Foundry Consumer Cyclical StdTurn Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1HD | HOME DEPOT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $337.89B | 24.93% |
2MCD | MCDONALDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $190.21B | 14.04% |
3TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $170.63B | 12.59% |
4SBUX | STARBUCKS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $120.23B | 8.87% |
5LOW | LOWES COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $117.04B | 8.64% |
6MAR | MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $96.57B | 7.13% |
7HLT | HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $73.15B | 5.40% |
8LVS | LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $30.06B | 2.22% |
9QSR | RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $26.03B | 1.92% |
10PHM | PULTEGROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $24.02B | 1.77% |
11DRI | DARDEN RESTAURANTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $22.74B | 1.68% |
12YUMC | YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $15.32B | 1.13% |
13PAG | PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.32B | 0.98% |
14AVY | AVERY DENNISON CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $12.27B | 0.91% |
15SCI | SERVICE CORP INTERNATIONAL | Consumer Cyclical | $10.86B | 0.80% |
16LTH | LIFE TIME GROUP HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $9.38B | 0.69% |
17LEVI | LEVI STRAUSS & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $9.38B | 0.69% |
18DDS | DILLARD'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.61B | 0.63% |
19RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.56B | 0.56% |
20REYN | REYNOLDS CONSUMER PRODUCTS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.53B | 0.41% |
21ALH | ALLIANCE LAUNDRY HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.06B | 0.37% |
22ANDG | ANDERSEN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.02B | 0.37% |
23KTB | KONTOOR BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.73B | 0.35% |
24OPLN | OPENLANE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.18B | 0.31% |
25MHO | M/I HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.83B | 0.28% |
26MSGE | MADISON SQUARE GARDEN ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $3.56B | 0.26% |
27GEF | GREIF INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.52B | 0.26% |
28SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 0.23% |
29GRBK | GREEN BRICK PARTNERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.14B | 0.23% |
30CCS | CENTURY COMMUNITIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.89B | 0.14% |
31LZB | LA-Z-BOY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.59B | 0.12% |
32DFH | DREAM FINDERS HOMES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.45B | 0.11% |
33LQDT | LIQUIDITY SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.23B | 0.09% |
34ARHS | ARHAUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.09B | 0.08% |
35LUCK | LUCKY STRIKE ENTERTAINMENT CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $1.01B | 0.07% |
36ACEL | ACCEL ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $989M | 0.07% |
37KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $760M | 0.06% |
38BALY | BALLY'S CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $688M | 0.05% |
39CNNE | CANNAE HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $657M | 0.05% |
40LEGH | LEGACY HOUSING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $637M | 0.05% |
41CSV | CARRIAGE SERVICES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $598M | 0.04% |
42MLR | MILLER INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $566M | 0.04% |
43ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $547M | 0.04% |
44JOUT | JOHNSON OUTDOORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $485M | 0.04% |
45BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $437M | 0.03% |
46HVT | HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $413M | 0.03% |
47WEYS | WEYCO GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $374M | 0.03% |
48ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $315M | 0.02% |
49HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.02% |
50KWY | KINGSWAY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $279M | 0.02% |
51ESCA | ESCALADE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $266M | 0.02% |
52RDNW | RIDENOW GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $229M | 0.02% |
53ONEW | ONEWATER MARINE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $224M | 0.02% |
54SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $209M | 0.02% |
55BSET | BASSETT FURNITURE INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $187M | 0.01% |
56INSE | INSPIRED ENTERTAINMENT INC | Consumer Cyclical | $174M | 0.01% |
57AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $119M | 0.01% |
58UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $118M | 0.01% |
59KEQU | KEWAUNEE SCIENTIFIC CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $109M | 0.01% |
60VIRC | VIRCO MFG CORPORATION | Consumer Cyclical | $97M | 0.01% |
61CPHC | CANTERBURY PARK HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.01% |
62RGS | REGIS CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $74M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.36T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 98% toward Large, 68% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (9 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 62 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual53.4%Margin-21.6%No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required<= 25.0%Actual24.9%Margin0.1%Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 62 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 22%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 3.7% | 6.3% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 4.2% | -10.0% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 10.7% | -17.7% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 6.8% | -11.7% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | -0.7% | -2.8% |
| 2025 | 9.7% | 11.6% |
| 2024 | 16.9% | 2.2% |
| 2023 | 18.3% | -44.2% |
| 2022 | -28.7% | 18.6% |
| 2021 | 38.6% | -7.0% |
| 2020 | 19.4% | -79.6% |
| 2019 | 30.3% | -4.6% |
| 2018 | -7.0% | -3.5% |
| 2017 | 30.1% | 10.8% |
| 2016 | -1.5% | -4.4% |
| 2015 | 13.6% | -14.9% |
| 2014 | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| 2013 | 37.0% | -3.1% |
| 2012 | 7.8% | -11.3% |
| 2011 | 10.0% | 27.4% |
| 2010 | 31.1% | -17.3% |
| 2009 | 24.8% | -35.4% |
| 2008 | -36.7% | 25.0% |
| 2007 | -3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2006 | 12.6% | -6.4% |
| 2005 | -1.8% | -8.3% |
| 2004 | 20.0% | -6.0% |
| 2003 | 40.3% | -11.2% |
| 2002 | -32.0% | -31.7% |
| 2001 | -2.9% | -33.7% |
| 2000 | -29.1% | 6.4% |
| 1999 | 20.3% | 6.2% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical StdTurn Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a StdTurn signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.