ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
low risk factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials StdTurn Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FSTIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−65%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
124
cap-weighted
Inception
Apr 2021
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.13
Ann. Return (LS)
-2.3%
Ann. Volatility
17.7%
Max Drawdown
-81.4%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
-0.05
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-0.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.08
not significant
Monthly turnover
12%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-65%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.49
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
8.6%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.13
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
10.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

124 of 124 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1RTX
RTX CORPIndustrials$260.60B
47.83%
2DE
DEERE & COIndustrials$161.22B
29.59%
3SYM
SYMBOTIC INCIndustrials$24.86B
4.56%
4RBA
RB GLOBAL INCIndustrials$20.80B
3.82%
5ULS
UL SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$17.69B
3.25%
6UHAL
U-HAUL HOLDING COIndustrials$13.98B
2.57%
7GFF
GRIFFON CORPIndustrials$4.20B
0.77%
8WOR
WORTHINGTON ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.75B
0.50%
9AACO
ABONY ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$2.65B
0.49%
10GRC
GORMAN RUPP COIndustrials$2.11B
0.39%
11FBYD
FALCON'S BEYOND GLOBAL INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.25%
12GIC
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL COIndustrials$1.32B
0.24%
13AEBI
AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AGIndustrials$989M
0.18%
14SKYH
SKY HARBOUR GROUP CORPIndustrials$797M
0.15%
15EVAC
EQV VENTURES ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$598M
0.11%
16CEPF
CANTOR EQUITY PARTNERS IV INCIndustrials$596M
0.11%
17EBF
ENNIS INCIndustrials$541M
0.10%
18TRC
TEJON RANCH COIndustrials$491M
0.09%
19KRSP
RICE ACQUISITION CORP 3Industrials$485M
0.09%
20ANSC
AGRICULTURE & NATURAL SOLUTIONS ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$475M
0.09%
21MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.09%
22QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.08%
23KBON
KARBON CAPITAL PARTNERS CORPIndustrials$443M
0.08%
24LXFR
LUXFER HOLDINGS PLCIndustrials$442M
0.08%
25MESH
MESHFLOW ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$432M
0.08%
26CLBR
COLOMBIER ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$412M
0.08%
27NPAC
NEW PROVIDENCE ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$399M
0.07%
28RDAG
REPUBLIC DIGITAL ACQUISITION COIndustrials$388M
0.07%
29WENN
WEN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$387M
0.07%
30HACQ
HCM IV ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$377M
0.07%
31ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.07%
32ALUB
ALUSSA ENERGY ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$361M
0.07%
33CCII
COHEN CIRCLE ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$360M
0.07%
34IPCX
INFLECTION POINT ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$359M
0.07%
35HCIC
HENNESSY CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP VIIIIndustrials$354M
0.06%
36SOUL
SOULPOWER ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$352M
0.06%
37SBXE
SILVERBOX CORP VIndustrials$350M
0.06%
38OYSE
OYSTER ENTERPRISES II ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$350M
0.06%
39TLNC
TALON CAPITAL CORPIndustrials$349M
0.06%
40ARTC
ART TECHNOLOGY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$347M
0.06%
41BIXI
BITCOIN INFRASTRUCTURE ACQUISITION CORP LTDIndustrials$346M
0.06%
42DSAC
DAEDALUS SPECIAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$346M
0.06%
43SORN
SOREN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$345M
0.06%
44AACI
ARMADA ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$339M
0.06%
45BLUW
BLUE WATER ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$333M
0.06%
46RTAC
RENATUS TACTICAL ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$329M
0.06%
47CRAQ
CAL REDWOOD ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$324M
0.06%
48EVOX
EVOLUTION GLOBAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$322M
0.06%
49PMTR
PERIMETER ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$322M
0.06%
50ALDF
ALDEL FINANCIAL II INCIndustrials$320M
0.06%
51POLE
ANDRETTI ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$318M
0.06%
52VACI
VIKING ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$318M
0.06%
53RNGT
RANGE CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$317M
0.06%
54CMII
COLUMBUS CIRCLE CAPITAL CORP IIIndustrials$315M
0.06%
55AEAQ
ACTIVATE ENERGY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$313M
0.06%
56LPAA
LAUNCH ONE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$313M
0.06%
57PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.06%
58GRAF
GRAF GLOBAL CORPIndustrials$310M
0.06%
59CIX
COMPX INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$309M
0.06%
60TMTS
SPARTACUS ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$309M
0.06%
61LWAC
LIGHTWAVE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$308M
0.06%
62ITHA
ITHAX ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$307M
0.06%
63VHCP
VINE HILL CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORP IIIndustrials$307M
0.06%
64OFLX
OMEGA FLEX INCIndustrials$302M
0.06%
65OTGA
OTG ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$300M
0.06%
66SVAQ
SILICON VALLEY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$295M
0.05%
67IRHO
IRON HORSE ACQUISITION II CORPIndustrials$294M
0.05%
68PACH
PIONEER ACQUISITION I CORPIndustrials$293M
0.05%
69AACB
ARTIUS II ACQUISITION INCIndustrials$292M
0.05%
70NL
NL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$288M
0.05%
71ADAC
AMERICAN DRIVE ACQUISITION COIndustrials$288M
0.05%
72FGII
FG IMPERII ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$288M
0.05%
73LPCV
LAUNCHPAD CADENZA ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$287M
0.05%
74SBXD
SILVERBOX CORP IVIndustrials$275M
0.05%
75TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.05%
76DMAA
DRUGS MADE IN AMERICA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$259M
0.05%
77NTWO
NEWBURY STREET II ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$259M
0.05%
78CAQ
CAMBRIDGE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$249M
0.05%
79MKLY
MCKINLEY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$248M
0.05%
80COPL
COPLEY ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$248M
0.05%
81IGAC
INVEST GREEN ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$240M
0.04%
82DAAQ
DIGITAL ASSET ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$239M
0.04%
83MACI
MELAR ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$236M
0.04%
84GENC
GENCOR INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$235M
0.04%
85HLXC
HELIX ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$233M
0.04%
86BLRK
BLUEROCK ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$231M
0.04%
87SVCC
STELLAR V CAPITAL CORP (CAYMAN ISLANDS)Industrials$229M
0.04%
88IRAB
IRIS ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$228M
0.04%
89GSHR
GESHER ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$214M
0.04%
90EGHA
EGH ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$213M
0.04%
91HAVA
HARVARD AVE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$209M
0.04%
92WLII
WILLOW LANE ACQUISITION CORP IIIndustrials$207M
0.04%
93BEBE
TGE VALUE CREATIVE SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$200M
0.04%
94FIGX
FIGX CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$199M
0.04%
95LFAC
LEAPFROG ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$192M
0.04%
96PAAC
PROEM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$177M
0.03%
97CHEC
CHENGHE ACQUISITION III COIndustrials$176M
0.03%
98RANG
RANGE CAPITAL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$171M
0.03%
99TAVI
TAVIA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$170M
0.03%
100HQI
HIREQUEST INCIndustrials$168M
0.03%
101CTAA
CLEARTHINK 1 ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$165M
0.03%
102NMP
NMP ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$164M
0.03%
103LAFA
LAFAYETTE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$158M
0.03%
104WPAC
WHITE PEARL ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$157M
0.03%
105RFAM
RF ACQUISITION CORP IIIIndustrials$138M
0.03%
106SCPQ
SOCIAL COMMERCE PARTNERS CORPIndustrials$137M
0.03%
107IPEX
INFLECTION POINT ACQUISITION CORP VIndustrials$126M
0.02%
108CHAR
CHARLTON ARIA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$116M
0.02%
109CHPG
CHAMPIONSGATE ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$104M
0.02%
110LCCC
LAKESHORE ACQUISITION III CORPIndustrials$93M
0.02%
111ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.02%
112MMTX
MILUNA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$89M
0.02%
113BSAA
BEST SPAC I ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$89M
0.02%
114MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.02%
115CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.02%
116FVN
FUTURE VISION II ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$83M
0.02%
117SSEA
STARRY SEA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$79M
0.01%
118AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.01%
119KVAC
KEEN VISION ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$68M
0.01%
120EURK
EUREKA ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$60M
0.01%
121UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.01%
122IBAC
IB ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.01%
123RIBB
RIBBON ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$54M
0.01%
124BKHA
BLACK HAWK ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$50M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $544.89B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

124 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
·
84%4
9%3
<1%3
2%15
1%12
<1%11
<1%11
1%27

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 97% toward Large, 55% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (38 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt97% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt55% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 124 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
3
Failed
3
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    32.6%
    Margin
    -42.4%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    47.8%
    Margin
    -22.8%
  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied
  • At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.

    Required
    >= 50.0%
    Actual
    32.6%
    Margin
    -17.4%

    Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 124 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
13.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.44x
within
parametric
1.13x
within
cornish fisher
1.18x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 27%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2001
Before publication (pre-2001)
0.09
Sharpe · 2.3% p.a.
January 1999December 2001 · 36 mo
Since publication
-0.17
Sharpe · -2.8% p.a.
January 2002July 2026 · 295 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.26the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
35%
9 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.93
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.24
Dispersion
0.42
Best window
0.76

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.7.3%-17.5%
3 yearsp.a.11.2%-14.3%
5 yearsp.a.8.1%-6.9%
10 yearsp.a.11.2%-3.2%
Since inceptionp.a.7.3%-3.7%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo5.9%-12.7%
202516.8%-14.0%
20243.1%-19.8%
202317.6%-10.6%
2022-11.8%17.2%
202136.3%18.3%
202024.9%6.7%
201927.0%-1.6%
2018-14.0%-2.1%
201710.4%-6.5%
201617.6%-1.0%
20154.8%15.3%
20147.9%-5.4%
201338.5%-3.4%
201216.7%-4.4%
20110.4%11.2%
201015.5%-14.3%
20099.8%-27.0%
2008-41.8%9.5%
20076.8%-9.6%
200610.4%-11.0%
20051.6%-3.8%
200417.9%2.8%
200329.7%-20.2%
2002-25.3%3.2%
2001-11.1%-28.2%
20000.8%8.3%
199930.4%25.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FSTI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2021-04-16 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$544.89B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials StdTurn Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a StdTurn signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.