ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services Cash-Flow Yield Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCFFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+515%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
108
cap-weighted
Inception
Jul 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.49
Ann. Return (LS)
7.9%
Ann. Volatility
16.2%
Max Drawdown
-59.0%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.36
Test FF5 α (ann.)
6.6%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.50
not significant
Monthly turnover
14%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
515%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.66
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
15.5%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.49
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
7.6%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

108 of 108 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1WFC
WELLS FARGO & COMPANYFinancial Services$267.80B
30.19%
2TRV
TRAVELERS COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$76.96B
8.68%
3ALL
ALLSTATE CORPFinancial Services$64.33B
7.25%
4PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
5.62%
5AIG
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$42.68B
4.81%
6HIG
HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$38.45B
4.33%
7ACGL
ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTDFinancial Services$35.41B
3.99%
8CINF
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$27.97B
3.15%
9SYF
SYNCHRONY FINANCIALFinancial Services$24.81B
2.80%
10FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$24.59B
2.77%
11EG
EVEREST GROUP LTDFinancial Services$15.14B
1.71%
12ALLY
ALLY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$13.99B
1.58%
13FNF
FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$13.97B
1.57%
14RNR
RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$13.77B
1.55%
15SSB
SOUTHSTATE BANK CORPFinancial Services$10.08B
1.14%
16WAL
WESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$8.99B
1.01%
17AXS
AXIS CAPITAL HOLDINGS LTDFinancial Services$8.46B
0.95%
18LNC
LINCOLN NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$8.08B
0.91%
19FAF
FIRST AMERICAN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$7.38B
0.83%
20OMF
ONEMAIN HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$6.97B
0.79%
21MTG
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$6.23B
0.70%
22ESNT
ESSENT GROUP LTDFinancial Services$6.15B
0.69%
23MCY
MERCURY GENERAL CORPFinancial Services$5.88B
0.66%
24WTM
WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$5.48B
0.62%
25RDN
RADIAN GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.24B
0.59%
26NNI
NELNET INCFinancial Services$4.83B
0.54%
27SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.54%
28PFSI
PENNYMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$4.43B
0.50%
29FG
F&G ANNUITIES & LIFE INCFinancial Services$4.25B
0.48%
30BFH
BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.01B
0.45%
31AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTDFinancial Services$3.76B
0.42%
32HG
HAMILTON INSURANCE GROUP LTDFinancial Services$3.47B
0.39%
33BANC
BANC OF CALIFORNIA INCFinancial Services$3.27B
0.37%
34NMIH
NMI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$3.27B
0.37%
35PFS
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$3.14B
0.35%
36HTGC
HERCULES CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$3.03B
0.34%
37SPNT
SIRIUSPOINT LTDFinancial Services$2.93B
0.33%
38WU
WESTERN UNION COFinancial Services$2.77B
0.31%
39APAM
ARTISAN PARTNERS ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.73B
0.31%
40CUBI
CUSTOMERS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.65B
0.30%
41SLDE
SLIDE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.35B
0.26%
42HCI
HCI GROUP INCFinancial Services$2.27B
0.26%
43HAPN
HAPPEN INCFinancial Services$2.22B
0.25%
44OFG
OFG BANCORPFinancial Services$2.12B
0.24%
45EZPW
EZCORP INCFinancial Services$1.97B
0.22%
46ECPG
ENCORE CAPITAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.96B
0.22%
47CASH
PATHWARD FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.89B
0.21%
48WD
WALKER & DUNLOP INCFinancial Services$1.72B
0.19%
49TMP
TOMPKINS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.35B
0.15%
50UFCS
UNITED FIRE GROUP INCFinancial Services$1.31B
0.15%
51OPY
OPPENHEIMER HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.17B
0.13%
52VRTS
VIRTUS INVESTMENT PARTNERS INCFinancial Services$1.10B
0.12%
53UVE
UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.12%
54JCAP
JEFFERSON CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$1.08B
0.12%
55HRTG
HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$821M
0.09%
56ORRF
ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$812M
0.09%
57FISI
FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INCFinancial Services$774M
0.09%
58FDUS
FIDUS INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$773M
0.09%
59HIPO
HIPPO HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$764M
0.09%
60IBCP
INDEPENDENT BANK CORPFinancial Services$750M
0.08%
61CARE
CARTER BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$741M
0.08%
62SLRC
SLR INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$716M
0.08%
63VEL
VELOCITY FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$687M
0.08%
64TCBX
THIRD COAST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$674M
0.08%
65GAIN
GLADSTONE INVESTMENT CORPORATIONFinancial Services$659M
0.07%
66NPB
NORTHPOINTE BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$650M
0.07%
67TREE
LENDINGTREE INCFinancial Services$645M
0.07%
68NRIM
NORTHRIM BANCORP INCFinancial Services$619M
0.07%
69UNTY
UNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$575M
0.06%
70GLRE
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL RE LTDFinancial Services$566M
0.06%
71CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
0.06%
72COFS
CHOICEONE FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$508M
0.06%
73ACIC
AMERICAN COASTAL INSURANCE CORPFinancial Services$497M
0.06%
74RBB
RBB BANCORPFinancial Services$458M
0.05%
75NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.05%
76FRST
PRIMIS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$400M
0.05%
77PKBK
PARKE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$388M
0.04%
78RM
REGIONAL MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$384M
0.04%
79NECB
NORTHEAST COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$366M
0.04%
80AII
AMERICAN INTEGRITY INSURANCE GROUP INCFinancial Services$366M
0.04%
81CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
0.04%
82ONIT
ONITY GROUP INCFinancial Services$344M
0.04%
83SSSS
SURO CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$317M
0.04%
84FDBC
FIDELITY D & D BANCORP INCFinancial Services$305M
0.03%
85KINS
KINGSTONE COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$291M
0.03%
86OPRT
OPORTUN FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$274M
0.03%
87NSLR
NEOSTELLAR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$266M
0.03%
88CFFI
C & F FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$260M
0.03%
89SNFCA
SECURITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$255M
0.03%
90RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.03%
91FSBW
FS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$238M
0.03%
92MFIN
MEDALLION FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$237M
0.03%
93OPBK
OP BANCORPFinancial Services$223M
0.03%
94SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.02%
95PMTS
CPI CARD GROUP INCFinancial Services$216M
0.02%
96FOA
FINANCE OF AMERICA COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$216M
0.02%
97CPSS
CONSUMER PORTFOLIO SERVICES INCFinancial Services$197M
0.02%
98LARK
LANDMARK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.02%
99FINW
FINWISE BANCORPFinancial Services$189M
0.02%
100EBMT
EAGLE BANCORP MONTANA INCFinancial Services$185M
0.02%
101MNSB
MAINSTREET BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$172M
0.02%
102SBFG
SB FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$170M
0.02%
103BOTJ
BANK OF THE JAMES FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$121M
0.01%
104UNB
UNION BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$117M
0.01%
105MGYR
MAGYAR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$113M
0.01%
106AUBN
AUBURN NATIONAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$93M
0.01%
107HNNA
HENNESSY ADVISORS INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%
108OPHC
OPTIMUMBANK HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$74M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $887.13B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

108 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
21%16
67%11
2%1
6%23
1%6
<1%2
2%43
<1%4
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 94% toward Large, 37% toward Growth. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt94% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt37% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 108 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    68.3%
    Margin
    -6.7%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    30.2%
    Margin
    -5.2%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 108 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.6 (95% CI 1.2-2.5)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
15.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.63x
within
parametric
1.47x
within
cornish fisher
1.58x
within

The estimators agree, which is mild evidence the number isn’t an artefact of one method.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 1994
Entirely since publication
All 331 months of our record post-date the 1994 paper.
Sharpe 0.497.9% p.a.January 1999July 2026

There is no “before” to compare against — the predictor was already public when our data begins, so every month shown is out-of-sample relative to the original study.

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
73%
19 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.93
Sharpe, January 2018 – December 2020
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.52
Dispersion
0.78
Best window
2.24

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.20.6%31.3%
3 yearsp.a.29.6%17.6%
5 yearsp.a.18.6%13.3%
10 yearsp.a.18.1%2.9%
Since inceptionp.a.13.5%6.8%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo7.7%14.6%
202535.2%29.7%
202433.1%6.2%
202322.6%-1.2%
2022-5.4%12.7%
202138.1%22.4%
2020-6.0%-27.3%
201929.6%-8.2%
2018-12.7%-14.6%
201722.3%-11.2%
201624.6%18.8%
20151.6%-3.2%
201414.8%5.4%
201342.0%-7.2%
201235.0%-3.4%
2011-21.0%29.7%
201021.4%-4.4%
200927.7%5.4%
2008-35.8%104.4%
2007-19.5%-24.8%
200618.7%2.6%
200511.6%-4.0%
200419.4%6.0%
200334.1%9.0%
200220.7%47.8%
200125.2%47.0%
200061.6%38.5%
1999-10.8%-24.4%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCFF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-07-13 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$887.13B

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services Cash-Flow Yield Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a Cash-Flow Yield signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.