ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services ShareIss1Y Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FSHFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+350%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
108
cap-weighted
Inception
Mar 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.54
Ann. Return (LS)
6.1%
Ann. Volatility
11.2%
Max Drawdown
-24.2%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.25
Test FF5 α (ann.)
1.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.35
not significant
Monthly turnover
8%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
350%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.65
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
13.0%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.54
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
6.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

108 of 108 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BAC
BANK OF AMERICA CORPFinancial Services$434.81B
17.71%
2GS
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCFinancial Services$314.25B
12.80%
3WFC
WELLS FARGO & COMPANYFinancial Services$267.80B
10.91%
4C
CITIGROUP INCFinancial Services$220.63B
8.99%
5SCHW
SCHWAB CHARLES CORPFinancial Services$176.63B
7.20%
6BNY
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPFinancial Services$107.85B
4.39%
7TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
3.14%
8AFL
AFLAC INCFinancial Services$63.48B
2.59%
9MET
METLIFE INCFinancial Services$60.48B
2.46%
10PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
2.03%
11AMP
AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$47.45B
1.93%
12MSCI
MSCI INCFinancial Services$45.77B
1.86%
13AIG
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$42.68B
1.74%
14MTB
M&T BANK CORPFinancial Services$36.50B
1.49%
15ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
1.44%
16ARES
ARES MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$27.90B
1.14%
17WTW
WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLCFinancial Services$27.71B
1.13%
18RF
REGIONS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$27.01B
1.10%
19SYF
SYNCHRONY FINANCIALFinancial Services$24.81B
1.01%
20FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$24.59B
1.00%
21EG
EVEREST GROUP LTDFinancial Services$15.14B
0.62%
22CRBG
COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$14.56B
0.59%
23GL
GLOBE LIFE INCFinancial Services$14.35B
0.58%
24UNM
UNUM GROUPFinancial Services$14.23B
0.58%
25EQH
EQUITABLE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$13.79B
0.56%
26RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
0.56%
27WBS
WEBSTER FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$12.32B
0.50%
28FHN
FIRST HORIZON CORPFinancial Services$12.25B
0.50%
29BPOP
POPULAR INCFinancial Services$11.08B
0.45%
30SSB
SOUTHSTATE BANK CORPFinancial Services$10.08B
0.41%
31AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$9.77B
0.40%
32PRI
PRIMERICA INCFinancial Services$9.68B
0.39%
33FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.37%
34VOYA
VOYA FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$9.04B
0.37%
35BOKF
BOK FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$8.58B
0.35%
36AXS
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$8.46B
0.34%
37CACC
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$6.69B
0.27%
38MORN
MORNINGSTAR INCFinancial Services$6.56B
0.27%
39ACT
ENACT HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.49B
0.26%
40HWC
HANCOCK WHITNEY CORPFinancial Services$6.37B
0.26%
41MTG
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$6.23B
0.25%
42VCTR
VICTORY CAPITAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.16B
0.25%
43ESNT
ESSENT GROUP LTDFinancial Services$6.15B
0.25%
44WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.22%
45CNO
CNO FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.00B
0.20%
46SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.19%
47TCBI
TEXAS CAPITAL BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$4.59B
0.19%
48FHI
FEDERATED HERMES INCFinancial Services$4.46B
0.18%
49FBP
FIRST BANCORPFinancial Services$4.24B
0.17%
50CATY
CATHAY GENERAL BANCORPFinancial Services$4.20B
0.17%
51WSFS
WSFS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$4.16B
0.17%
52MKTX
MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.04B
0.16%
53BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
0.16%
54GNW
GENWORTH FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$3.86B
0.16%
55FIBK
FIRST INTERSTATE BANCSYSTEM INCFinancial Services$3.81B
0.16%
56AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTDFinancial Services$3.76B
0.15%
57AB
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LPFinancial Services$3.54B
0.14%
58CLSK
CLEANSPARK INCFinancial Services$3.34B
0.14%
59TBBK
BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.85B
0.12%
60WAFD
WAFD INCFinancial Services$2.82B
0.11%
61APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.11%
62BUSE
FIRST BUSEY CORPFinancial Services$2.54B
0.10%
63SLDE
SLIDE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.35B
0.10%
64HTH
HILLTOP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.26B
0.09%
65OFG
OFG BANCORPFinancial Services$2.12B
0.09%
66ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.08%
67GSHD
GOOSEHEAD INSURANCE INCFinancial Services$1.93B
0.08%
68CASH
PATHWARD FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.89B
0.08%
69STBA
S&T BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.80B
0.07%
70KMPR
KEMPER CORPFinancial Services$1.65B
0.07%
71WABC
WESTAMERICA BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$1.44B
0.06%
72DFIN
DONNELLEY FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INCFinancial Services$1.25B
0.05%
73CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.04%
74JCAP
JEFFERSON CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.08B
0.04%
75AMTB
AMERANT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.03B
0.04%
76GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.04%
77TRST
TRUSTCO BANK CORP N YFinancial Services$960M
0.04%
78EIG
EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$918M
0.04%
79WRLD
WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$891M
0.04%
80GSBC
GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$852M
0.03%
81HTB
HOMETRUST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$824M
0.03%
82NAVI
NAVIENT CORPFinancial Services$813M
0.03%
83MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.03%
84CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.03%
85CGBD
CARLYLE SECURED LENDING INCFinancial Services$726M
0.03%
86PRAA
PRA GROUP INCFinancial Services$691M
0.03%
87NMFC
NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$672M
0.03%
88GLRE
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL RE LTDFinancial Services$566M
0.02%
89BSRR
SIERRA BANCORPFinancial Services$551M
0.02%
90RBB
RBB BANCORPFinancial Services$458M
0.02%
91RM
REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$384M
0.02%
92USCB
USCB FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$374M
0.02%
93WSBF
WATERSTONE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$356M
0.01%
94PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.01%
95CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.01%
96FBLA
FB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$247M
0.01%
97FSBW
FS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$238M
0.01%
98FOA
FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$216M
0.01%
99BVFL
BV FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$186M
0.01%
100MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.01%
101SBFG
SB FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$170M
0.01%
102SRBK
SR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$159M
0.01%
103WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.01%
104SAMG
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP INCFinancial Services$118M
0.00%
105PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.00%
106FDSB
FIFTH DISTRICT BANCORP INCFinancial Services$94M
0.00%
107PFX
PHENIXFIN CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.00%
108TCBS
TEXAS COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$50M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $2.45T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

108 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
6%12
51%16
39%19
1%10
1%17
1%8
<1%16
<1%8
·

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 66% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (1 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt98% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt66% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 108 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    67.4%
    Margin
    -7.6%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 108 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.4 (95% CI 1.1-2.1)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
13.2%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.37x
within
parametric
1.25x
within
cornish fisher
1.56x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2008
Before publication (pre-2008)
1.00
Sharpe · 12.4% p.a.
January 1999December 2008 · 120 mo
Since publication
0.24
Sharpe · 2.5% p.a.
January 2009July 2026 · 211 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.75Sharpe weakened since publication80% of the prior annual return given up

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
81%
21 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.42
Sharpe, January 2019 – December 2021
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.40
Dispersion
0.57
Best window
1.87

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.25.8%32.0%
3 yearsp.a.25.9%7.4%
5 yearsp.a.15.8%6.5%
10 yearsp.a.16.9%3.6%
Since inceptionp.a.11.5%5.6%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo11.7%15.8%
202526.1%9.2%
202433.0%-2.3%
202312.6%-11.2%
2022-7.4%27.3%
202139.0%-2.7%
2020-7.4%-18.1%
201941.2%7.0%
2018-10.2%4.0%
201724.3%12.5%
201620.6%5.3%
20152.6%1.3%
20149.1%-6.7%
201348.7%11.0%
201224.2%-6.5%
20110.6%17.7%
20104.3%-10.0%
200913.2%-7.1%
2008-42.0%48.7%
2007-14.8%-13.7%
200622.1%4.7%
20059.8%6.5%
200417.3%6.1%
200324.6%-5.9%
2002-1.3%10.6%
200118.8%36.3%
200037.8%42.4%
199910.3%3.8%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FSHF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-03-12 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$2.45T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services ShareIss1Y Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a ShareIss1Y signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.