ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
size factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Energy Small Size Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FSIEHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+26%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
28
cap-weighted
Inception
Feb 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.13
Ann. Return (LS)
2.3%
Ann. Volatility
17.1%
Max Drawdown
-66.5%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.21
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-1.9%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.35
not significant
Monthly turnover
12%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
26%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.43
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
13.4%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.13
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
11.1%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

28 of 28 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1FTK
FLOTEK INDUSTRIES INCEnergy$947M
6.77%
2HPK
HIGHPEAK ENERGY INCEnergy$931M
6.65%
3TBN
TAMBORAN RESOURCES CORPEnergy$890M
6.36%
4CAPL
CROSSAMERICA PARTNERS LPEnergy$856M
6.12%
5INR
INFINITY NATURAL RESOURCES INCEnergy$826M
5.90%
6REPX
RILEY EXPLORATION PERMIAN INCEnergy$759M
5.43%
7TXO
TXO PARTNERS LPEnergy$707M
5.05%
8WHK
WHITEHAWK MINERALS CORPEnergy$668M
4.78%
9VTS
VITESSE ENERGY INCEnergy$664M
4.74%
10FET
FORUM ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES INCEnergy$593M
4.24%
11EGY
VAALCO ENERGY INCEnergy$553M
3.95%
12CLB
CORE LABORATORIES INCEnergy$523M
3.74%
13EROC
EAGLE ROCK ENERGY PARTNERS L PEnergy$520M
3.72%
14OIS
OIL STATES INTERNATIONAL INCEnergy$507M
3.63%
15SD
SANDRIDGE ENERGY INCEnergy$503M
3.60%
16EROK
EAGLEROCK LAND LLCEnergy$498M
3.56%
17NGS
NATURAL GAS SERVICES GROUP INCEnergy$488M
3.49%
18SGU
STAR GROUP LPEnergy$430M
3.07%
19SMC
SUMMIT MIDSTREAM CORPEnergy$407M
2.91%
20RNGR
RANGER ENERGY SERVICES INCEnergy$371M
2.65%
21PNRG
PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES CORPEnergy$302M
2.16%
22GTE
GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INCEnergy$233M
1.67%
23EPSN
EPSILON ENERGY LTDEnergy$167M
1.19%
24PED
PEDEVCO CORPEnergy$161M
1.15%
25NINE
NINE ENERGY SERVICE INCEnergy$158M
1.13%
26BOOM
DMC GLOBAL INCEnergy$128M
0.92%
27NCSM
NCS MULTISTAGE HOLDINGS INCEnergy$114M
0.82%
28GEOS
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORPEnergy$88M
0.63%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $13.99B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Energy
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

28 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
·
·
·
·
·
·
40%14
31%8
17%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 137-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $7.1B, Small < $1.8B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.40 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 0% toward Large, 37% toward Growth. +12% unclassified (3 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt0% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt37% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 28 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    139.7 days
    Margin
    -132.7 days
  • No more than 15% of net assets may be held in illiquid investments.

    Required
    <= 15.0%
    Actual
    41.4%
    Margin
    -26.4%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 28 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.0 (95% CI 1.6-2.4)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
18.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.95x
within
parametric
2.02x
over
cornish fisher
2.12x
over

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 1.95 (pass) but Gaussian VaR gives 2.02 (fail). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1981
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1981 paper.
Sharpe 0.132.3% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
54%
14 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.04
Sharpe, January 2017 – December 2019
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.01
Dispersion
0.81
Best window
1.96

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.31.9%-2.7%
3 yearsp.a.7.3%-6.3%
5 yearsp.a.12.9%-8.5%
10 yearsp.a.5.5%-3.4%
Since inceptionp.a.8.7%0.8%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo9.2%-17.4%
202513.4%7.4%
20249.5%-0.4%
2023-4.9%-5.4%
202241.0%-13.8%
202150.7%0.3%
2020-25.7%16.8%
2019-8.9%-17.4%
2018-27.0%-13.6%
2017-6.7%-5.9%
201657.2%30.1%
2015-43.5%-24.1%
2014-30.9%-26.4%
201340.2%12.0%
20120.5%-4.3%
2011-7.1%-8.6%
201034.2%14.2%
200977.6%56.3%
2008-57.5%-33.4%
20073.1%-24.6%
200628.5%6.6%
200540.9%5.8%
200464.9%26.1%
200388.7%52.4%
2002-4.7%11.3%
2001-11.8%0.6%
200084.6%53.1%
19998.6%-6.3%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FSIE
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-02-20 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$13.99B

Methodology

The Foundry Energy Small Size Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Energy common stocks each month by a Small Size signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.