ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services ChEQ Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FCHFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+7%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
105
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2019
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.08
Ann. Return (LS)
1.0%
Ann. Volatility
12.5%
Max Drawdown
-57.7%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.65
Test FF5 α (ann.)
9.5%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
2.29
significant (|t| ≥ 2)
Monthly turnover
12%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
7%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.35
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
7.8%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.08
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
6.7%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

105 of 105 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1V
VISA INCFinancial Services$652.82B
21.91%
2MA
MASTERCARD INCFinancial Services$480.32B
16.12%
3GS
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCFinancial Services$314.25B
10.55%
4WFC
WELLS FARGO & COMPANYFinancial Services$267.80B
8.99%
5C
CITIGROUP INCFinancial Services$220.63B
7.40%
6SPGI
S&P GLOBAL INCFinancial Services$133.45B
4.48%
7MCO
MOODYS CORPFinancial Services$89.25B
3.00%
8CME
CME GROUP INCFinancial Services$88.80B
2.98%
9MRSH
MARSH & MCLENNAN COMPANIES INCFinancial Services$87.77B
2.95%
10TFC
TRUIST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$65.41B
2.20%
11MET
METLIFE INCFinancial Services$60.48B
2.03%
12PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
1.67%
13AIG
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$42.68B
1.43%
14MTB
M&T BANK CORPFinancial Services$36.50B
1.22%
15ARES
ARES MANAGEMENT CORPFinancial Services$27.90B
0.94%
16WTW
WILLIS TOWERS WATSON PLCFinancial Services$27.71B
0.93%
17SYF
SYNCHRONY FINANCIALFinancial Services$24.81B
0.83%
18FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$24.59B
0.83%
19BEN
FRANKLIN RESOURCES INCFinancial Services$16.96B
0.57%
20CG
CARLYLE GROUP INCFinancial Services$16.58B
0.56%
21OWL
BLUE OWL CAPITAL INCFinancial Services$14.84B
0.50%
22CRBG
COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$14.56B
0.49%
23UNM
UNUM GROUPFinancial Services$14.23B
0.48%
24FNF
FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$13.97B
0.47%
25EQH
EQUITABLE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$13.79B
0.46%
26IVZ
INVESCO LTDFinancial Services$13.13B
0.44%
27AMG
AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INCFinancial Services$9.77B
0.33%
28FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.31%
29JXN
JACKSON FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$8.76B
0.29%
30GLXY
GALAXY DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$8.43B
0.28%
31CIFR
CIPHER DIGITAL INCFinancial Services$7.18B
0.24%
32RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
0.23%
33CACC
CREDIT ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$6.69B
0.22%
34MORN
MORNINGSTAR INCFinancial Services$6.56B
0.22%
35MTG
MGIC INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$6.23B
0.21%
36BXSL
BLACKSTONE SECURED LENDING FUNDFinancial Services$5.54B
0.19%
37OBDC
BLUE OWL CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$5.45B
0.18%
38MC
MOELIS & COFinancial Services$5.30B
0.18%
39LMND
LEMONADE INCFinancial Services$5.16B
0.17%
40CNO
CNO FINANCIAL GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.00B
0.17%
41MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
0.14%
42MKTX
MARKETAXESS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.04B
0.14%
43AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTDFinancial Services$3.76B
0.13%
44AB
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LPFinancial Services$3.54B
0.12%
45GBDC
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$3.40B
0.11%
46CLSK
CLEANSPARK INCFinancial Services$3.34B
0.11%
47SFNC
SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$3.33B
0.11%
48FSK
FS KKR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$3.06B
0.10%
49TBBK
BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.85B
0.10%
50WAFD
WAFD INCFinancial Services$2.82B
0.09%
51HTH
HILLTOP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.26B
0.08%
52WD
WALKER & DUNLOP INCFinancial Services$1.72B
0.06%
53TSLX
SIXTH STREET SPECIALTY LENDING INCFinancial Services$1.66B
0.06%
54KMPR
KEMPER CORPFinancial Services$1.65B
0.06%
55WABC
WESTAMERICA BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$1.44B
0.05%
56TWFG
TWFG INCFinancial Services$1.43B
0.05%
57DFIN
DONNELLEY FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INCFinancial Services$1.25B
0.04%
58OCFC
OCEANFIRST FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.15B
0.04%
59CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.04%
60OCSL
OAKTREE SPECIALTY LENDING CORPFinancial Services$1.07B
0.04%
61HBNC
HORIZON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.04B
0.03%
62GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.03%
63ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.03%
64TRST
TRUSTCO BANK CORP N YFinancial Services$960M
0.03%
65EIG
EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$918M
0.03%
66WRLD
WORLD ACCEPTANCE CORPFinancial Services$891M
0.03%
67BBDC
BARINGS BDC INCFinancial Services$890M
0.03%
68EGBN
EAGLE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$835M
0.03%
69BCSF
BAIN CAPITAL SPECIALTY FINANCE INCFinancial Services$823M
0.03%
70NAVI
NAVIENT CORPFinancial Services$813M
0.03%
71MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.03%
72GDOT
GREEN DOT CORPFinancial Services$760M
0.03%
73CGBD
CARLYLE SECURED LENDING INCFinancial Services$726M
0.02%
74PFLT
PENNANTPARK FLOATING RATE CAPITAL LTDFinancial Services$719M
0.02%
75PRAA
PRA GROUP INCFinancial Services$691M
0.02%
76NMFC
NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$672M
0.02%
77MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.02%
78AMSF
AMERISAFE INCFinancial Services$634M
0.02%
79NCDL
NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORPFinancial Services$627M
0.02%
80NFBK
NORTHFIELD BANCORP INCFinancial Services$621M
0.02%
81BMRC
BANK OF MARIN BANCORPFinancial Services$468M
0.02%
82CCAP
CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$407M
0.01%
83USCB
USCB FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$374M
0.01%
84NODK
NI HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$326M
0.01%
85SAR
SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$320M
0.01%
86PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.01%
87CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.01%
88OSG
OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.01%
89FBLA
FB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$247M
0.01%
90RWAY
RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$239M
0.01%
91INBK
FIRST INTERNET BANCORPFinancial Services$233M
0.01%
92SCM
STELLUS CAPITAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$220M
0.01%
93BVFL
BV FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$186M
0.01%
94BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.01%
95FGBI
FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$164M
0.01%
96SRBK
SR BANCORP INCFinancial Services$159M
0.01%
97WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.00%
98GHI
GREYSTONE HOUSING IMPACT INVESTORS LPFinancial Services$123M
0.00%
99SAMG
SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP INCFinancial Services$118M
0.00%
100PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.00%
101RVSB
RIVERVIEW BANCORP INCFinancial Services$107M
0.00%
102PBHC
PATHFINDER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$103M
0.00%
103BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.00%
104PFX
PHENIXFIN CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.00%
105GECC
GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$74M
0.00%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $2.98T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

105 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
5%7
22%7
70%24
1%10
1%12
1%10
<1%19
<1%11
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 99% toward Large, 83% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (3 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt99% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt83% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 105 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    60.0%
    Margin
    -15.0%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 105 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.1 (95% CI 1.3-2.3)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
19.8%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.06x
over
parametric
1.45x
within
cornish fisher
1.84x
within

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.06 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.45 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2010
Before publication (pre-2010)
-0.26
Sharpe · -3.9% p.a.
January 1999December 2010 · 144 mo
Since publication
0.48
Sharpe · 4.8% p.a.
January 2011July 2026 · 187 mo
Change in Sharpe+0.73the return flipped from negative to positive since publication

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
69%
18 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.02
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.40
Dispersion
0.61
Best window
1.10

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.1.5%11.7%
3 yearsp.a.19.4%10.9%
5 yearsp.a.8.8%4.5%
10 yearsp.a.12.9%4.5%
Since inceptionp.a.5.3%0.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo-1.4%2.3%
202510.8%13.8%
202436.7%3.2%
20239.9%2.0%
2022-5.2%15.2%
202127.2%-3.6%
2020-0.5%5.4%
201939.4%21.0%
2018-13.5%-6.6%
201724.2%3.8%
201617.0%0.7%
20152.8%3.5%
201415.3%13.4%
201347.9%5.4%
201225.2%-0.8%
2011-19.9%-6.1%
20106.5%-13.1%
20095.5%-17.7%
2008-63.9%-20.1%
2007-18.0%-9.3%
200614.7%-2.3%
20056.5%0.7%
200419.6%6.3%
200342.4%9.1%
2002-19.1%-7.6%
20019.3%21.1%
200031.6%6.0%
1999-14.1%-22.2%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FCHF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2019-12-11 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$2.98T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services ChEQ Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a ChEQ signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.