ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials ShareIss1Y Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FSHIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+17%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
99
cap-weighted
Inception
Nov 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.11
Ann. Return (LS)
1.7%
Ann. Volatility
15.4%
Max Drawdown
-46.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.02
Test FF5 α (ann.)
0.2%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.03
not significant
Monthly turnover
10%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
17%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.59
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.7%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.11
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
8.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

99 of 99 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1CAT
CATERPILLAR INCIndustrials$405.49B
24.18%
2GE
GE AEROSPACEIndustrials$361.93B
21.58%
3BKNG
BOOKING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$140.78B
8.39%
4ABNB
AIRBNB INCIndustrials$87.98B
5.25%
5MMM
3M COIndustrials$83.37B
4.97%
6URI
UNITED RENTALS INCIndustrials$65.48B
3.90%
7EXPE
EXPEDIA GROUP INCIndustrials$32.26B
1.92%
8XYL
XYLEM INCIndustrials$29.18B
1.74%
9OTIS
OTIS WORLDWIDE CORPIndustrials$28.18B
1.68%
10JBHT
HUNT J B TRANSPORT SERVICES INCIndustrials$27.48B
1.64%
11VRSK
VERISK ANALYTICS INCIndustrials$26.29B
1.57%
12CW
CURTISS WRIGHT CORPIndustrials$26.15B
1.56%
13CPRT
COPART INCIndustrials$25.56B
1.52%
14EXPD
EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INCIndustrials$23.91B
1.43%
15LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
1.40%
16EFX
EQUIFAX INCIndustrials$21.09B
1.26%
17TXT
TEXTRON INCIndustrials$15.91B
0.95%
18CNH
CNH INDUSTRIAL NVIndustrials$13.19B
0.79%
19AIT
APPLIED INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$12.43B
0.74%
20R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
0.63%
21AYI
ACUITY INC (DE)Industrials$9.99B
0.60%
22TTC
TORO COIndustrials$8.99B
0.54%
23OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
0.53%
24ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
0.52%
25FLS
FLOWSERVE CORPIndustrials$8.75B
0.52%
26AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
0.50%
27HXL
HEXCEL CORPIndustrials$7.83B
0.47%
28BAH
BOOZ ALLEN HAMILTON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$7.81B
0.47%
29KEX
KIRBY CORPIndustrials$7.71B
0.46%
30POOL
POOL CORPIndustrials$7.33B
0.44%
31LSTR
LANDSTAR SYSTEM INCIndustrials$7.18B
0.43%
32ENS
ENERSYSIndustrials$7.18B
0.43%
33FLR
FLUOR CORPIndustrials$6.86B
0.41%
34MATX
MATSON INCIndustrials$6.72B
0.40%
35MIDD
MIDDLEBY CORPIndustrials$6.02B
0.36%
36ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.33%
37UNF
UNIFIRST CORPIndustrials$5.27B
0.31%
38ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.30%
39BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.29%
40FCN
FTI CONSULTING INCIndustrials$4.90B
0.29%
41TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.27%
42CSW
CSW INDUSTRIALS INCIndustrials$4.56B
0.27%
43GFF
GRIFFON CORPIndustrials$4.20B
0.25%
44KFY
KORN FERRYIndustrials$4.00B
0.24%
45GEO
GEO GROUP INCIndustrials$3.94B
0.23%
46ARCB
ARCBEST CORPIndustrials$3.56B
0.21%
47MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.18%
48EXPO
EXPONENT INCIndustrials$3.05B
0.18%
49CXW
CORECIVIC INCIndustrials$3.03B
0.18%
50ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.17%
51WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.16%
52TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.16%
53PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.15%
54HURN
HURON CONSULTING GROUP INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.11%
55EPAC
ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials$1.77B
0.11%
56TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.10%
57TNC
TENNANT COIndustrials$1.47B
0.09%
58PRSU
PURSUIT ATTRACTIONS & HOSPITALITY INCIndustrials$1.45B
0.09%
59ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.08%
60BV
BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.08%
61NWPX
NWPX INFRASTRUCTURE INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.08%
62LZ
LEGALZOOMCOM INCIndustrials$1.33B
0.08%
63CVLG
COVENANT LOGISTICS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.19B
0.07%
64LNN
LINDSAY CORPIndustrials$1.17B
0.07%
65UPWK
UPWORK INCIndustrials$1.12B
0.07%
66RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.07%
67KFRC
KFORCE INCIndustrials$1.04B
0.06%
68BBSI
BARRETT BUSINESS SERVICES INCIndustrials$984M
0.06%
69CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.04%
70NVRI
ENVIRI CORPIndustrials$643M
0.04%
71EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.03%
72BBCP
CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$531M
0.03%
73ANSC
AGRICULTURE & NATURAL SOLUTIONS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$475M
0.03%
74ERII
ENERGY RECOVERY INCIndustrials$444M
0.03%
75CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.02%
76FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION COIndustrials$357M
0.02%
77PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.02%
78AACB
ARTIUS II ACQUISITION INCIndustrials$292M
0.02%
79DMAA
DRUGS MADE IN AMERICA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$259M
0.02%
80FC
FRANKLIN COVEY COIndustrials$229M
0.01%
81EGHA
EGH ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$213M
0.01%
82ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.01%
83RCMT
RCM TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$196M
0.01%
84AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.01%
85EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.01%
86IPEX
INFLECTION POINT ACQUISITION CORP VIndustrials$126M
0.01%
87PCSC
PERCEPTIVE CAPITAL SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$123M
0.01%
88CHAR
CHARLTON ARIA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$116M
0.01%
89QSEA
QUARTZSEA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$107M
0.01%
90SPKL
SPARK I ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$105M
0.01%
91SIMA
SIM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$90M
0.01%
92KVAC
KEEN VISION ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$68M
0.00%
93EURK
EUREKA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$60M
0.00%
94CAPN
CAYSON ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$59M
0.00%
95UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.00%
96FSHP
FLAG SHIP ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.00%
97IBAC
IB ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.00%
98RIBB
RIBBON ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.00%
99BKHA
BLACK HAWK ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$50M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.68T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

99 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
29%25
20%19
48%5
1%16
<1%5
<1%4
<1%5
<1%5
<1%10

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 59% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt59% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 99 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    60.6%
    Margin
    -14.4%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    24.2%
    Margin
    0.8%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 99 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.5 (95% CI 1.0-1.6)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
14.5%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.50x
within
parametric
1.13x
within
cornish fisher
1.32x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 33%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2008
Before publication (pre-2008)
0.29
Sharpe · 5.2% p.a.
January 1999December 2008 · 120 mo
Since publication
-0.02
Sharpe · -0.2% p.a.
January 2009July 2026 · 211 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.31the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
42%
11 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.69
Sharpe, January 2023 – December 2025
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.02
Dispersion
0.42
Best window
0.78

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.32.5%20.8%
3 yearsp.a.16.0%-2.8%
5 yearsp.a.12.8%1.0%
10 yearsp.a.13.3%-0.1%
Since inceptionp.a.9.4%0.6%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo17.6%9.3%
202528.4%-1.4%
20245.2%-9.8%
20236.1%-28.8%
20221.7%33.3%
202127.1%21.3%
20204.7%-13.5%
201925.5%-11.0%
2018-8.1%17.5%
201717.8%-10.8%
201620.0%7.6%
2015-7.5%-1.4%
201412.0%4.9%
201338.0%-4.5%
201218.1%5.1%
2011-2.1%4.1%
201025.1%-6.4%
200917.5%-17.8%
2008-38.7%2.9%
200713.5%0.7%
200614.0%-6.3%
20056.2%-5.4%
200418.3%-1.8%
200326.7%-9.2%
2002-8.0%69.0%
2001-5.8%-15.8%
20002.0%8.1%
199918.6%14.8%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FSHI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-11-09 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.68T

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials ShareIss1Y Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a ShareIss1Y signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.