Foundry Consumer Cyclical OPLev Factor ETF
ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly
Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.
Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest
Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results
Holdings
Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector
| Ticker | Company | Sector | Market cap | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1TJX | TJX COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $170.63B | 26.53% |
2LOW | LOWES COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $117.04B | 18.20% |
3CVNA | CARVANA CO | Consumer Cyclical | $73.86B | 11.48% |
4CASY | CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $31.79B | 4.94% |
5CPNG | COUPANG INC | Consumer Cyclical | $29.83B | 4.64% |
6ULTA | ULTA BEAUTY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $20.62B | 3.21% |
7BBY | BEST BUY CO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $18.00B | 2.80% |
8NVR | NVR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $17.52B | 2.72% |
9PAG | PENSKE AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $13.32B | 2.07% |
10TXRH | TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $12.95B | 2.01% |
11W | WAYFAIR INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.79B | 1.83% |
12MUSA | MURPHY USA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $11.43B | 1.78% |
13DPZ | DOMINOS PIZZA INC | Consumer Cyclical | $10.72B | 1.67% |
14DDS | DILLARD'S INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.61B | 1.34% |
15CHWY | CHEWY INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.57B | 1.33% |
16EAT | BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $8.12B | 1.26% |
17LAD | LITHIA MOTORS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.65B | 1.19% |
18RSI | RUSH STREET INTERACTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $7.56B | 1.18% |
19LEA | LEAR CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $7.10B | 1.10% |
20AN | AUTONATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.88B | 1.07% |
21ECG | EVERUS CONSTRUCTION GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $6.80B | 1.06% |
22RUSHA | RUSH ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $5.98B | 0.93% |
23PTRN | PATTERN GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.97B | 0.77% |
24ABG | ASBURY AUTOMOTIVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $4.10B | 0.64% |
25GPI | GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.88B | 0.60% |
26YETI | YETI HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.87B | 0.60% |
27SAH | SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $3.17B | 0.49% |
28BLBD | BLUE BIRD CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $2.48B | 0.39% |
29RVLV | REVOLVE GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.78B | 0.28% |
30ADNT | ADIENT PLC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.55B | 0.24% |
31PZZA | PAPA JOHNS INTERNATIONAL INC | Consumer Cyclical | $1.08B | 0.17% |
32ARKO | ARKO CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $893M | 0.14% |
33KRT | KARAT PACKAGING INC | Consumer Cyclical | $760M | 0.12% |
34ELA | ENVELA CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $547M | 0.09% |
35CTRN | CITI TRENDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $535M | 0.08% |
36CPS | COOPER-STANDARD HOLDINGS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $490M | 0.08% |
37BNED | BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION INC | Consumer Cyclical | $437M | 0.07% |
38GCO | GENESCO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $411M | 0.06% |
39CAL | CALERES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $398M | 0.06% |
40NATH | NATHANS FAMOUS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $393M | 0.06% |
41FLXS | FLEXSTEEL INDUSTRIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $391M | 0.06% |
42BBBY | BED BATH & BEYOND INC | Consumer Cyclical | $372M | 0.06% |
43LE | LANDS' END INC | Consumer Cyclical | $357M | 0.06% |
44STRT | STRATTEC SECURITY CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $344M | 0.05% |
45FNKO | FUNKO INC | Consumer Cyclical | $326M | 0.05% |
46ZUMZ | ZUMIEZ INC | Consumer Cyclical | $315M | 0.05% |
47HBB | HAMILTON BEACH BRANDS HOLDING CO | Consumer Cyclical | $313M | 0.05% |
48DBI | DESIGNER BRANDS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $290M | 0.05% |
49JAKK | JAKKS PACIFIC INC | Consumer Cyclical | $277M | 0.04% |
50LOVE | LOVESAC CO | Consumer Cyclical | $267M | 0.04% |
51RDNW | RIDENOW GROUP INC | Consumer Cyclical | $229M | 0.04% |
52SGC | SUPERIOR GROUP OF COMPANIES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $209M | 0.03% |
53SRI | STONERIDGE INC | Consumer Cyclical | $197M | 0.03% |
54RRGB | RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC | Consumer Cyclical | $130M | 0.02% |
55AKA | AKA BRANDS HOLDING CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $119M | 0.02% |
56UFI | UNIFI INC | Consumer Cyclical | $118M | 0.02% |
57MED | MEDIFAST INC | Consumer Cyclical | $114M | 0.02% |
58KEQU | KEWAUNEE SCIENTIFIC CORP | Consumer Cyclical | $109M | 0.02% |
59BARK | BARK INC | Consumer Cyclical | $82M | 0.01% |
60BDL | FLANIGANS ENTERPRISES INC | Consumer Cyclical | $76M | 0.01% |
61NDLS | NOODLES & CO | Consumer Cyclical | $66M | 0.01% |
Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $643.21B. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.
Sector Breakdown
Portfolio Style
Size × value map of the long-leg book
Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 310-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $5.9B, Small < $1.3B. Columns: Value ≥ 0.62, Growth < 0.38 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 96% toward Large, 78% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (7 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.
Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998 → July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 61 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.
Constraint checks
How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here
These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.
7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.
1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.
With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required>= 75.0%Actual58.8%Margin-16.2%No more than 25% of total assets may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.
Required<= 25.0%Actual26.5%Margin-1.5%Days required to liquidate the largest position at 20% of one day's dollar volume.
Required<= 7.0 daysActual8.9 daysMargin-1.9 days
Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.
No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.
Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700
Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 61 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.
Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)
Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all
This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.
This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.
Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.
No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.
Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.
Informational — does not governThis fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.
historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months
The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 21%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.
Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.
The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.
See the long-short verdict on the factor page →Since publication
Did the edge survive the paper coming out?
Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.
Consistency across eras
Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?
3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.
Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.
Returns
Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference
| Period | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 1 yearcum. | 0.4% | -15.8% |
| 3 yearsp.a. | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| 5 yearsp.a. | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| 10 yearsp.a. | 12.6% | 2.9% |
| Since inceptionp.a. | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| Year | Long leg | Long-short |
|---|---|---|
| 20267 mo | -4.4% | -21.4% |
| 2025 | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| 2024 | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| 2023 | 16.8% | 5.0% |
| 2022 | -24.5% | -1.8% |
| 2021 | 36.7% | 13.8% |
| 2020 | 27.5% | 5.7% |
| 2019 | 34.0% | 7.5% |
| 2018 | -2.7% | 6.8% |
| 2017 | 27.8% | -5.3% |
| 2016 | 13.6% | 0.8% |
| 2015 | -10.1% | -11.9% |
| 2014 | 10.3% | 12.5% |
| 2013 | 54.7% | 13.6% |
| 2012 | 17.9% | -2.3% |
| 2011 | 1.1% | -2.6% |
| 2010 | 33.7% | -4.4% |
| 2009 | 92.0% | 45.7% |
| 2008 | -40.7% | 15.5% |
| 2007 | -4.4% | -11.7% |
| 2006 | 11.0% | -5.2% |
| 2005 | 11.1% | 24.7% |
| 2004 | 11.2% | -12.2% |
| 2003 | 54.9% | 3.1% |
| 2002 | -10.3% | 6.0% |
| 2001 | 34.4% | 37.2% |
| 2000 | -28.8% | -9.8% |
| 1999 | 30.2% | 19.2% |
Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.
Fund Facts
Methodology
The Foundry Consumer Cyclical OPLev Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Consumer Cyclical common stocks each month by a OPLev signal and holds the top quintile with the highest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.
This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.
Documents (draft — hypothetical)
Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.
Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.
Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.
Policies, construction, and governance.
One-page snapshot with top holdings.
Full current constituent list.
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.