1999 | 13.3% | 20.7% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical ShareIss1Y Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a ShareIss1Y signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.