ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
investment factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Energy DelCOA Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FDEEHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
−59%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
26
cap-weighted
Inception
Oct 2022
placeholder
Full Sharpe
-0.11
Ann. Return (LS)
-1.9%
Ann. Volatility
16.3%
Max Drawdown
-76.7%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.00
Test FF5 α (ann.)
0.8%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
0.11
not significant
Monthly turnover
19%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
-59%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.34
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.0%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
-0.11
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
11.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

26 of 26 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1BKR
BAKER HUGHES COEnergy$55.51B
37.34%
2FTI
TECHNIPFMC PLCEnergy$28.73B
19.33%
3APA
APA CORPEnergy$12.45B
8.37%
4NOV
NOV INCEnergy$7.01B
4.71%
5NE
NOBLE CORP PLCEnergy$6.62B
4.45%
6WFRD
WEATHERFORD INTERNATIONAL PLCEnergy$5.80B
3.90%
7RIG
TRANSOCEAN LTDEnergy$5.74B
3.86%
8VAL
VALARIS LTDEnergy$5.30B
3.57%
9OII
OCEANEERING INTERNATIONAL INCEnergy$4.22B
2.84%
10PTEN
PATTERSON UTI ENERGY INCEnergy$3.80B
2.56%
11NGL
NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LPEnergy$1.89B
1.27%
12INVX
INNOVEX INTERNATIONAL INCEnergy$1.77B
1.19%
13KRP
KIMBELL ROYALTY PARTNERS LPEnergy$1.61B
1.09%
14HLX
HELIX ENERGY SOLUTIONS GROUP INCEnergy$1.41B
0.95%
15NBR
NABORS INDUSTRIES LTDEnergy$1.24B
0.83%
16NPKI
NPK INTERNATIONAL INCEnergy$1.21B
0.81%
17CAPL
CROSSAMERICA PARTNERS LPEnergy$856M
0.58%
18VTS
VITESSE ENERGY INCEnergy$664M
0.45%
19FET
FORUM ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES INCEnergy$593M
0.40%
20EGY
VAALCO ENERGY INCEnergy$553M
0.37%
21CLB
CORE LABORATORIES INCEnergy$523M
0.35%
22OIS
OIL STATES INTERNATIONAL INCEnergy$507M
0.34%
23PNRG
PRIMEENERGY RESOURCES CORPEnergy$302M
0.20%
24BOOM
DMC GLOBAL INCEnergy$128M
0.09%
25NCSM
NCS MULTISTAGE HOLDINGS INCEnergy$114M
0.08%
26GEOS
GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORPEnergy$88M
0.06%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $148.65B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Energy
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

26 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
8%1
·
57%2
7%2
18%5
·
2%7
3%5
2%3

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 137-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $7.1B, Small < $1.8B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.64, Growth < 0.40 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 79% toward Large, 71% toward Growth. +1% unclassified (1 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt79% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt71% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 26 names now. The faded start covers early months with a much thinner universe. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
4
Failed
2
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    50.0%
    Margin
    -25.0%
  • No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    <= 25.0%
    Actual
    37.3%
    Margin
    -12.3%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied
  • At least 50% of total assets must sit in cash, government securities, other RICs, and other securities limited to 5% of assets and 10% of the issuer's voting securities per issuer.

    Required
    >= 50.0%
    Actual
    50.0%
    Margin
    -0.0%

    Close to the line. The engine flags this verdict as one a routine data rebuild could flip. Read it as borderline rather than settled — the margin beside it is the whole story.

    Arithmetically entailed by '40 Act 5(b)(1) diversification (75%/5% asset leg) — it cannot fail independently, so it is reported outside the tally rather than counted as a separate check.

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

1 verdict(s) sit within 1.0pp of their limit and can be flipped by a routine data rebuild; do not headline them, and always show the margin.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 26 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
2.1 (95% CI 1.6-2.3)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
20.0%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
2.08x
over
parametric
1.92x
within
cornish fisher
2.33x
over

The estimators disagree about the verdict, not just the value — the choice of method decides the answer here. Historical VaR gives ratio 2.08 (fail) but Gaussian VaR gives 1.92 (pass). The pass/fail conclusion is an artefact of estimator choice, not a property of the strategy.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2005
Before publication (pre-2005)
0.14
Sharpe · 2.3% p.a.
January 1999December 2005 · 84 mo
Since publication
-0.20
Sharpe · -3.3% p.a.
January 2006July 2026 · 247 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.34the return reversed sign — the published edge now runs the other way

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
42%
11 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-1.14
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
-0.09
Dispersion
0.56
Best window
1.00

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.48.1%-3.4%
3 yearsp.a.16.6%3.6%
5 yearsp.a.24.1%2.7%
10 yearsp.a.6.5%-3.2%
Since inceptionp.a.5.7%-3.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo27.2%-14.1%
202529.3%22.8%
2024-5.5%1.4%
202316.9%3.2%
202246.9%1.5%
202145.4%9.5%
2020-43.6%-17.9%
201910.0%-11.7%
2018-29.1%-7.4%
2017-11.7%-23.3%
201638.1%17.7%
2015-18.8%16.9%
2014-8.8%11.1%
201321.3%-4.0%
2012-2.4%-12.7%
2011-6.9%-6.8%
201017.8%-7.9%
20095.7%-39.7%
2008-54.6%3.4%
200733.9%-8.8%
20065.9%-2.4%
200546.3%-4.2%
200433.4%-5.2%
200326.4%4.8%
2002-19.3%1.2%
2001-8.1%17.0%
200032.7%-2.3%
199940.5%-2.7%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FDEE
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2022-10-06 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$148.65B

Methodology

The Foundry Energy DelCOA Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Energy common stocks each month by a DelCOA signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.