ETF Foundry
DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
accruals factor · long-only model fund

Foundry Financial Services dNOA Factor ETF

ETF Foundry Research (hypothetical) · rebalanced monthly

FDNFHYPOTHETICAL MODEL
Since ’99
+84%
Expense Ratio
0.45%
placeholder
Holdings
108
cap-weighted
Inception
Dec 2020
placeholder
Full Sharpe
0.24
Ann. Return (LS)
2.9%
Ann. Volatility
12.1%
Max Drawdown
-46.1%
Test Sharpe ’19–26
0.57
Test FF5 α (ann.)
7.6%
vs Fama-French 5
Test FF5 α t-stat
1.42
not significant
Monthly turnover
16%
of the long leg, per rebalance
Cumulative return (LS)
84%
over 331 months
This fund holds the long leg only
Long leg Sharpe
0.50
what this fund holds
Long leg ann. return
10.8%
buyable, long-only
Long-short Sharpe
0.24
requires shorting
Bottom bucket ann. return
7.9%
the basket shorted

Every other metric on this page is the long-shortstrategy, which needs a short book. This fund is the long leg alone, so these are the figures for what it actually holds. The bottom-bucket number is that basket’s own return — not short P&L.

Hypothetical growth of $1 — long-short backtest

Gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs · not investor results

331 months

Holdings

Every constituent of the long leg — sort, search or filter by sector

108 of 108 · 100.0% of book
TickerCompanySectorMarket capWeight
1C
CITIGROUP INCFinancial Services$220.63B
20.81%
2COF
CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$129.46B
12.21%
3BNY
BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPFinancial Services$107.85B
10.17%
4HOOD
ROBINHOOD MARKETS INCFinancial Services$90.01B
8.49%
5MCO
MOODYS CORPFinancial Services$89.25B
8.42%
6AON
AON PLCFinancial Services$78.43B
7.40%
7STT
STATE STREET CORPFinancial Services$50.51B
4.76%
8PYPL
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$49.89B
4.71%
9TROW
PRICE T ROWE GROUP INCFinancial Services$25.14B
2.37%
10FCNCA
FIRST CITIZENS BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$24.59B
2.32%
11CRCL
CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INCFinancial Services$15.03B
1.42%
12IVZ
INVESCO LTDFinancial Services$13.13B
1.24%
13FDS
FACTSET RESEARCH SYSTEMS INCFinancial Services$9.18B
0.87%
14WAL
WESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORPORATIONFinancial Services$8.99B
0.85%
15GBCI
GLACIER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$6.97B
0.66%
16RIOT
RIOT PLATFORMS INCFinancial Services$6.91B
0.65%
17OBDC
BLUE OWL CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$5.45B
0.51%
18PIPR
PIPER SANDLER COMPANIESFinancial Services$5.42B
0.51%
19RDN
RADIAN GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.24B
0.49%
20STEP
STEPSTONE GROUP INCFinancial Services$5.20B
0.49%
21NNI
NELNET INCFinancial Services$4.83B
0.46%
22SLM
SLM CORPFinancial Services$4.78B
0.45%
23TCBI
TEXAS CAPITAL BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$4.59B
0.43%
24WSFS
WSFS FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$4.16B
0.39%
25MARA
MARA HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$4.08B
0.38%
26BANF
BANCFIRST CORPFinancial Services$3.90B
0.37%
27FIBK
FIRST INTERSTATE BANCSYSTEM INCFinancial Services$3.81B
0.36%
28AGO
ASSURED GUARANTY LTDFinancial Services$3.76B
0.35%
29FHB
FIRST HAWAIIAN INCFinancial Services$3.56B
0.34%
30BKU
BANKUNITED INCFinancial Services$3.55B
0.33%
31AB
ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LPFinancial Services$3.54B
0.33%
32PRK
PARK NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$3.43B
0.32%
33GBDC
GOLUB CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$3.40B
0.32%
34SFNC
SIMMONS FIRST NATIONAL CORPFinancial Services$3.33B
0.31%
35FSK
FS KKR CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$3.06B
0.29%
36AAMI
ACADIAN ASSET MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$2.95B
0.28%
37CUBI
CUSTOMERS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.65B
0.25%
38GCMG
GCM GROSVENOR INCFinancial Services$2.61B
0.25%
39SYBT
STOCK YARDS BANCORP INCFinancial Services$2.39B
0.23%
40SLDE
SLIDE INSURANCE HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$2.35B
0.22%
41FCF
FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$2.15B
0.20%
42TFIN
TRIUMPH FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.92B
0.18%
43STBA
S&T BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.80B
0.17%
44DCOM
DIME COMMUNITY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$1.78B
0.17%
45KMPR
KEMPER CORPFinancial Services$1.65B
0.16%
46OBK
ORIGIN BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.62B
0.15%
47DFIN
DONNELLEY FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INCFinancial Services$1.25B
0.12%
48MCB
METROPOLITAN BANK HOLDING CORPFinancial Services$1.22B
0.12%
49CCB
COASTAL FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.20B
0.11%
50CFFN
CAPITOL FEDERAL FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$1.09B
0.10%
51FSBC
FIVE STAR BANCORPFinancial Services$1.04B
0.10%
52HBNC
HORIZON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$1.04B
0.10%
53CPF
CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$1.02B
0.10%
54BFST
BUSINESS FIRST BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$1.01B
0.10%
55MBWM
MERCANTILE BANK CORPFinancial Services$999M
0.09%
56GSBD
GOLDMAN SACHS BDC INCFinancial Services$994M
0.09%
57ABX
ABACUS GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INCFinancial Services$994M
0.09%
58EIG
EMPLOYERS HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$918M
0.09%
59BBDC
BARINGS BDC INCFinancial Services$890M
0.08%
60SPFI
SOUTH PLAINS FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$880M
0.08%
61FCBC
FIRST COMMUNITY BANKSHARES INCFinancial Services$848M
0.08%
62EGBN
EAGLE BANCORP INCFinancial Services$835M
0.08%
63NAVI
NAVIENT CORPFinancial Services$813M
0.08%
64MFIC
MIDCAP FINANCIAL INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$806M
0.08%
65WASH
WASHINGTON TRUST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$698M
0.07%
66NMFC
NEW MOUNTAIN FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$672M
0.06%
67MSBI
MIDLAND STATES BANCORP INCFinancial Services$645M
0.06%
68NCDL
NUVEEN CHURCHILL DIRECT LENDING CORPFinancial Services$627M
0.06%
69KRNY
KEARNY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$615M
0.06%
70CIVB
CIVISTA BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$593M
0.06%
71CBNK
CAPITAL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$584M
0.06%
72HBCP
HOME BANCORP INCFinancial Services$544M
0.05%
73CRD.A
CRAWFORD & COFinancial Services$537M
0.05%
74NEWT
NEWTEKONE INCFinancial Services$439M
0.04%
75CCAP
CRESCENT CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$407M
0.04%
76VALU
VALUE LINE INCFinancial Services$385M
0.04%
77BCML
BAYCOM CORPFinancial Services$371M
0.03%
78CZFS
CITIZENS FINANCIAL SERVICES INCFinancial Services$354M
0.03%
79TSBK
TIMBERLAND BANCORP INCFinancial Services$343M
0.03%
80MBI
MBIA INCFinancial Services$333M
0.03%
81FVCB
FVCBANKCORP INCFinancial Services$321M
0.03%
82PSBD
PALMER SQUARE CAPITAL BDC INCFinancial Services$306M
0.03%
83CION
CION INVESTMENT CORPFinancial Services$304M
0.03%
84FUNC
FIRST UNITED CORPFinancial Services$292M
0.03%
85OSG
OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP INCFinancial Services$275M
0.03%
86BPRN
PRINCETON BANCORP INCFinancial Services$263M
0.02%
87RILY
BRC GROUP HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$254M
0.02%
88VABK
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPFinancial Services$250M
0.02%
89RWAY
RUNWAY GROWTH FINANCE CORPFinancial Services$239M
0.02%
90INBK
FIRST INTERNET BANCORPFinancial Services$233M
0.02%
91CZWI
CITIZENS COMMUNITY BANCORP INCFinancial Services$224M
0.02%
92RBKB
RHINEBECK BANCORP INCFinancial Services$190M
0.02%
93BVFL
BV FINANCIAL INCFinancial Services$186M
0.02%
94EBMT
EAGLE BANCORP MONTANA INCFinancial Services$185M
0.02%
95HNVR
HANOVER BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.02%
96BCBP
BCB BANCORP INCFinancial Services$179M
0.02%
97FGBI
FIRST GUARANTY BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$164M
0.02%
98FNWD
FINWARD BANCORPFinancial Services$157M
0.01%
99WHF
WHITEHORSE FINANCE INCFinancial Services$140M
0.01%
100SFBC
SOUND FINANCIAL BANCORP INCFinancial Services$120M
0.01%
101BSBK
BOGOTA FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$116M
0.01%
102PROV
PROVIDENT FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INCFinancial Services$108M
0.01%
103RVSB
RIVERVIEW BANCORP INCFinancial Services$107M
0.01%
104AUBN
AUBURN NATIONAL BANCORPORATION INCFinancial Services$93M
0.01%
105FUSB
FIRST US BANCSHARES INCFinancial Services$92M
0.01%
106BYFC
BROADWAY FINANCIAL CORPFinancial Services$89M
0.01%
107FSEA
FIRST SEACOAST BANCORP INCFinancial Services$79M
0.01%
108GECC
GREAT ELM CAPITAL CORPFinancial Services$74M
0.01%

Full long-leg book as of July 2026 · cap-weighted · total market cap $1.06T. Hypothetical model holdings — not a registered fund’s portfolio.

Sector Breakdown

1 sectors
Financial Services
100.0%

Portfolio Style

Size × value map of the long-leg book

108 classified
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
Mid
Small
6%7
28%3
56%11
2%12
3%15
3%14
1%25
<1%15
<1%2

Share of long-leg capital by market cap × book-to-market, using terciles of the 554-name universe at July 2026. Rows: Large ≥ $4.3B, Small < $753M. Columns: Value ≥ 0.61, Growth < 0.39 B/M. The dot marks the capital-weighted centroid of the book — 95% toward Large, 76% toward Growth. +2% unclassified (4 missing size/value). Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not realized P&L.

Tilt over time
Size tilt95% → Large
SmallLarge
Value ↔ growth tilt76% → Growth
ValueGrowth

Capital-weighted centroid of the long leg, December 1998July 2026; the right-hand end is the same value as the box’s dot. 108 names now. Hypothetical holdings — descriptive, not P&L.

Constraint checks

How this book measures against the concentration and liquidity rules — as implemented here

How this book was built

These are UNCONSTRAINED factor sleeves: the construction pipeline sorts on a signal and cap-weights the top bucket, applying no issuer cap, no industry cap and no liquidity screen beyond the universe filter. A failing test therefore reports a constraint that was never applied during construction — it is not a defect in the strategy and not an error in the data. The same signal can be solved subject to these constraints.

Passed
5
Failed
1
Not tested
1
Independent checks
7

7 independent checks plus 1 arithmetically implied by another check (RIC / IRC 851(b)(3)(A) 50% bucket), which is reported separately so the tally cannot overstate scrutiny.

1 of 7 checks could not be tested. Those are neither passes nor failures — they are gaps in what the data can answer, and they are excluded from the passed count above rather than folded into it.

  • With respect to 75% of total assets, no more than 5% may be invested in the securities of any one issuer.

    Required
    >= 75.0%
    Actual
    62.5%
    Margin
    -12.5%
Reported separately — arithmetically implied

Engineering approximation of the cited rules for a DRAFT / HYPOTHETICAL model portfolio that is not a registered fund. This reports whether the portfolio passes the stated test AS IMPLEMENTED HERE; it is not a compliance opinion and is not a statement that any fund is compliant. Real filings need securities counsel.

No verdict sits within 1.0pp of its limit.

Data version — panel=20260719T025334 rows=2239262 asof=202607 issuers=20260719T014536 rates=20260804T224700

Measured on the 2026-07 formation date across 108 holdings (cap-weighted). A different formation date can produce different verdicts.

Derivatives risk (Rule 18f-4)

Whether this long-only book is subject to the VaR tests at all

This assessment describes the long-only book this fund holds — the top bucket only.

Governing rule
Rule 18f-4(c)(4) limited derivatives user exception

This fund QUALIFIES for the limited-derivatives-user exception, so it is excepted from the VaR tests; the ratio below is informational, not the operative limit.

Limited derivatives user exceptionby construction

Rule 18f-4(c)(4): a fund whose derivatives exposure (gross notional, including the value of assets sold short) is <= 10% of net assets is excepted from the VaR tests and the full derivatives risk management program.

Qualifies
Required
<= 10% of net assets
Exposure
0% of net assets
Margin
+10pp

No confidence interval: this follows from portfolio construction, not from an estimate.

Rule 18f-4(c)(2)(i): fund VaR at 99% over 20 trading days must not exceed 200% of the designated reference portfolio's VaR on the same basis.

Informational — does not govern

This fund is excepted from the VaR tests, so the ratio below is context rather than the operative limit. It is shown because it is still a description of the book’s risk, not because it decides anything.

Measured
1.6 (95% CI 1.3-1.8)
x reference VaR
Limit
2.00x
<= 2.00x reference VaR
Fund VaR
15.5%
99% / 20d
Reference
9.6%
FF5 market (mkt)

historical method · 331 monthly observations · about 3.3 in the 99% tail · paired percentile bootstrap over months

Same test, three estimators
historical
1.61x
within
parametric
1.38x
within
cornish fisher
1.49x
within

The estimators differ materially in value but agree on the verdict. Historical and Gaussian fund VaR differ by 17%; both still land on the same side of the 2x limit.

Engineering approximation of SEC Rule 18f-4 for research display. Not a compliance opinion and not a determination that any fund is compliant. Hypothetical model portfolio, not a registered fund.

The research long-short construction behind this factor does not qualify for this exception — a dollar-neutral book counts its full short notional, which is 100% of net assets against a 10% threshold. This product sidesteps that by holding the long leg alone, which is also why the long-leg Sharpe is reported separately throughout the site.

See the long-short verdict on the factor page →

Since publication

Did the edge survive the paper coming out?

published 2004
Before publication (pre-2004)
0.68
Sharpe · 7.1% p.a.
January 1999December 2004 · 72 mo
Since publication
0.14
Sharpe · 1.8% p.a.
January 2005July 2026 · 259 mo
Change in Sharpe−0.54Sharpe weakened since publication75% of the prior annual return given up

Split at January of the year after the factor was published. The post-publication stretch IS genuinely out-of-sample relative to the original study -- the predictor was public by then -- so it speaks to whether the effect survived being known. Nothing is fitted here, so this is performance SINCE PUBLICATION, not validation of a model. Note the 'pre' side is our data before publication (our panel starts ~1999), NOT the study's original in-sample period, which usually ran decades earlier; a decay figure compares before-vs-after within our sample and is not a comparison against the published result.

Consistency across eras

Is this record broadly durable, or one regime?

26 windows
Positive windows
62%
16 of 26 3-year windows made money
Worst window
-0.58
Sharpe, January 2009 – December 2011
January 1999July 2026
Median Sharpe
0.26
Dispersion
0.49
Best window
1.47

3-year rolling windows, stepping 1 year (26 windows). Dispersion is the spread of window Sharpes — higher means the record depends more on which era you look at.

Rules-based factors fit no parameters, so these windows are not out-of-sample tests and do not validate a fitted model. They show whether the factor's record is consistent across eras or driven by one regime.

Returns

Long leg is what this fund holds — long-short is shown for reference

since January 1999
Trailing
PeriodLong legLong-short
1 yearcum.12.2%3.4%
3 yearsp.a.20.1%7.7%
5 yearsp.a.12.6%9.2%
10 yearsp.a.16.3%6.3%
Since inceptionp.a.8.8%2.2%
Calendar years
YearLong legLong-short
20267 mo7.0%5.6%
202514.5%-3.6%
202426.0%-2.1%
202315.4%16.9%
2022-9.3%19.4%
202151.8%30.9%
20203.2%-9.3%
201929.6%3.1%
2018-8.3%1.4%
201719.0%-7.5%
201617.6%10.6%
2015-1.3%2.3%
201415.3%1.3%
201339.1%2.0%
201234.0%6.4%
2011-24.3%-24.2%
201016.8%7.2%
200926.4%-10.1%
2008-52.8%-12.4%
2007-17.9%5.5%
200618.3%-8.0%
20057.2%0.8%
200418.7%4.7%
200335.4%-1.4%
2002-7.7%11.6%
2001-8.5%-1.2%
200025.9%5.8%
199921.1%22.8%

Long leg = the top bucket this fund holds; long-short additionally shorts the bottom bucket and is not achievable in a long-only vehicle. Trailing figures run through July 2026: 1 year is a plain cumulative 12-month return (cum.), 3 years and longer are annualised (p.a.). Years marked with a month count are partial. These match the fact sheet’s tables by construction. Hypothetical backtest, gross of the placeholder expense ratio and trading costs — not investor results.

Fund Facts

Ticker (pseudo)FDNF
IssuerETF Foundry Research (hypothetical)
SeriesHypothetical Model Portfolio Series (not a registered trust)
Expense ratio0.45% (placeholder)
Inception2020-12-15 (placeholder)
Listing exchangeNot listed (hypothetical)
CUSIPNot applicable (hypothetical model portfolio)
RebalanceMonthly
Holdings as ofJuly 2026
Total mkt cap (long leg)$1.06T

Methodology

The Foundry Financial Services dNOA Factor ETF tracks a rules-based model that ranks Financial Services common stocks each month by a dNOA signal and holds the top quintile with the lowest values. Signals are computed from point-in-time Sharadar fundamentals and total-return prices. The portfolio reconstitutes monthly and is cap-weighted within the long leg.

This is a hypothetical model portfolio for research display only — not a registered fund, not an offer, and not investment advice.

Documents (draft — hypothetical)

Auto-generated from the model’s metrics and current holdings. Every document is labeled DRAFT / hypothetical.

Summary Prospectus

Objective, fees, strategy, and key risks.

View →
Prospectus

Full strategy, model methodology, and risks.

View →
Statement of Additional Information

Policies, construction, and governance.

View →
Fact Sheet

One-page snapshot with top holdings.

View →
Daily Holdings

Full current constituent list.

View →

DRAFT — HYPOTHETICAL MODEL PORTFOLIO — NOT A REGISTERED FUND, NOT AN OFFER TO SELL SECURITIES, NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.