ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
value factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Industrials CashProd Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCAIHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+16%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
132
cap-weighted
Inception
Sep 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.11
Ann. Return (LS)
1.7%
Ann. Volatility
15.1%
Max Drawdown
-53.2%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.30
Test FF5 α (ann.)
-0.6%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
-0.11
not significant
Monthly turnover
11%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
16%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.42
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.2%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.11
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
8.5%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

132 of 132 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1FDX
FEDEX CORPIndustrials$74.68B
12.31%
2DAL
DELTA AIR LINES INCIndustrials$55.35B
9.13%
3UAL
UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$37.46B
6.18%
4CCL
CARNIVAL CORP LTDIndustrials$36.17B
5.96%
5ECHO
ECHO GLOBAL LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$26.66B
4.40%
6LUV
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COIndustrials$23.50B
3.87%
7GPN
GLOBAL PAYMENTS INCIndustrials$21.29B
3.51%
8WCC
WESCO INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$15.97B
2.63%
9TXT
TEXTRON INCIndustrials$15.91B
2.62%
10SWK
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INCIndustrials$14.02B
2.31%
11UHAL
U-HAUL HOLDING COIndustrials$13.98B
2.30%
12CNH
CNH INDUSTRIAL NVIndustrials$13.19B
2.18%
13HII
HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$10.60B
1.75%
14R
RYDER SYSTEM INCIndustrials$10.52B
1.73%
15AAL
AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INCIndustrials$9.91B
1.63%
16OSK
OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials$8.96B
1.48%
17NCLH
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDINGS LTDIndustrials$8.93B
1.47%
18ACM
AECOMIndustrials$8.78B
1.45%
19AGCO
AGCO CORPIndustrials$8.35B
1.38%
20TEX
TEREX CORPIndustrials$7.47B
1.23%
21JBTM
JBT MAREL CORPIndustrials$6.98B
1.15%
22GATX
GATX CORPIndustrials$6.34B
1.04%
23GXO
GXO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$6.22B
1.03%
24CAR
AVIS BUDGET GROUP INCIndustrials$5.67B
0.94%
25ADT
ADT INCIndustrials$5.54B
0.91%
26REZI
RESIDEO TECHNOLOGIES INCIndustrials$5.43B
0.89%
27ALK
ALASKA AIR GROUP INCIndustrials$5.07B
0.84%
28AMTM
AMENTUM HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$5.05B
0.83%
29HRI
HERC HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$4.99B
0.82%
30BCO
BRINKS COIndustrials$4.95B
0.82%
31WSC
WILLSCOT HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$4.93B
0.81%
32TNL
TRAVEL & LEISURE COIndustrials$4.57B
0.75%
33KBR
KBR INCIndustrials$4.45B
0.73%
34MDU
MDU RESOURCES GROUP INCIndustrials$4.42B
0.73%
35SEB
SEABOARD CORPIndustrials$4.34B
0.72%
36EQPT
EQUIPMENTSHARECOM INCIndustrials$4.19B
0.69%
37TPC
TUTOR PERINI CORPIndustrials$4.14B
0.68%
38SKYW
SKYWEST INCIndustrials$3.86B
0.64%
39MMS
MAXIMUS INCIndustrials$3.06B
0.51%
40CXW
CORECIVIC INCIndustrials$3.03B
0.50%
41HNI
HNI CORPIndustrials$3.00B
0.50%
42CXT
CRANE NXT COIndustrials$2.95B
0.49%
43TRN
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.90B
0.48%
44ABM
ABM INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$2.79B
0.46%
45WERN
WERNER ENTERPRISES INCIndustrials$2.76B
0.46%
46TNET
TRINET GROUP INCIndustrials$2.74B
0.45%
47KMT
KENNAMETAL INCIndustrials$2.57B
0.42%
48PBI
PITNEY BOWES INCIndustrials$2.51B
0.41%
49ATKR
ATKORE INCIndustrials$2.48B
0.41%
50MAN
MANPOWERGROUP INCIndustrials$2.43B
0.40%
51VVX
V2X INCIndustrials$2.37B
0.39%
52CTOS
CUSTOM TRUCK ONE SOURCE INCIndustrials$2.35B
0.39%
53CBZ
CBIZ INCIndustrials$2.28B
0.38%
54VSTS
VESTIS CORPIndustrials$2.18B
0.36%
55JBLU
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPIndustrials$2.02B
0.33%
56NSP
INSPERITY INCIndustrials$1.89B
0.31%
57ALGT
ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COIndustrials$1.86B
0.31%
58PRG
PROG HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.86B
0.31%
59TRIP
TRIPADVISOR INCIndustrials$1.70B
0.28%
60DSGR
DISTRIBUTION SOLUTIONS GROUP INCIndustrials$1.59B
0.26%
61HLMN
HILLMAN SOLUTIONS CORPIndustrials$1.59B
0.26%
62ENOV
ENOVIS CORPIndustrials$1.56B
0.26%
63GBX
GREENBRIER COMPANIES INCIndustrials$1.55B
0.26%
64RYZ
RYERSON HOLDING CORPIndustrials$1.54B
0.25%
65TIC
TIC SOLUTIONS INCIndustrials$1.51B
0.25%
66ULCC
FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.24%
67ICFI
ICF INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$1.43B
0.24%
68ENR
ENERGIZER HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.39B
0.23%
69BV
BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$1.35B
0.22%
70WLFC
WILLIS LEASE FINANCE CORPIndustrials$1.35B
0.22%
71ASTE
ASTEC INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$1.27B
0.21%
72AMRC
AMERESCO INCIndustrials$1.22B
0.20%
73RHLD
RESOLUTE HOLDINGS MANAGEMENT INCIndustrials$1.10B
0.18%
74GNK
GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTDIndustrials$1.05B
0.17%
75AEBI
AEBI SCHMIDT HOLDING AGIndustrials$989M
0.16%
76MATW
MATTHEWS INTERNATIONAL CORPIndustrials$857M
0.14%
77RJET
REPUBLIC AIRWAYS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$806M
0.13%
78CODI
COMPASS DIVERSIFIED HOLDINGSIndustrials$777M
0.13%
79ONT
ONTERRIS INCIndustrials$756M
0.12%
80KODK
EASTMAN KODAK COIndustrials$748M
0.12%
81CASS
CASS INFORMATION SYSTEMS INCIndustrials$686M
0.11%
82NVRI
ENVIRI CORPIndustrials$643M
0.11%
83HY
HYSTER-YALE INCIndustrials$591M
0.10%
84KE
KIMBALL ELECTRONICS INCIndustrials$577M
0.10%
85WNC
WABASH NATIONAL CORPIndustrials$547M
0.09%
86PKOH
PARK OHIO HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$544M
0.09%
87KELYA
KELLY SERVICES INCIndustrials$531M
0.09%
88BBCP
CONCRETE PUMPING HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$531M
0.09%
89MG
MISTRAS GROUP INCIndustrials$500M
0.08%
90TWI
TITAN INTERNATIONAL INCIndustrials$493M
0.08%
91TRC
TEJON RANCH COIndustrials$491M
0.08%
92BXC
BLUELINX HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$471M
0.08%
93MTW
MANITOWOC CO INCIndustrials$468M
0.08%
94PANL
PANGAEA LOGISTICS SOLUTIONS LTDIndustrials$460M
0.08%
95TITN
TITAN MACHINERY INCIndustrials$446M
0.07%
96QUAD
QUAD/GRAPHICS INCIndustrials$446M
0.07%
97BWMN
BOWMAN CONSULTING GROUP LTDIndustrials$443M
0.07%
98FWRD
FORWARD AIR CORPIndustrials$435M
0.07%
99CMCO
COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPIndustrials$414M
0.07%
100CVEO
CIVEO CORPIndustrials$382M
0.06%
101ULH
UNIVERSAL LOGISTICS HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$377M
0.06%
102FTW
PRESIDIO PRODUCTION COIndustrials$357M
0.06%
103MTRX
MATRIX SERVICE COIndustrials$342M
0.06%
104TWIN
TWIN DISC INCIndustrials$326M
0.05%
105PAMT
PAMT CORPIndustrials$311M
0.05%
106NL
NL INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$288M
0.05%
107ASLE
AERSALE CORPIndustrials$286M
0.05%
108TG
TREDEGAR CORPIndustrials$263M
0.04%
109TBI
TRUEBLUE INCIndustrials$258M
0.04%
110UP
WHEELS UP EXPERIENCE INCIndustrials$229M
0.04%
111SMHI
SEACOR MARINE HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$214M
0.04%
112EVI
EVI INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials$213M
0.04%
113ALTG
ALTA EQUIPMENT GROUP INCIndustrials$208M
0.03%
114AIRO
AIRO GROUP HOLDINGS INCIndustrials$205M
0.03%
115FORR
FORRESTER RESEARCH INCIndustrials$200M
0.03%
116PAL
PROFICIENT AUTO LOGISTICS INCIndustrials$197M
0.03%
117EAF
GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTDIndustrials$181M
0.03%
118AOUT
AMERICAN OUTDOOR BRANDS INCIndustrials$174M
0.03%
119AP
AMPCO PITTSBURGH CORPIndustrials$156M
0.03%
120EML
EASTERN COIndustrials$154M
0.03%
121RAIL
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INCIndustrials$144M
0.02%
122HURC
HURCO COMPANIES INCIndustrials$142M
0.02%
123VATE
INNOVATE CORPIndustrials$123M
0.02%
124ULBI
ULTRALIFE CORPIndustrials$92M
0.02%
125SIMA
SIM ACQUISITION CORP IIndustrials$90M
0.01%
126MHH
MASTECH DIGITAL INCIndustrials$89M
0.01%
127CPBI
CENTRAL PLAINS BANCSHARES INCIndustrials$85M
0.01%
128DLHC
DLH HOLDINGS CORPIndustrials$80M
0.01%
129TISI
TEAM INCIndustrials$75M
0.01%
130AIRT
AIR T INCIndustrials$73M
0.01%
131UYSC
UY SCUTI ACQUISITION CORPIndustrials$56M
0.01%
132LNZA
LANZATECH GLOBAL INCIndustrials$56M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $606.55B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Industrials
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

132 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
58%25
14%9
4%4
7%34
2%11
1%7
<1%17
<1%3
<1%1

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 706-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $2.8B, Small < $315M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.60, Growth < 0.34 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 93% toward Large, 15% toward Growth. +13% unclassified (21 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt93% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt15% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 132 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.

    Required
    <= 7.0 days
    Actual
    unbounded
    Margin
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 132 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.9 (95% CI 1.4-2.1)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
18.7%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.94x
within
parametric
1.56x
within
cornish fisher
1.98x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 24%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2009
Before publication (pre-2009)
0.03
Sharpe · 0.5% p.a.
January 1999December 2009 · 132 mo
Since publication
0.16
Sharpe · 2.5% p.a.
January 2010July 2026 · 199 mo
Change in Sharpe+0.13Sharpe strengthened since publication

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
58%
15 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.55
Sharpe, January 2006 – December 2008
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.09
Dispersion
0.41
Best window
0.93

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.30.4%18.4%
3 yearsp.a.17.1%1.8%
5 yearsp.a.15.2%5.9%
10 yearsp.a.13.0%2.7%
Since inceptionp.a.7.4%0.5%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo15.6%2.8%
20258.9%-1.5%
202419.4%4.9%
202350.0%29.1%
2022-8.1%11.3%
202118.6%2.6%
2020-8.2%-17.8%
201937.5%5.0%
2018-25.7%-16.3%
201723.4%2.9%
201631.1%13.1%
2015-12.3%-4.2%
201416.4%3.5%
201345.1%2.3%
201217.3%1.2%
2011-9.7%-8.1%
201023.6%-0.5%
200920.3%4.5%
2008-51.2%-25.9%
20078.6%-1.4%
200611.4%5.1%
20054.5%3.1%
200420.3%3.3%
200321.7%-5.6%
2002-9.1%-1.0%
200110.9%18.0%
200012.5%28.3%
1999-19.9%-22.6%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCAI
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-09-21 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$606.55B

Methodology

The Foundry Industrials CashProd Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Industrials common stocks each month by a CashProd signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.